By David Parish
Thursday, February 20th, 2003
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I have been going over and over and over it again. With football season over
and the world champions crowned, the next big question in sports is who will
reach the NCAA Final Four and ultimately win the national championship.
There are a number of contenders this year, but nobody seems to want to win
the title. Florida was No. 1 for what, 10 minutes, before losing their
very next game. Arizona has been No. 1, but they do not seem to strike
fear into the hearts of their opponents. Louisville went on a 17-game
winning streak and was No. 2 in the country and on the cusp of something
great, but what do you know, that's right, they lose -- to St. Louis
of all teams.
A quick overview of the USA/ESPN poll reveals that this is one of the biggest
years for parity in NCAA men's college basketball. Three of the top five
teams (Kentucky, Texas, and Oklahoma) have at least
three losses and two of the teams (Texas and Oklahoma) have four losses.
Seven of the top 10 teams have four losses with two teams (Kansas
and Notre Dame) having five losses on the year, though ND's loss at
Syracuse will definitely knock them out of the top-10.
Duke is still in the top-10, but that is on past merit, although they
should stay put with a home win over Maryland Wednesday. But that
is what makes college basketball and especially the tournament great, isn't
it? A team that is red-hot going to into the tourney can come out and win
it all, no matter where they are ranked or bracketed.
Right now, I would have to look at a Louisville with Rick Pitino back
in his wheelhouse of college basketball, coaching a team out of nowhere and
back into prominence. As good as they are right now, they can only figure
to get better with the return of Marvin Stone. But where will they
be bracketed? Kentucky is just as hot and playing just as well with
a 15-game winning streak to put them in the No. 2 slot ahead of the Cardinals.
Geography would dictate that they would be bracketed together, but we all
know that that is not how the selection committee works, so it is safe to
assume that they will be in maybe the South or Midwest each and make the
Final Four, giving us two teams right there. But who was Kentucky's last
loss against? That's right, you guessed it -- the Louisville Cardinals (81-63
on Dec. 28).
Arizona will take a No. 1 seed into the tournament with an easy schedule
down the stretch, but look for them to get upset in the Sweet 16 round. As
strong as they can look at times, they can also have some inexplicable losses
(see LSU and Stanford). Right now, I would have to look for
Notre Dame to beat Arizona, filling in the third team in the Final Four.
The East bracket is the hardest bracket to call. With no true dominant team
in the East anymore, look for a team to come out of its part of the country
and put itself in the East. I have heard that Texas could become the
No. 1 team in the East. But the one team I keep coming back to in the East
is Syracuse.
I have had Syracuse basketball shoved down my throat my whole life and they
can be one of the most frustrating teams in the world to follow. I don't
know if Jim Boheim is a terrible coach or a genius, but I know one
thing, he wins. He has a team this year featuring Carmelo Anthony
that is tailored made to make one of their inexplicable runs to the Final
Four as they did back in 1987 and 1996, when they were led by John
Wallace. I like Syracuse in an upset to take this bracket, giving us
the Final Four matchups of Louisville vs. Notre Dame and Syracuse vs. Kentucky.
Kentucky and Louisville will meet in the finals and of course the media will
blow the game out of proportion with Pitino coming back to beat his old team
for another national championship, but Keith Bogans will make sure
that no such thing happens as Tubby Smith wins his second national
title.
Of course, the way college basketball is going this year, by next Monday,
it could all be different.
It's great, isn't it?
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