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Old 09-21-2017, 07:46 AM   #1
Anthony
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Cool Anthony's Week 3 NFL Pointspread Picks

Last week: 10-6. Season totals: 14-17, Pct. .452. Best Bets: 2-4, Pct. .333.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.



THURSDAY NIGHT

L.A. Rams
13, SAN FRANCISCO 6 (+2 1/2) - As two-and-a-half-point favorites, the Rams are priced to buy - and with another no-touchdown effort here the 49ers will become the first team since the expansion, winless 1976 Buccaneers to neglect to score a TD in each of their first three games.


SUNDAY

Baltimore 17, Jacksonville 16 (+4) - The Jaguars have won their last two in London after losing the first two - and the Ravens, who won by two at Jacksonville in the same week last year, could get caught looking ahead to next week's huge division game at home against Pittsburgh. Take the points.

Miami 27, N.Y. JETS 13 (+6 1/2) - Playing at home won't help the Jets. The fans who do show up will come to boo them - and when you're concerned about Marshawn Lynch dancing on the sidelines, you're really not worth getting a bet down on, even if the Jets have beaten Miami five in a row and the Dolphins are 18-37 straight up on artificial turf dating back to 2004.

PHILADELPHIA 14, N.Y. Giants 10 (+5) - It's time to see some sense of urgency from the Giants, as no team has made the playoffs after an 0-3 start since 1998. Eagles have won and covered in 14 of the last 18 in the series, but this line is too high considering that we are only into the third week of this season and the Giants finished four games ahead of the Eagles last season. Points taken.

NEW ENGLAND 37, Houston 13 (+12) - But no point-taking in this one: To say that the Texans have had their problems in Foxboro would be the eternal understatement - they have lost and non-covered five out of five there and have been outscored 184 to 65. The week's best bet.

BUFFALO 17 (+1), Denver 14 - The Bills have covered four in a row versus the Broncos, who are 11-21 against the spread on artificial turf since 2007. Upset special.

CAROLINA 28, New Orleans 24 (+6) - The Panthers are ranked #1 in the NFL in total defense, but here the water gets deeper, and the Saints have covered in the last four meetings even though Carolina has won three of the games straight up. Bad week for favorites, at least against the spread.

INDIANAPOLIS 13 (+2 1/2), Cleveland 10 - The Browns as favorites on the road in general (14 straight road losses) and on artificial turf in particular (five straight losses and non-covers and outscored by a combined 90 points)? Surprising. What's not surprising? How much money you will save by switching to Geico!

Atlanta 34, DETROIT 27 (+3) - No signs of any Super Bowl Runner-Up Jinx yet - and Matt Ryan and his receivers should have their way with Detroit's toothless pass rush and sprinkling-can secondary.

Pittsburgh 16, CHICAGO 13 (+8) - Obviously the same looking-ahead danger that applies to the Ravens also applies to the Steelers, along with something else - Pittsburgh is 1-11 straight up lifetime in Chicago, with the lone win in overtime, in 1995. A good favorite is hard to find this week.

MINNESOTA 24, Tampa Bay 14 (+1) - Don't know why the line was being held up because Sam Bradford is questionable, when Case Keenum is 2-0 lifetime against the Bucs with a 118.8 passer rating, as opposed to 7-16 and 75.5 in the rest of his games. And since 2013, Tampa Bay is 4-14 straight up and 7-11 against the line as a visitor on the carpet, and 4-11 and 6-9 inside NFL domes.

TENNESSEE 21, Seattle 16 (+2 1/2) - When is the media going to admit that Russell Wilson is at best a mediocre quarterback? And the Seahawks have struggled on grass for the longest time, going without a touchdown on it in the opener at Green Bay.

GREEN BAY 24, Cincinnati 17 (+9) - The Bengals are staring down the same barrel as the 49ers - and another one besides: Only one team that has started 0-2 with both losses coming at home has ever made the playoffs in a non-strike year (the 2003 Eagles) - but they have beaten the Packers three straight and are 20-12-1 against the spread on grass since 2011. And I know it's early yet, but teams coming off either a Thursday night game or a bye are 4-0 both ways in 2017. Plus Jordy Nelson got injured - again - last week. The chalk-eaters lose another one.

Kansas City 23, L.A. CHARGERS 10 (+3) - It cannot help but be demoralizing not to be able to sell out a 27,000-seat stadium, and the Chiefs have won six in a row over the Chargers and will not be seriously tested until they host Pittsburgh in Week 6. What few favorites figure to cover this week are locks to do so.

Oakland 31, WASHINGTON 24 (+3 1/2) - True, as three-and-a-half-point favorites, the Raiders are priced to sell - but the home team in this one has taken the collar both ways in the last six meetings, and life after DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon is not going well in Washington.


MONDAY NIGHT

ARIZONA
23 (+3 1/2), Dallas 20 - Any team can lose a game - but quitting (unless of course you're tanking!) is inexcusable. And the Cardinals have owned the Cowboys of late, with four straight wins and covers. How far both of the putative mighty have fallen in the NFC East after just two weeks.


BEST BETS: NEW ENGLAND, MINNESOTA, KANSAS CITY
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Last edited by Anthony; 09-21-2017 at 09:51 AM.
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