Sports Central Message Boards

Sports Central Message Boards (
-   National Football League (
-   -   Anthony's Week 12 NFL Pointspread Picks (

Anthony 11-22-2017 08:51 AM

Anthony's Week 12 NFL Pointspread Picks
Last week: 5-8-1. Season totals: 81-74-3, Pct. .522. Best Bets: 18-14-1, Pct. .561.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.


23 (+1), Minnesota 20 - Only the second situation so far this season in which a team won the first meeting over a division rival on the road and now gets the second meeting at home (there have usually been more by Thanksgiving) - but the fifth time it has happened in this series since 2011, with the first-meeting road winner completing the sweep all four times, that winner being Detroit on three occasions. It figures to be a totally awesome weekend for the Eagles, who figure to open a two-game lead on the rest of the NFC.

DALLAS 24, L.A. Chargers 17 (+1) - The Cowboys will likely get both Tyron Smith and Sean Lee back - and assuming that the roof at God's Country isn't left open twice in a row after having been open on Sunday night for the first time since 2012 (also against the Eagles back then), the Chargers' 1-5 straight-up and 2-4 spread records since 2011 inside NFL domes will be an issue.

WASHINGTON 20, N.Y. Giants 16 (+7 1/2) - Washington's 4-6 start has been compiled against opponents with a combined 63-37 record, but now come six games versus foes who are 20-40 among them. But it's probably too late for The Team That Dares Not Speak Its Name to make a realistic playoff run in what this year is the vastly superior NFC and this line appears to be on the steep side so take the points.


Carolina 14, N.Y. JETS 13 (+4) - The home team in this series is just about as close to being perfect lifetime both ways without actually being such - its lone loss being by one point (in 2001) and its only non-cover by half a point (in 2013). Plus Carolina is 14-25-1 straight up and 13-27 against the line since 2008 as a visitor on the carpet, and 6-11 and 7-10 since 2006 as a visitor in cold weather, and the notoriously swirling winds at MetLife Stadium (predicted to be 15 MPH for Sunday) are going to make it feel significantly colder than the forecast low-40s kickoff-time temperature. Take the points - at least.

PHILADELPHIA 42, Chicago 17 (+13) - Maybe the Eagles had to beat a Dallas team that was without their franchise running back, their All-Pro offensive tackle, the undisputed leader of their defense, and even their regular placekicker. But they didn't have to win the way they did - and here they are hosting a team that is 1-11 straight up and 4-8 against the spread on the road in 2016-17, and the gameplan that Philly defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz will devise for Mitchell Trubisky will border on sadism.

NEW ENGLAND 45, Miami 7 (+17) - Bill Belichick has his defense peaking at the right time - and the Dolphins, who have lost eight in a row in Foxboro (2-6 against the spread and outscored 255-109) and are 6-13 both ways on artificial turf since 2013 and 20-41 straight up and 26-34-1 against the spread in cold weather dating all the way back to 1995, could be without Jay Cutler (concussion).

CINCINNATI 24, Cleveland 13 (+9) - Bengals won the first meeting 31-7 at Cleveland in Week 4, giving them six straight wins and covers over the Browns by a combined 183-47 - and in both of the last two weeks Cleveland has blown the cover in the final minute, which leads me to believe that the latest renewal of this recently lopsided rivalry will be closer, as in Randy Bullock icing the game, and the cover, with a field goal in the last two minutes.

ATLANTA 31, Tampa Bay 23 (+10) - Buccaneers are showing admirable spunk in Crab Legs' absence and these NFC South clashes have a way of being close, and sometimes (as we saw three weeks ago) getting ugly. Would tend to take it - especially with the Falcons coming off a short week and precisely the kind of game most likely to produce a letdown.

INDIANAPOLIS 17 (+4 1/2), Tennessee 16 - In 2002, the first year of the AFC South's existence, the Titans swept the Colts - but not once since, and maybe Tennessee's current nine-game losing streak in Indianapolis (2-7 against the spread) has something to do with that. The Titans have also struggled on rugs of late - 3-12 straight up, 4-11 against the spread since 2013 - and just found out that they flat out don't belong with the big boys, courtesy of the Steelers. Upset special.

KANSAS CITY 31, Buffalo 14 (+9 1/2) - Fat Boy lost his first game to the Bills 26-0 in his first year at Philadelphia, but he's 5-1 both ways against them since and Rex Ryan, hardly the forgiving type, must be getting a real kick out of what Sean McDermott, another one of your typical ex-assistant fair-haired boys, is doing to New York State's Only Team, who should suffer another one of their usual losses and non-covers on grass this week.

Seattle 20, SAN FRANCISCO 17 (+7) - Kyle Shanahan, concomitantly an ex-assistant fair-haired boy and the coaching equivalent of a trust-fund baby, may be forced to do the right thing and turn to Jimmy Garoppolo as C.J. Beathard (thumb) may not be available. And like Al Franken's antics, Seattle's money burning is so terrible it has me groping for answers!

ARIZONA 17 (+5), Jacksonville 13 - Even if Drew Stanton (knee) can make it back, Bruce Arians might as well give Blaine Gabbert a shot at revenge against the team that dumped him - and the Jags are more like Yugos indoors: 1-6 straight up and 2-4-1 against the spread since 2013. A surprising number of underdogs look good in a week this late in the season.

L.A. RAMS 35, New Orleans 21 (+2 1/2) - The Rams are one of the few teams who can keep up with the Saints in a shootout should it come to that - and the road team in this series hasn't been able to keep up lately, getting outscored 138-71 in the last four, with all four losses being of the double-digit variety. The Eagles get their two-game lead on the rest of the NFC.

OAKLAND 27, Denver 10 (+5) - The Broncos have fired offensive coordinator Mike McCoy (who flopped at his old job after flopping as a head coach with the Chargers), but since they didn't fire any of the players while they were at it I still like the Raiders.

PITTSBURGH 24, Green Bay 0 (+13 1/2) - When the tabloid reporter asked Divine what her political views were in the 1972 cult classic film Pink Flamingos, Divine, who was transgender decades before the term was even coined, replied, "Kill everyone now. Condone first-degree murder. Advocate cannibalism. Eat s---. Filth are my politics, filth is my life" (Divine claimed to be the "Filthiest Person Alive" in the film - and let's just say that claim wasn't predicated upon standards of personal hygiene and leave it at that). Similarly, the only politics the Packers have a right to concern themselves with is the politics of winning - and Colin Kaepernick, with his 16 touchdowns, just four interceptions, and 90.7 passer rating in 2016, clearly gives them a much better chance of doing that than Brett Hundley and his two touchdowns, seven interceptions, and 63.3 rating in 2017. So if the Packers, who have not won in Pittsburgh since 1970, lose every game the rest of the season and get shut out a couple more times like they did last week at home against Baltimore, they get no sympathy from this corner whatsoever.


16, Houston 0 (+7) - Where the Packers have a solid shot at two shutout losses in a row, the Ravens have a solid shot at two shutout wins in a row, with the Texans never having won in Baltimore and being 1-6 both ways on grass since switching to grass at home after their opener last year, and having losses and non-covers in each of their last three in cold weather.


Jack Knoff 11-22-2017 10:02 PM

Last Week: 1-1
Season: 6-11

Best Bets:
BUF +9.5 over KC
DEN +5 over OAK
LAR -2.5 over NO

Marc 11-23-2017 10:07 AM

Anthony, check your PMs/e-mails. Not sure why you haven't gotten back to me.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:55 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, vBulletin Solutions Inc.