By Brad
Oremland
Monday, September 30th, 2003
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Five Quick Hits
* Orson Wells once said, "I hate television. I hate it as much as peanuts.
But I can't stop eating peanuts." That's how I feel about Peter King columns
these days. I hate them as much as I hate peanuts. But I can't stop eating
peanuts.
* Easily the biggest game of the season so far: Denver at Kansas City. If
your local television provider isn't showing the game, go somewhere that
is. (Editor's Note: Or get NFL Sunday Ticket on DirecTV!)
* Of course, even that game could be eclipsed just a day later, when the
Colts travel to Tampa on Monday night. That could be a Super Bowl preview.
* He could stand to shut up once in a while, but I think the media is making
too big a deal out of Terrell Owens' latest outburst.
* The Vikings will be high on most people's boards this week, and you have
to respect 4-0, but they have yet to play a team in the top-half of my rankings.
Their first real test is Denver at home in Week 7.
On to the rankings, and the usual routine about the number in brackets: rank
from the previous week.
1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers [1] -- John Lynch is in the new Chunky Soup
commercials. Is he next in line for the curse? Terrell Davis got hurt, Michael
Strahan lost his mojo, and Donovan McNabb did both. I hope Lynch rested up
during the bye week.
2) Kansas City Chiefs [2] -- If you're talking about careers, Brian
Mitchell and Mel Gray are the greatest return specialists of the last 20
years. But if you're talking about peak performance over, say, a year, Dante
Hall is the best kick-returner since Gale Sayers in his prime.
3) Indianapolis Colts [4] -- "Marvin Harrison has to be more than
a decoy in the offense," I wrote last week. 158 yards and 3 TDs
later, the Colts had blown out the Saints in New Orleans. I've been skeptical
about the radical improvement their defense has been credited with since
Tony Dungy arrived in town, but it's for real.
4) Denver Broncos [3] -- I would have been happy to keep Denver third,
but Indianapolis had such a dominant game on the road Sunday night that it
would be crazy not to have them in the top-three. The most interesting
development in the thin air of Colorado is Ashley Lelie's rapid ascent to
the top receiving position in the Broncos' offense. We all knew he had speed,
but the guy is a fantastic playmaker, too. He could be a surprise Pro Bowl
pick.
5) Tennessee Titans [5] -- At this point, I think Steve McNair has
to be considered the best quarterback in the NFL, maybe even the best player,
period. His game has developed enormously from the days when he was considered
little more than a running threat in the mold of Kordell Stewart. Tennessee
has a dependable defense and Eddie George isn't completely out of gas yet,
but McNair carries the Titans the way Brett Favre has carried the Packers
for the last 10 seasons.
6) Miami Dolphins [6] -- The bye week can only be good for Ricky Williams.
Dave Wannstedt is desperate to protect his job, and I think he's overusing
Williams as a result. Maybe Ricky left all his problems in New Orleans, but
it would be a real shame if his injury problems resurface after so many carries.
I still haven't gotten over the 1999 season, when four of the game's five
best running backs (Terrell Davis, Jamal Anderson, Garrison Hearst, and Fred
Taylor) from the previous season went down with injuries after career-highs
in touches.
7) Seattle Seahawks [7] -- It's tough to criticize a team that's 3-0,
but defying convention is more fun than following it. Shaun Alexander is
great. Koren Robinson is very good. Darrell Jackson is good. Matt Hasselbeck,
at this point in the season, has only been average. He needs to play better.
8) Minnesota Vikings [10] -- I used the first two picks of my fantasy
draft on Marvin Harrison and Randy Moss. I am very, very happy about that
this week. Moss, when he plays the way he did this weekend, is as dominant
as any player in the game. He made Gus Frerotte look like a superstar. That
said, I think Minnesota's rout of the 49ers says more about San Francisco
than it does about the Vikings.
9) New York Giants [9] -- I don't really feel like the Giants deserve
to be ranked this high, but I can't figure out who else to put ahead of them.
They're 2-1 and strong playoff contenders in this year's weak NFC. The defense
is above-average and the offense could break out if the offensive line solidifies
a bit or Kerry Collins takes his game to the next level.
10) Carolina Panthers [17] -- Stephen Davis had a sensational game
against Atlanta, and he's obviously made a huge difference for the Panthers,
who have never really had an elite running back. But what amazes me is their
special teams. No team -- even the Chiefs -- has gotten more from the third
unit than Carolina has. Teams are going to have to devote extra practice
time to neutralizing Carolina's special teams, and that frees up the offense
and defense a bit.
11) St. Louis Rams [12] -- Finally ran the ball ... now that Marshall
Faulk is injured. Bizarre strategy aside, this team is finally starting to
utilize its weapons. Kurt Warner is safely planted on the bench, Torry Holt
continues to improve, and the defense looks good.
12) Philadelphia Eagles [15] -- This might be a little too high, but
I like what I saw of their game against Buffalo. Running the ball with RBs
and with Donovan McNabb. Last week, I talked about the Colts' failure to
shoot their biggest weapon (Harrison). The Eagles' biggest cannon is
unquestionably McNabb. Limiting his role in the offense can only hurt the
team. And let's see Brian Westbrook continue to get some carries. I'm surprised
he's not already the go-to running back on the team.
13) Pittsburgh Steelers [11] -- Despite the embarrassment they suffered
against Tennessee, the Steelers are really in pretty good shape. They're
tied with Baltimore for first in the AFC North, and they haven't lost to
a team outside of the top-five in my power rankings. If you beat all but
the very top teams in the league, you'll make the playoffs, and anything
can happen there.
