Review of Super Bowl LI Betting Results
At BetOnline, which is one of just five books given an A+ rating by Sportsbook Review, Sunday's Super Bowl LI in Houston between the New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons closed with the Patriots as 3-point favorites, -149 on the moneyline, and with a total of 57 that tied for the highest in Super Bowl history. The book was rooting for the Falcons and the under with 66 percent of the lean on New England on the spread, 60 percent on the Pats on the moneyline and 59 percent on over 57 points. So from that perspective in a BetOnline review, the book lost on Super Bowl LI.
When the Patriots were able to stunningly rally from a 28-3 third-quarter deficit and tie the game at 28-all with 19 fourth-quarter points, including a pair of 2-point conversions, the book knew that the total bet already had been a loss. The Falcons never got their chance to win the game in overtime as New England won the coin toss and drove right down the field for the touchdown and the 34-28 victory.
Tom Brady had never won an NFL game when trailing by at least 25 points but led the biggest comeback in Super Bowl history in becoming the first quarterback with five Super Bowl rings. New England was only the fifth team in NFL history to win a game after trailing by 25 or more points in the second half of a game, regular season, or playoffs.
When the Patriots were down 21-3 at the half, New England was -4.5 with the total of 30.5 on the second-half lines, both big wins for bettors. When it was 28-3 early in the third quarter, the book posted a game spread line of Patriots +18.5.
The first touchdown of Super Bowl LI was scored by Falcons running back Devonta Freeman and he paid off at +700. He made it 7-0 at the 12:15 mark of the second quarter on a five-yard run. The book took the most action on that prop on Falcons receiver Mohamed Sanu (+900). It was most exposed with no touchdown being scored at all at in the game +15000.
There has never been a Super Bowl without a touchdown scored. There also had never been one to go to overtime and the book lost on that prop at +700. It's one that tends to take a lot of action every year. Ditto on whether the Super Bowl has a safety. There wasn't one between the Patriots and Falcons, a good thing for the book with heavy exposure on yes for a safety at +700.
Brady was named the game's MVP for a record fourth time. That was a decent result for the book in a BetOnline review, despite plenty of action on the prop because he was the -140 favorite. Brady set a Super Bowl record in throwing for 466 yards. The book was happy that MVP didn't go to Patriots running back James White, who was +10000. He was nearly deserving as Brady in setting a Super Bowl record with 14 receptions and 20 points scored, including the winning TD in overtime on a two-yard run.
Both teams managed to score three unanswered times in the game and that went off as a +200 underdog. One play was especially big for bettors: Falcons defensive back Robert Alford's 82-yard INT return for a touchdown in the second quarter. That paid off on whether there was a defensive or special teams touchdown scored (+175), largest lead of the game by either team at 16.5 points (over -120), longest TD of the game at over/under 49.5 yards (over -110), that Brady throws an interception (+130) and that Alford has a pick (+500).
The entertainment props are always popular at BetOnline and the book largely did well. Lady Gaga sang "God Bless America" as her first song and the field won there. "Poker Face" had been the -200 favorite. More bets came in on whether Lady Gaga would show cleavage at -210 than on Sunday's NBA game between Portland and Oklahoma City. The national anthem by country star Luke Bryan lasted 124.5 seconds. The under was small win for the book, but the sharps were on over.
Finally, the coin toss was a very small loss for the book with 52 percent betting on tails. It came up for the fourth year in a row. New England had called heads.