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Old 10-22-2015, 09:43 AM   #1
Anthony
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Cool Anthony's Week 7 NFL Pointspread Picks

Last week: 6-6-2. Season totals: 39-49-3, Pct. .445. Best Bets: 8-9-1, Pct. .472.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.



THURSDAY NIGHT

Seattle
17, SAN FRANCISCO 7 (+4) - Now that the Seahawks have proven that they can lose at home, they will prove that they can win on the road. And I'll let the 49ers prove that they can cover the spread against Seattle - something they have neglected to do even once in the last eight meetings - before I select them to do so.


SUNDAY

Buffalo
27, Jacksonville 17 (+4) - If what passes for a defense in Jacksonville can make a fantasy hero out of Brian Hoyer (24 for 36, 293 yards, three TDs), then why not take a shot with Tyrod Taylor (who is questionable) or E.J. Manuel (28 out of 42 for 263 last week, passing for one TD and also running for one) to do the same? This game, in London, will be the first non-televised NFL game in nearly 70 years, as it will be available only via online streaming, courtesy of Yahoo.

NEW ENGLAND 28, N.Y. Jets 21 (+9) - One would expect the home team to dominate such an intense rivalry - but that has not been the case in this one, at least not against the spread anyway: The home team has covered in just two of the last nine, including 0-5 by the Pats at home, even though New England has won four of the games straight up. Take the points.

Dallas 23 (+6), N.Y. GIANTS 13 - The Giants wouldn't have beaten anybody with that "effort" they turned in Monday night, and Dallas is 18-8 straight up and 18-6-2 against the spread coming off a bye week (both marks second best in the NFL behind Denver), and is also 8-1 straight up and 9-0 against the spread outdoors in 2014-15 and has won five in a row over the Giants, with a 4-0-1 spread record therein. That's a lot of things in favor of America's Team - and there is even a vague chance that Dez Bryant will be back this week. The switch to Matt Cassel at quarterback pays off.

Tampa Bay 24 (+4), WASHINGTON 17 - Back-to-back fatigue games for The Team That Dares Not Speak Its Name, and they're 6-15 both ways - that means straight up and against the spread, for those of you in Rio Linda, West Palm Beach and Staten Island - in those babies. And it's time for Daniel Snyder, who has never been shy about meddling in his team's on-the-field operations, to issue Jay-Jay an ultimatum: Swallow your immense and totally unearned pride and start RG3, or you're gone.

Houston 21 (+5 1/2), MIAMI 10 - The Texans plus five and a half against the Dolphins when they're 7-0 straight up (and 5-2 against the spread) lifetime against the Dolphins? I'll take that bet every day - and, no pun intended, twice on Sunday.

Cleveland 27 (+5 1/2), ST. LOUIS 24 - And I'll take Cleveland 2.0 indoors every time too: Their 13-2 spread record in domes in franchise history includes four outright upsets as touchdown-plus underdogs. Nick Foles has been a major disappointment as a Ram.

DETROIT 24 (+1), Minnesota 20 - I just don't think the Vikings are that good, and it's no mere opinion to state that they are not good on the road: 2-15-1 straight up since 2013. Jim Caldwell saved his job last week, at least for the time being. Going with the Lions to win right back at home.

INDIANAPOLIS 31, New Orleans 17 (+5 1/2) - There is no point in taking the Saints to cover unless you believe they can win the game outright. And why do I say that? Because the last five games in this series have been decided by - you can't make stuff like this up - 148 points. Sean Payton remains on the hot seat.

Atlanta 17, TENNESSEE 14 (+4) - Perhaps Exhibit A on Atlanta's marshmallow-soft schedule - but they struggled to beat Kirk Cousins at home two weeks ago and they haven't beaten The Adams Family on the road since 1981. The Falcons have also been bad news over the past three seasons both on grass (2-8 straight up) and outdoors (3-11). But Marcus Mariota had to cut his Wednesday practice session short (sprained MCL) and Tennessee has lost a league-high eight in a row at home. At a guess, take the points.

KANSAS CITY 16 (+2), Pittsburgh 0 - Don't read too much into the 8-for-12 for 168 yards and two TDs that Landry Jones passed for last week in relief of the injured Michael Vick, who was himself in relief of the injured Ben Roethlisberger, who is not quite yet ready to return, for two reasons: One, that game was at home, and two, Jones didn't have time to get nervous, as he will here. Therefore, Mike Tomlin will regret not having signed Christian Ponder - and if you have Le'Veon Bell on your fantasy team, sit him down, because he is going to get 8- and 9-boxed to death.

SAN DIEGO 27, Oakland 13 (+5 1/2) - What's with all the five-and-a-half-point spreads this week? Even at his advanced age - which he didn't show last week, at Lambeau - Philip Rivers is too good to lose to Derek "Dude, Where's My" Carr at home.

CAROLINA 28, Philadelphia 17 (+3 1/2) - Howard Eskin will never be ready for prime time if he insists on talking the kind of nonsense he spouted on NFL Network Tuesday morning. The lucky-to-be-3-3 Eagles are going to go down to Charlotte and beat the 5-0 Panthers? Besides, Carolina will be seeking revenge against Philadelphia not only for last year's 45-21 Monday night hosing by the Eagles, but also for 4-3 East Carolina's loss to 6-0 Temple, which is going to happen on Thursday night.


MONDAY NIGHT

Baltimore
20 (+7), ARIZONA 16 - Carson Palmer is going back to showing his old inconsistency - but both the Cardinals, with four straight losses to the Ravens, and the favorite in the series, with five consecutive non-covers, have been consistent - a consistently losing proposition, while Baltimore has been a consistently winning proposition indoors of late, having covered in their last five such games. The week's upset special - and one that will kill off many survivor-poolers.


BEST BETS: DALLAS, HOUSTON, CLEVELAND
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