14) Buffalo Bills [8] -- Six spots is probably too big a drop based
on their loss to Philadelphia, but my old prejudices against the Bills are
coming back into play -- I really just don't believe the offense can stay
consistent or that teams won't figure out the revamped defense. And they're
a close 14th. They could move back up quickly.
15) Washington Redskins [21] -- I've been skeptical about Washington
all season, but I'm finally giving them a big jump. Which is a sure sign
that they will lose to Philadelphia this weekend. I don't generally advise
betting on my picks, but I'm pretty sure the Eagles will win next Sunday.
16) Baltimore Ravens [16] -- Staying close against the Chiefs will
not drop you into the bottom-half of the rankings. The Ravens played tough
defense and okay offense, basically losing the game on Hall's kick return.
This isn't the 2000 Ravens, but there are some remarkable similarities.
17) Green Bay Packers [18] -- It wouldn't be unreasonable to have
them higher after they thrashed Chicago in the first game at the new Soldier
Field. But 2-2 Baltimore hung tight with Kansas City, and the Packers (also
2-2) hung tight with Arizona. If they beat Seattle next week, they'll make
a move up the rankings, but wins over Detroit and Chicago don't impress me.
18) Oakland Raiders [14] -- With deep threat Jerry Porter out of action,
the Raiders need another speedy receiver, and Alvis Whitted is not the answer.
But Charlie Garner could be. He's really fast and he's got good hands. Tyrone
Wheatley and Zach Crockett can handle the backfield duties if Garner made
a temporary move to WR, and I think it would give opponents fits. It's also
worth mentioning that Charles Woodson can play receiver.
19) New England Patriots [13] -- Another team that's probably lower
than it should be. This will all be sorted out in a few weeks. I didn't see
their game against Washington, but one thing that's missing from their recent
Super Bowl season is dynamic special teams. The Chiefs and Panthers have
made that a vital part of their winning recipes, and New England would be
wise to try to do the same.
20) Dallas Cowboys [24] -- They're tied with the Giants and ahead
of the Eagles. That won't last, but I'm impressed with what I've seen: a
ball-control offense backing up a strong defense. If Quincy Carter can keep
the turnovers to a minimum and make a couple big plays every week, the Cowboys
will finish around .500.
21) Cleveland Browns [19] -- I don't believe that the Bengals are
better than Cleveland, although it was certainly an embarrassing loss in
front of the home crowd. William Green was supposed to be a key part of the
offense this year, and he hasn't done anything yet. The Browns will continue
to struggle if they don't have a running game.
22) San Francisco 49ers [20] -- I think San Francisco is in big trouble,
but I can't bring myself to rank them behind Cincinnati. I don't want to
echo everyone else, but since I've been saying it for six months I feel pretty
comfortable: Dennis Erickson is not as good as Steve Mariucci. The 49er
management made a big mistake by firing Mooch, and then another by choosing
Erickson over someone like Monte Kiffin or Ted Cottrell.
23) Cincinnati Bengals [26] -- I already had them higher than experts
at SI and ESPN last week, and they make a modest jump this week after
a win that I don't consider a huge upset. They'll miss Corey Dillon, though.
24) New Orleans Saints [22] -- No word better describes the Saints
right now than "reeling." They came into the season confident, but sandwiched
a win over Houston between an upset loss to the Seahawks and a blowout defeat
in Tennessee. Now they're caught in a spiral. This team is better than it
played against Indianapolis, and they'll eventually find their rhythm. But
right now, they're reeling, and they could lose to Chicago in Week 6 if Jim
Haslett can't get them straight.
25) Houston Texans [30] -- Unlike the folks at ESPN who would be jumping
all over Dom Capers if the Texans had lost on Sunday -- that is, if Houston
failed to score a TD when Capers chose not to kick a game-tying field goal
-- I'm not crazy about the call that sent David Carr into the endzone with
the game-winner. But I do think Capers deserves a ton of credit for having
this team 2-2.
26) Detroit Lions [29] -- They played the Vikings and Broncos close
the last two weeks, and they have a win. That's enough to be ranked 26th
right now. The young offense should be a joy to watch next year, when there's
a little more chemistry, a little more maturity and experience, and another
year with Mariucci. Probably another high draft-pick, too.
27) Atlanta Falcons [23] -- Three-straight losses after an easy
opening-week victory over the Cowboys. There's a lot more wrong with this
team than Mike Vick can fix. What on earth happened to the defense?
28) San Diego Chargers [27] -- Marty Schottenheimer used to make a
business of winning close games like the one they played on Sunday. Of course,
he also used to have a good defense.
29) New York Jets [25] -- In another year, the 0-4 Jets could be ranked
last. As a matter of fact, in 1994, they would have been worse than last,
since there were only 28 teams then and I have them 29th now. Herm Edwards
hasn't done a good job so far this season.
30) Jacksonville Jaguars [28] -- It is really hard not to rank the
Jaguars last. Hugh Douglas has been invisible, and he was their only real
hope for improvement this season. Byron Leftwich is not ready to start in
the NFL just yet, as evidenced by his three interceptions against the Texans.
There's no need to rush his progress, and I think he should be on the bench
for now.
31) Arizona Cardinals [31] -- The announcers in their loss at St.
Louis kept mistaking Rams dominance for Arizona's pitifully poor play. They're
really not good, especially the defense and rushing game. Time of possession
is going to be a problem for the Cardinals all season.
32) Chicago Bears [32] -- It's difficult to find anything particularly
good about the Bears this year. The closest thing, I guess, is Brian Urlacher,
although I stand by my opinion that he is the most overrated player in the
NFL. If he had a better supporting cast, Urlacher would be a lot more effective.
Right now, teams are having little trouble neutralizing him.
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