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Old 10-24-2017, 01:26 PM   #1
Anthony
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Cool Anthony's Week 8 NFL Pointspread Picks

Last week: 9-5-1. Season totals: 57-46-1, Pct. .553. Best Bets: 11-9-1, 548.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.



THURSDAY NIGHT

BALTIMORE
17, Miami 10 (+3) - Can't believe what I'm seeing from Joe Flacco - but even this version of Flacco is infinitely more talented than Matt Moore, and the Dolphins have not won in Baltimore since the remake of Baltimore native John Waters' cult classic movie Pink Flamingos came out, which was 1997 - and Miami was outscored 94-39 in the three games that drought entails.


SUNDAY

Minnesota
29, Cleveland 12 (+8 1/2) - None of the quarterbacks on Cleveland's current roster have ever won a game as a starter (Cody Kessler is 0-8, DeShone Kizer is 0-6, and Kevin Hogan is 0-1). This game will be played in London which is why neither team's name appears in capital letters.

N.Y. JETS 23 (+4 1/2), Atlanta 21 - Who cares where either team finished in 2016. This is 2017, when the Falcons are 3-3 and the Jets are 3-4 (and have covered five straight) - so no way should Atlanta be any 4 1/2-point road favorite.

NEW ENGLAND 27, L.A. Chargers 10 (+7) - The Chargers couldn't be much worse in Foxboro, where they're 1-10 straight up and 3-8 against the spread lifetime. Patriots may have righted the ship on defense in the fog Sunday night.

PHILADELPHIA 41, San Francisco 17 (+13) - Could this game be this much of a mismatch? Yes, it sure can.

BUFFALO 27, Oakland 21 (+3) - The Raiders are 2-28 straight up (and 11-19 against the spread) on artificial turf since 2003. Two and twenty-eight! LeSean McCoy had his best game since opening day last week against the Bucs, whose run defense ranks higher (17th) than Oakland's (19th).

Carolina 30 (+2 1/2), TAMPA BAY 27 - The Panthers were spectacularly unlucky last week, and are 6-2 both ways in their last eight versus Tampa Bay - and one has to believe that Carolina has more talent on both sides of the ball.

CINCINNATI 31, Indianapolis 13 (+10) - A 5-foot-9 wide receiver who would be eligible to fight at middleweight in the UFC telling five guys twice his size that they need to play better? The home team in this series has won the last seven meetings by a combined 214-91, and Indianapolis has been outscored by a truly comical 128-49 in three road games this year. Time for the Colts to chuck Chuck Pagano.

NEW ORLEANS 34, Chicago 17 (+9) - This would appear to be a big number on the surface - but while we're on the subject of surfaces, the Bears have lost seven in a row on the carpet by 87 points and have not won or covered in New Orleans since 1991. And can Chicago count on two long touchdown returns from Eddie Jackson or any other member of their defense again this week? - and speaking of two TDs, if the Saints are to be taken seriously as NFC playoff contenders they will win this game by at least that much.

SEATTLE 30, Houston 21 (+6) - The Seahawks have a strong tendency to get tougher and tougher at home as the season progresses - they covered in four of their last five home games last year, three of their last four in 2015, and five of their last six in 2014. And if you're one of these bettors who believes that a trend has to start somewhere, the home team is 2-0-1 against the spread so far in this fledgling series.

Dallas 27, WASHINGTON 20 (+2 1/2) - Dallas is "priced to buy," and has won four in a row at The Big Package Store - and The Team That Dares Not Speak Its Name has already gotten swept by one division rival after losing the first meeting at home.

Pittsburgh 23, DETROIT 13 (+3) - Both of Pennsylvania's teams arguably built up insurmountable leads in their respective divisions last week, fueling talk of an all-state Super Bowl. Steelers have beaten the Lions four in a row, eight of the last nine, and 12 of the last 14. All this and Pittsburgh being the best team in the league at covering in fatigue games too.


MONDAY NIGHT

KANSAS CITY
21, Denver 10 (+7 1/2) - I don't care how many times Trevor Siemian has beaten Paxton Lynch out in training camp: Lynch offers the Broncos their only way of going forward, and they should hand the starting quarterback job to Lynch as soon as Lynch's injured shoulder has sufficiently healed. Dating back to 2007, teams getting shut out are 19-33 straight up and 22-29-1 against the spread in their next game.


BEST BETS: NEW ENGLAND, PHILADELPHIA, CINCINNATI
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Last edited by Anthony; 10-24-2017 at 06:18 PM.
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Old 10-26-2017, 11:13 PM   #2
Jack Knoff
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Last week: 1-2.
Season: 2-4

Suck.



Best Bets
NYJ +4.5 over ATL
BUF -3 over OAK
DAL @ WAS under 49
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Originally Posted by buckeye
Sounds to me like they're still waiting for a good old-fashion ass kicking.
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