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-   -   NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 16 (https://www.sports-central.org/community/boards/showthread.php?t=11313)

Anthony 12-21-2004 04:16 AM

NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 16
 
Sponsored By:
Game Day Ritual
The Next Generation of Fantasy Baseball

Here are the opening lines for Week 16:

Friday, December 24:

MINNESOTA 3 over Green Bay (3:00 PM EST)

Saturday, December 25:

KANSAS CITY 7 over Oakland (5:00 PM EST)
Denver 4 over TENNESSEE (8:30 PM EST)

Sunday, December 26:

PITTSBURGH 6 over Baltimore (1:00 PM EST)
JACKSONVILLE 6 1/2 over Houston
CINCINNATI 6 over N.Y. Giants
DETROIT 6 over Chicago
INDIANAPOLIS 7 over san Diego
NEW ORLEANS 2 over Atlanta
New England 3 over N.Y. JETS (4:05 PM EST)
Buffalo 9 1/2 over SAN FRANCISCO
DALLAS 3 over Washington (4:15 PM EST)
TAMPA BAY 3 1/2 over Carolina (Note Time Change)
SEATTLE 7 over Arizona
MIAMI 6 over Cleveland (8:30 PM EST)

Monday, December 27:

Philadelphia 2 1/2 over ST. LOUIS (9:00 PM EST)

Home team in CAPS; national TV games in red.

IMPORTANT: Don't forget to designate three games as Best Bets. These are used to break ties between pickers with the same overall record; if no Best Bets are included the picker is placed behind all others who have the same overall record.

Deadline for posting picks is kickoff of earliest game listed.

Any unpicked game counts as an automatic loss, even if game ends in push vs. spread. If a poster has left a game unpicked, the selection on that game may be added at any time before the kickoff of the earliest game played that week (if I notice that someone has left a game unpicked, I will attempt to contact the poster by sending a private message; however there is no guarantee that I will catch every single one, especially in the case of picks posted very late in the week. Under no circumstances can any pick be changed (from one team to the opposing team, or changing a Best Bet from one game to another) once it has been posted.

Pushes count as ties (half a win and half a loss) in calculating both overall record and record in applicable tie-breakers.


WEEK 17 TIE-BREAKER GAMES

Next week, there is only one nationally-televised game (Dallas at N.Y. Giants, Sunday night; there is no Monday night game next week). Therefore there will be four designated tie-breaker games; however, the procedure used to identify these four games will be based on the playoff scenarios, rather than the combined won-lost records of the teams in each game. Specifically, priority will be given to games that have playoff implications for both teams; if there be not four such games, next priority is given to games that have playoff implications for one team.

"Playoff implications" are defined in this order:

1. A team may or may not make the playoffs, depending on the result of their game alone, or their game in combination with another or other games.

2. A team has clinched a playoff spot but may or may not win a division title, depending on the result of their game alone, or their game in combination with another or other games.

3. A team has clinched a division title but may or may not earn a first-round bye, depending on the result of their game alone, or their game in combination with another or other games.

4. A team has clinched a first-round bye but may or may not earn home-field advantage throughout the playoffs in their conference, depending on the result of their game alone, or their game in combination with another or other games.

The order of priority listed above will be used to identify the four designated tie-breaker games in the event that five or more games meet the criteria for having "playoff implications," either for both teams or for one team, within each segment. If there be not four games that even have playoff implications for one team, the criteria that were used prior to Week 15 will be used to select the remaining games, except that any game involving a team that has clinched home field throughout the playoffs in their conference will not be considered.


Standings After 15 Weeks

1. Nate: 337
2. Jeff Boswell: 336
3. KevinBeane: 284
4. Doug Graham: 213
5. abogdan: 185
6. MaddEnemy: 175.5
7. Orange Man: 171
8. Marc: 146.5
9. bama4256: 127.5
10. Anthony: 98
11. Hero: 43.5

Non-Qualifiers (inactive for last 3 weeks or more):
gconnhokiebird: 72
Alex: 49
MountaineerDave: 48.5
ESP0704: 13.5
#99: 0
DublinMike: 0
digital7: 0
franky: 0

MaddEnemy 12-22-2004 02:01 AM

Edited: Forgot Fridays Game
Green Bay

Saturday, December 25:

Oakland
Denver

Sunday, December 26:

Baltimore BB
Houston
N.Y. Giants
Chicago
san Diego
NEW ORLEANS
N.Y. JETS
SAN FRANCISCO
DALLAS BB
Carolina
Arizona
Miami BB
Monday, December 27:

ST. LOUIS

abogdan 12-22-2004 10:24 AM

MINNESOTA
KANSAS CITY
Denver
Baltimore
JACKSONVILLE
N.Y. Giants
DETROIT
INDIANAPOLIS
NEW ORLEANS
New England BB
SAN FRANCISCO
Washington
Carolina BB
Arizona
MIAMI
Philadelphia BB

