|11-07-2013, 04:54 AM||#1|
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: San Francisco, CA
Anthony's Week 10 NFL Pointspread Picks
Last week: 5-8. Season totals: 62-67-4, Pct. .481. Best Bets: 12-13-2, Pct. .481
Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.
Washington 17, MINNESOTA 10 (+2) - Yes, Christian Ponder is still starting at quarterback for the Vikings. At this point, that's all you need to know.
N.Y. GIANTS 45, Oakland 17 (+7) - After what seemed like decades of post-bye futility, the Giants have turned that around in a big way, winning their last five off the bye; and while Oakland's 1-3 record since 2011 as a visitor in cold weather doesn't seem so bad in isolation, it consists of a 16-13 win in overtime and losses by scores of 34-10, 55-20, and 46-16. And if Nick Foles could throw for seven TDs in three quarters against their defense, think of how Eli Manning might do on one of his better days.
PITTSBURGH 16, Buffalo 10 (+3 1/2) - E.J. Manuel may need a game and Buffalo's recent record both in Pittsburgh, and against Pittsburgh generally, is pretty gruesome: The Bills haven't won there since 1992 (0-5 both ways, outscored 136-40), have lost four in a row to the Steelers, and are 1-8 against the spread in the last nine.
Seattle 20, ATLANTA 17 (+6) - The Falcons have beaten Seattle four in a row and right now the Seahawks couldn't cover a bar tab. Take the points.
INDIANAPOLIS 27, St. Louis 13 (+11 1/2) - Not entirely thrilled about laying this much wood on a nouveau-riche team like the Colts, but the gross quarterback mismatch overshadows all else in this one.
BALTIMORE 20 (+2 1/2), Cincinnati 14 - The Bengals had a chance to really turn the corner last Thursday night and didn't - and their only win in their last five against Baltimore was in last year's Week 17 "Siesta Bowl." The Ravens get one last chance - win here, or they're in the dead pool so far as present company is concerned.
TENNESSEE 23, Jacksonville 13 (+13 1/2) - The Titans aren't 13 1/2 points better than Southern Miss! Take the points.
CHICAGO 28 (+2 1/2), Detroit 7 - No way would the Lions be favored if Jay Cutler was expected to return - but Detroit has lost a staggering 19 consecutive cold-weather games (three short of the NFL record established by Atlanta from 1983 through 1996), and if Josh McCown could beat the Packers at Lambeau, there is no reason why he can't beat a team with this kind of sorry history in the prevailing conditions.
Philadelphia 23 (+3), GREEN BAY 14 - Could God be so angry at the Cowboys for tearing down the stadium that was specifically equipped with a hole in the roof so he could watch them that he has taken up the cause of one of their division rivals? Aaron Rodgers' convenient collarbone break is certainly a textbook example of the mysterious ways in which the deity is said to work - and after having gracefully surrendered 447 yards and 34.5 points per game in their first four outings, the Eagles have allowed 397 and 18.8 respectively in the five games since.
SAN FRANCISCO 21, Carolina 17 (+6) - The Panthers have really got it going on both sides of the ball, and covering spreads against the 49ers is something that comes naturally to them, as in 14-3 lifetime. Take the points again.
ARIZONA 28, Houston 16 (+3) - Whoever came up with the idea for that billboard that reads, "This year thousands of men will die from stubbornness," must have had Gary Kubiak in mind. Continuing to go with Case Keenum at quarterback is clearly the Obamacare Syndrome at work outside the political arena - above all, do something, even if it can't help but make matters worse. The Texans will remain on the same "Do Not Pick" list as the Vikings, and for the same reason, until both teams stop beating their respective dead horses. Houston's fatigue-game form - 3-9 straight up, 3-8-1 against the line - hardly inspires confidence either.
Denver 34, SAN DIEGO 14 (+7) - The Chargers were exposed as one big fraud last week, and with both games against the Broncos and Chiefs still to play as well as the Bengals and the suddenly born-again Giants, I'd say that San Diego is just about done winning for the season. Denver's 18-6 spread record following a bye week is the entire NFL's best, and points out the Broncos as the standout selection for the week.
NEW ORLEANS 31, Dallas 17 (+6 1/2) - Twin seven-out-of-eight trends favor the Saints in this spot: They have both won and covered in seven of the last eight in the series, and the home team is also 7-1 versus the points in their games so far this season, with New Orleans 4-0 at home by a combined 127 to 58.
TAMPA BAY 14 (+3 1/2), Miami 13 - If nothing else, the "Bullygate" scandal that is quite literally getting more bizarre by the minute means that the already worst-in-the-league Miami offensive line will be without two of its starters, certainly for this game and perhaps far beyond. And the Bucs get up for this intrastate rivalry: They've covered four in a row and are 8-1 against the spread in its history, including 5-0 at home.
BEST BETS: N.Y. GIANTS, CHICAGO, DENVER
To the clutch, there is only one sort of plebian - and that is the choke artist.
Last edited by Anthony; 11-08-2013 at 12:46 AM.
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