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Silver Dragon 11-27-2007 02:22 AM

Silver Dragon's Week 13 Picks
If you’re going to go down, go down in style! Well, I don’t know how much style I did it in, but I did go down, only Miami saved me from falling below the .500 mark…at your expense, I thank you guys! I think this week emphasized the fact that there is no such thing as a sure thing as we watched Eli Manning literally throw away any chance New York had to win, San Francisco found a way to sweep Arizona in both of their match ups, Devin Hester fueled a fire that started a comeback victory in a game the should have been lost, and A.J. Feeley came one ill-decided pass away from the biggest upset of the season. Of course I wasn’t satisfied with the drama the NFL dished out this week so I added my own by picking upsets that only upset me. Houston couldn’t get it done, Tennessee fell short, Washington lost the intensity they brought to Dallas, and Baltimore couldn’t carry the intensity that almost won them the game the week before. All that and I finish the week with the weak and feeble record of 8-8, and a season total of 108-68 (.614). This week SCREAMS from improvement, so lets get the show on the road!

Thursday, November 29 2007

Green Bay Packers(10-1) at Dallas Cowboys(10-1) 8:15PM
What a match up, what a game! To bad it will be aired on NFL Network!!! What a rip off! Local fans in Green Bay and Dallas without NFL Network won’t even be able to watch this game without a ticket, and I’m expecting one hard fought match. Brett Favre is having the season of a career, and it’s been a long career at that. Tony Romo is still fresh and new to the league, but has numbers of his own to back the talk the Cowboys are talking. Such a hard call, such a great match up, and most of the “experts” are literally giving this to the home team. I can’t say how many times I’ve heard “I’m taking Dallas, but it this game was at Lambeau…,” well I’m not waiting for the rematch in Lambeau, I’m taking the upset early this week. Game One, Thursday night, the Packers will travel to Dallas and upset the Cowboys.
Packers in the upset!

Sunday, December 2 2007

Atlanta Falcons(3-8) at St. Louis Rams(2-9) 1:00PM
Both of these teams have suffered from injuries and bad seasons. Now they match up while the Rams have started to pick up some steam. With Steven Jackson back in the backfield, Marc Bulger and Gus Frerotte have been finding time to breath and the Rams have marked up two wins and a near miss on the third. Joey Harrington will be leading the Falcons into this game with hopes of taking advantage of the less than stellar Rams defense. It could be a close game, but I’m going with the home team for this match up.
Rams get back on a winning track.

Buffalo Bills(5-6) at Washington Redskins(5-6) 1:00PM
Two weeks ago the Skins showed a spark of life as they challenged Dallas and put up a brutal fight just short of the win. But Jason Campbell and Clinton Portis couldn’t get it done then, and then fell short in Tampa the following week. Now they’ll host the Bills who have just switched back to Trent Edwards after J.P. Losman couldn’t find a way to get it done against Jacksonville. I originally wanted the Bills here, but the more I think of it, the more I want the home team in a match up like this.
Redskins secure a home win.

Detroit Lions(6-5) at Minnesota Vikings(5-6) 1:00PM
Jon Kitna better get back on the winning side of the scoreboard if he intends on making good on his promise of 10 wins this season. With only 5 games left to go and 4 wins short of 10 it’s starting to look a little hopeless. But don’t worry, as long as Kitna spends plenty of time watching Eli’s film on how NOT to be an NFL quarterback he might be able to hold the Minnesota defense scoreless. If Kitna and the Lions can accomplish that, they may have a shot at out scoring the possible return of Adrian Peterson.
Lions find a way to add another win on the season.

Houston Texans(5-6) at Tennesse Titans(6-5) 1:00PM
Both of these teams let me down last week. The only difference is that Matt Schaub and company didn’t get blown out in the fashion that Vince Young and the Titans did. Andre Johnson should be good and warmed up by this point as the Titans seem to be in a back pedal. I think this match up is going to end with Tennessee and Houston switching places on the AFC South rankings.
Texans find victory on the road.

Jacksonville Jaguars(8-3) at Indianapolis Colts(9-2) 1:00PM
In the first meeting of these to teams Jacksonville hosted and the Colts made themselves more than comfortable in the Jaguars house in a 29-7 victory for Indy. However, I believe that this match up will have a different air about it. David Garrard and his running tandem of Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew haven’t been slouching this season and with the Colts still suffering from injuries I think an upset may be in the works. Even with the possibility of Peyton Manning welcoming the return of his favorite receiver Marvin Harrison, there is the possibility Harrison will be rusty. Nope, I’m going to have to go with a second upset this week.
Jaguars return the favor and upset Indy at home.

New York Jets(2-9) at Miami Dolphins(0-11) 1:00PM
The Dolphins have to win at some point don’t they? And after another heartbreaking three point loss in the final seconds to Pittsburgh in last weeks 0-3 Mud Bowl, this game should be their closest thing to hope. So here’s what I see, neither team has a hope nor a prayer for a playoff and Miami is desperate not to be a shut out on the season. With John Beck at the lead, and the hopes of a healthier Jesse Chatman or Ricky Williams, the Dolphins sneak their only chance at a win.
Dolphins find their one and only win.