Hero 12-22-2004 10:51 PM

MINNESOTA
Oakland
Denver
PITTSBURGH
JACKSONVILLE
CINCINNATI
Chicago
INDIANAPOLIS (BB)
NEW ORLEANS
New England (BB)
Buffalo
DALLAS
TAMPA BAY
SEATTLE
Cleveland
Philadelphia (BB)

Marc 12-22-2004 10:59 PM

Green Bay
KANSAS CITY
TENNESSEE
PITTSBURGH
JACKSONVILLE
CINCINNATI
DETROIT
INDIANAPOLIS
Atlanta
New England (BB)
Buffalo (BB)
DALLAS
Carolina
SEATTLE (BB)
MIAMI
Philadelphia

Anthony 12-23-2004 06:06 AM

Last week: 6-10. Season totals: 100-118-6, Pct. .460. Best Bets: 18-26-1, Pct. .411.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team.


FRIDAY

MINNESOTA 31, Green Bay 24 (+3) - Both teams are 8-6 but the Packers have clinched a playoff spot while the Vikings haven't, which could give Minnesota an emotional edge; and Green Bay seldom holds any kind of edge on artificial turf (12-31 against the spread since 1994) and/or indoors (5-15-1 against the spread since 1997). Siding with the home team in this NFC North championship game.

SATURDAY

KANSAS CITY 45, Oakland 41 (+7) - The weather-advantage angle hasn't been productive this season, going 9-11 for the year, including 1-4 last week; and this one figures to go back and forth with the last team in possession winning.

Denver 33, TENNESSEE 31 (+4) - Billy Volek has the Steve DeBerg thing down pat - 918 yards the last two games and the Titans lost them both! Still, the Broncos are showing little in the way of guts and haven't beaten Bud Adams' team on the road since 1983 so you gotta take it.

SUNDAY

CINCINNATI 27, N.Y. Giants 24 (+6) - Eli Manning finally showed something last Saturday, and despite the Bengals being one game ahead of the Giants Cincinnati is already eliminated from playoff contention in the AFC while the Giants are still alive in the NFC, albeit barely. Carson Palmer did not practice on Wednesday and Jon Kitna hasn't exactly set the world on fire in Palmer's absence; lean toward the underdog despite the home team's spotless 6-0 straight-up mark in the series.

N.Y. JETS 23 (+3), New England 13 - Instead of winning out, the Patriots may end up spinning out; and I wouldn't advise anyone to walk into a bar in the Boston area and start singing the Notre Dame fight song.

PITTSBURGH 34, Baltimore 3 (+6) - If not for the Ravens, the Steelers would be pursuing the '72 Dolphins. After this game, you'll be able to say that if not for the Steelers, the Ravens might have made the playoffs. Best bet.

JACKSONVILLE 30, Houston 14 (+6 1/2) - The 20-6 final score by which Houston won the first meeting is highly misleading because the Jaguars were driving toward a game-tying touchdown in the final minute when the Texans picked Byron Leftwich off and ran it back for a TD. Assuming the Steelers do win, Jacksonville will make the playoffs by winning here and then next week at a half-empty stadium in Oakland.

DETROIT 27, Chicago 13 (+6) - Brian Urlacher has been placed on injured reserve, ending his season; in the five games Urlacher did not play in this year the Bears allowed more than 26 points per game, compared with less than 17 per game in the nine that he did. Chicago has also lost seven in a row in domes, and the Lions will be well motivated with an opportunity to evade the division cellar for the first time since 2000 on the line.

INDIANAPOLIS 28, San Diego 24 (+7) - San Diego's 26th-ranked pass defense means Peyton Manning most likely breaks Marino's record, but San Diego's 18-6-1 spread record inside NFL domes since 1992 means the Chargers most likely cover.

NEW ORLEANS 17, Atlanta 0 (+2) - Did you see Michael Vick hurt his shoulder at any time during Saturday night's game? Well Jim Mora Jr. insists that he did, so someone named Matt Schaub will start at quarterback for the Falcons, who are locked into the second seed in the NFC and a first-round bye. So now a number of other NFC teams will be locked out of the playoffs.

Carolina 23 (+3 1/2), TAMPA BAY 10 - The Bucs have been hosed! This game has been moved to the late time slot, and if the Saints do beat Atlanta's junior varsity in their early game Tampa Bay is eliminated from the playoff chase before this one even kicks off, or only a few minutes after; then Gruden probably gives some new faces a look (most notably Chris Simms at quarterback), and you know the rest.

DALLAS 28, Washington 14 (+3) - The Cowboys are Washington's daddy! What else do I have to say?

SEATTLE 24, Arizona 20 (+7) - The Seahawks eliminate the embarrassing possibility of a sub-.500 team winning a division title, but this number is impossible to lay.

