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Old 12-27-2017, 07:03 PM   #1
Anthony
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Cool Anthony's Week 17 NFL Pointspread Picks

Last week: 4-10-2. Season totals: 112-119-6, Pct. .485. Best Bets: 27-20-1, Pct. .573.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.



SUNDAY

Washington
20, N.Y. GIANTS 6 (+3 1/2) - Maybe Eli Manning should retire - and a loss here would assure the Giants the second pick in the 2018 draft, presumably guaranteeing them either Sam Darnold or Josh Rosen. Last chance for Kirk Cousins to plead his case for a lucrative free-agent deal - and help procure a third straight non-losing season since 1999-2001 for Washington as he does.

NEW ENGLAND 34, N.Y. Jets 10 (+16 1/2) - And the Jets should be keenly interested in Cousins - and over the last two years they are 4-11 straight up and 5-10 against the spread on the road, with two of the straight-up wins coming at Cleveland - and the home team in this series has covered four straight after having gone 2-8 against the line in the previous 10. A win means that the Pats lock up the top seed in the AFC, setting up a possible rematch of Super Bowl XXXIX.

Dallas 20 (+2), PHILADELPHIA 7 - I suppose the Eagles won't score too many points in this "Siesta Bowl" - but they better score something: No team that has gotten shut out in their regular-season finale and has made the playoffs has ever reached the conference championship game! Home team in the series is 4-11 straight up and 3-10-2 against the line in this decade, and the Cowboys get even higher on grass even more than Cheech and Chong did, with a by-golly 17-5 outright and 18-4 spread record on it since 2014.

PITTSBURGH 37, Cleveland 3 (+16) - A loss to the winless Browns would ruin team morale for the Steelers heading into the playoffs - and now it's coming out that Hue Jackson has "lost the locker room," which is starting to rival "throwing him (or her) under the bus" in the pantheon of cliche-dom, raising the possibility that he might get fired after all.

DETROIT 17, Green Bay 13 (+7 1/2) - I wouldn't trust the Lions at this number - and Jim Caldwell's New Year's Day gift is likely to be an ax wielded by the Ford family.

Houston 13 (+2 1/2), INDIANAPOLIS 10 - It will be a long time before the Texans get tired of winning in Indianapolis, winning their last two there after losing their first 13. This battle for the AFC South cellar didn't have to happen - and wouldn't have happened had one of these teams signed the John Henry Faulk of the gridiron, Colin Kaepernick.

MINNESOTA 38, Chicago 13 (+12 1/2) - True, only a loss plus a Carolina win and a Rams loss would cost the Vikings a first-round bye - but they will take no chances and smash a Bears team that has lost their last six inside NFL domes by a combined 167-83.

ATLANTA 24, Carolina 14 (+3) - As it says in the Bible, these two teams are "unequally yoked" so far as incentive is concerned, in that the Falcons need to win to make the playoffs while not only are the Panthers already in, but they need a win plus help they are extremely unlikely to get in order to improve their position - and since 2008 Carolina is 14-28 against the line as a visitor on the carpet and 11-17-1 against the line as a visitor in domed stadiums, and is 2-7 against the line at Atlanta. Best bet.

MIAMI 20 (+3), Buffalo 16 - The Bills need a win and a prayer - either a Ravens loss, or losses by both the Titans and Chargers - to get in the playoffs, and Buffalo is 36-73 straight up and 46-61-2 against the line since 1995 as a visitor on the grass, and figures to be a major player in the race for Kirk Cousins.

New Orleans 27, TAMPA BAY 10 (+7 1/2) - Bucs defensive tackle Chris Baker's NC-17-rated post-game tirade was really something to behold by the sound of it, and a car owned by DeSean Jackson was involved in a hit-and-run accident, and hollow-point bullets and marijuana were found in the car. This figures to be last call for Dirk The Not-So-Daring Koetter, who never so much as sniffed the dragon's lair. A win gives the Saints the NFC South title after finishing 7-9 for three seasons in a row and four of the last five.

BALTIMORE 24, Cincinnati 7 (+10) - Ravens shut out the Bengals 20-0 in the City of Satan in the opener, and Marvin Lewis is another outgoing coach. It is unclear whether Andy Dalton's backup, C.J. McCarron, will be either an unrestricted or restricted free agent in March; that will be decided in February. Baltimore nails down a playoff berth with a win, or if Buffalo or Tennessee lose.

TENNESSEE 27, Jacksonville 14 (+5) - The Jaguars probably wish they were around back in the '70s: In odd-numbered weeks, they're 8-0 both ways and have outscored their opponents 247-54, while in even-numbered weeks, they're 2-5 straight up and 1-6 against the spread! And while this is an odd-numbered week, it is also an absolute "Siesta Bowl" - just as their game last week was a virtual "Siesta Bowl" because when the Titans lost their early-time-slot game to the Rams it gave Jacksonville the AFC South title, and needing a Pittsburgh loss to either the Texans or the Browns to have any chance at a first-round bye. As with the Ravens, it's win and they're in for the Titans, who are also in if both the Bills and Chargers lose.

DENVER 23, Kansas City 17 (+3 1/2) - When Fat Boy was with the Eagles it was one horror show after another in "Siesta Bowl" situations - and here's guessing that Vance Joseph is an old-school type and doesn't want to finish in the AFC West basement, a win here and an Oakland loss enabling the Broncos to evade that fate on the grounds of having a better division record than the Raiders in that case.

San Francisco 30 (+6 1/2), L.A. RAMS 27 - Few if any teams go all out to try and get a 3 seed instead of a 4 seed, which is the only thing on the line for the Rams, who have dropped three of their last four to the 49ers, and non-covering in all four. The outlook in San Francisco - oops, I mean Santa Clara - is very bright indeed.

SEATTLE 14, Arizona 10 (+7 1/2) - Since they lost 58-0 at Seattle in 2012, the Cardinals are 3-1 both ways there. A win plus a Falcons loss is what the Seahawks, who have managed just 285 yards of total offense in their last two games, need to punch their postseason ticket.

L.A. CHARGERS 21, Oakland 14 (+9) - Both teams' kickers are struggling - and needing a win plus a Tennessee loss and either a Buffalo loss or a Baltimore win, PlayoffStatus.com rates the Chargers' playoff chances at 32%, compared with 94% for the Ravens, 56% for the Titans, and 18% for the Bills.


BEST BETS: MINNESOTA, ATLANTA, TENNESSEE
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Last edited by Anthony; 12-27-2017 at 07:08 PM.
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Old 12-30-2017, 05:40 AM   #2
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Last Week: 1-2
Season: 15-17


Best Bets:
BAL -10
MIN - 12.5
SF +6.5
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Originally Posted by buckeye
Sounds to me like they're still waiting for a good old-fashion ass kicking.
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