Buffalo 28, SAN FRANCISCO 13 (+9 1/2) - In their last eight games, seven of which they won, the Bills have scored a mind-boggling 103 points as the result of their opponents' blunders on offense and special teams. This run of luck has to end sooner or later, but even if it comes to a complete halt this week they should be able to scratch out a cover even with Willis McGahee possibly missing the game as the 49ers move one step closer to becoming the first team to go through an entire non-strike season without a non-overtime victory since the 0-14 expansion Buccaneers of 1976.

MIAMI 35, Cleveland 10 (+6) - The Browns stay on track to go both winless and coverless on the road for the season. But this is not as rare as one would think: The Cardinals did it last year, for example.

MONDAY NIGHT

Philadelphia 20, ST. LOUIS 13 (+2 1/2) - The Rams are showing absolutely no character whatsoever and are 0-9-1 against the line in their last ten games outside the NFC West; they have also burned the money seven consecutive times against the Eagles, who are 16-1 straight up and 15-2 against the spread on prime time under Andy Reid (who won't have to put on those tights after all) and might actually win this even without T.O. and with other starters making cameo appearances if that.

BEST BETS: PITTSBURGH, JACKSONVILLE, NEW ORLEANS

N.Y. Giants at Cincinnati is in a circle because Bengals quarterback Carson Palmer is questionable, Atlanta at New Orleans is in a circle because the Falcons may rest some players, Arizona at Seattle is in a circle because Seahawks quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is questionable, Buffalo at San Francisco is in a circle because Bills running back Willis McGahee is questionable, and Philadelphia at St. Louis is in a circle because the Eagles may rest some players.

Jeff Boswell 12-23-2004 10:48 AM

NFL Pointspread Contest
 
Green Bay
Oakland
Tennessee
Baltimore
Jacksonville
N.Y. Giants
Detroit
San Diego
New Orleans
N.Y. Jets
Buffalo
Washington
Carolina
Arizona
Miami
Philadelphia

Jeff Boswell 12-23-2004 10:50 AM

Best Bets
Jacksonville
New Orleans
Miami

bama4256 12-23-2004 04:46 PM

MINNESOTA

Saturday, December 25:

KANSAS CITY
Denver

Sunday, December 26:

Baltimore-Best bet
JACKSONVILLE
N.Y. Giants
DETROIT
san Diego-Best bet
NEW ORLEANS
N.Y. JETS
Buffalo
Washington
TAMPA BAY
SEATTLE
Cleveland

Monday, December 27:

Philadelphia-Best bet

KevinBeane 12-23-2004 05:59 PM

Green Bay
Oakland
TENNESSEE
Baltimore
JACKSONVILLE
N.Y. Giants
DETROIT
San Diego
NEW ORLEANS
N.Y. JETS (BB)
SAN FRANCISCO
Washington
Carolina(BB)
Arizona(BB)
Cleveland
Philadelphia

Ross 12-24-2004 01:51 PM

MINNESOTA
KANSAS CITY
Denver
PITTSBURGH (BB)
JACKSONVILLE
CINCINNATI
DETROIT
San Diego
NEW ORLEANS
N.Y. JETS
Buffalo (BB)
DALLAS
Carolina
Arizona
MIAMI (BB)
Philadelphia

Anthony 12-27-2004 05:03 AM

MaddEnemy was the only one who picked the Rams, and that act of swimming against the tide will pay off in the form of a first-place finish if St. Louis does indeed cover. Should the Eagles begin life without T.O. with a cover, KevinBeane wins Week 16.

Complete details and results after the game

MaddEnemy 12-27-2004 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Anthony
MaddEnemy was the only one who picked the Rams, and that act of swimming against the tide will pay off in the form of a first-place finish if St. Louis does indeed cover. Should the Eagles begin life without T.O. with a cover, KevinBeane wins Week 16.

Complete details and results after the game


St. Louis.

Blahhhh I have little faith in them but maybe the T.O. crap and the fact the Eagles really don't need to play any starters will help the Rams win this

By the way Anthony, did you get my PM?

Anthony 12-28-2004 04:23 AM

Week 16 Results
 
1. MaddEnemy: 10-4-2 ... 171 points
2. KevinBeane: 8-6-2 (2-1) [3-2] ... 54 points
3. Anthony: 8-6-2 (2-1) [1-4] ... 27 points
4. Jeff Boswell: 8-6-2 (1-2) ... 18 points
5. Orange Man: 7-7-2 (2-1) ... 12 points
6. Hero: 7-7-2 (1-2) ... 9 points
7. abogdan: 6-8-2 (2-1) ... 6 points
8. bama4256: 6-8-2 (1-2) ... 3 points

9. Marc: 5-9-2

(Best Bet record)
[Record in tie-breaker games]

For updated standings - and details on our Playoff Pointspread Contest - see the Week 17 contest thread.


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