San Diego Chargers(6-5) at Kansas City Chiefs(4-7) 1:00PM
The Chargers are back! What happened to the Chargers? Oops, their back again. No wait, what happened to them in that game? OK, their back again. Yup, it’s been quite the rollercoaster season for the Chargers and their fans, but in a rivalry match up against a struggling Chiefs team that has lost their magic in Arrowhead; I can only expect a big game from Philip Rivers and LaDainian Tomlinson. Add the receptive abilities of Antonio Gates and the defensive threat in Shawne Merriman and the outcome looks bleak for the Chiefs. However, let’s not forget…”Any Given Sunday.”
Chargers add to the woes of Arrowhead

Seattle Seahawks(7-4) at Philadelphia Eagles(5-6) 1:00PM
OK, I’m just going to admit to falling into this trap right up front and center. Last week Washington played a ferocious game against Dallas, but flopped in the following week when I expected them to win and now I’m looking follow the same logic in this match up. How can the Eagles play such a tough game against undefeated New England then lose to Seattle in the following week? I have to think the team that can rise up in Foxboro and give New England a run for their money can win at home against the not so hot Seahawks…can’t wait to find out.
Eagles carry last weeks fight into this week’s victory.

San Francisco 49ers(3-8) at Carolina Panthers(4-7) 1:00PM
Um,…uh,…I don’t know? How about…
The 4thers defeat the Pan9ers?
OK, so neither of these teams has been spectacular this year. Both have only mustered up one pair of back-to-back wins. That gives me two forms of logic to work with: 1) The 49ers just won a game and the odds of second, back-to-back win is unlikely and 2) the Panthers have the home field advantage where they’ve won…OH GREAT! The Panthers haven’t won a home game all season!!! Where’s my coin? Do I have to flip? Nah, I’m just going to cross my fingers and say…
Panthers find their first home win of the season.

Cleveland Browns(7-4) at Arizona Cardinals(5-6) 4:05PM
Kurt Warner has been able to lead the Cardinals to a couple of wins this season, and Edgerrin James hasn’t been a stranger to the end zone, but this week they get to welcome the Browns to their home field. Cleveland’s defense will be more than friendly enough to give way for a few Cardinal touchdowns, but the chances are pretty good that the Derek Anderson / Braylon Edwards connection with get more. Add one on the ground, courtesy of Jamal Lewis and the Browns will continue to roll in their pursuit to over take Pittsburgh for the AFC North.
Browns remain in the hunt for their division

Denver Broncos(5-6) at Oakland Raiders(3-8) 4:05PM
Jay Cutler is settling in behind the center in Denver as his numbers continue to rise, and the Broncos offensive line continues to prove they can pave the way for any of their running backs whether it’s Travis Henry, Selvin Young, or Andre Hall as Hall filled in last week like he had been their all season. Now if only Denver’s defense could find a way to preserve a winning lead. OK, so not all the blame can go to defense. Special teams could use some work too, Devin Hester or not! Lucky for the Broncos, the Raiders don’t have an offense or a great return man.
Broncos light up the Black Hole.

New York Giants(7-4) at Chicago Bears(5-6) 4:15PM
Oh boy. Where should I go here? Battle of the interception prone quarterbacks? OK, I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that in no way will Eli Manning repeat the AWFUL performance he had last week. He couldn’t possibly do it two weeks in a row…could he? On a brighter note for the Giants, the Bears defense isn’t nearly as dominating as they were last year. So with all that said, Plaxico Burress continues to push through the pain, Jeremy Shockey continues to be Shockey, and the Giants defense hurries Rex Grossman into a few mistakes.
Giants manage a road win.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers(7-4) at New Orleans Saints(5-6) 4:15PM
New Orleans started out the season on shaky ground and has already traveled to Tampa for a loss this season. Since then, Tampa managed a fairly decent season and currently controls the NFC South. However, this week the match up will take place in the Superdome in New Orleans and Drew Brees will hope to energize the home crowd with the help of Marques Colston and Reggie Bush. Brees and the Saints will be looking to erase the memory of their last home game against St. Louis with a reenactment of their match up vs. Jacksonville.
Saints march this one in for the upset.

Sunday, December 2 2007 Sunday Night Football
*Note: Sunday night games in Weeks 11-17 subject to change.

Cincinnati Bengals(4-7) at Pittsburgh Steelers(8-3) 8:15PM
I think I’ve found myself torn on more games this week than I have all season. I look at the records of these teams and think that I should be taking the Steelers for a win hands down, but after their last two match ups against the Jets and Miami…well, we all know the Bengals have the power to run up a scoreboard. I want to pick the Steelers, especially at home. OK, here’s where I’m going to go with this one. Steelers have had their two in a row glitch and yet they have remained undefeated at home. This is the week they bounce back and put the points up on the board.
Steelers rebound two tough weeks with a home win.

Monday, December 3 2007 Monday Night Football

New England Patriots(11-0) at Baltimore Ravens(4-7) 8:30PM
The Patriots have shown they have a weakness, and had it not been for an ill-thought throw from A.J. Feeley in the finally minutes of last weeks game they may not have been coming into this match up undefeated. Now they travel to Baltimore were Tom Brady is sure to still be rattled from the week before and Randy Moss will be throwing a tantrum over his less than great week. The defense will cry like babies and Belichick will get caught cheating again as the Ravens go on to victory…
OK folks, let’s get real here, it ain’t happening!!!
Patriots answer last weeks close call with a blow-out on Monday Night.

There you have it. Another conclusion to the weekly picks of hard hitting, bloodied, smash-mouth football. On the field, all is fair in love and football. Bo Jackson said it best, “If my mother put on a helmet and shoulder pads and a uniform that wasn't the same as the one I was wearing, I'd run over her if she was in my way. And I love my mother."

Anthony 11-27-2007 02:57 AM

Is it really advisable to make picks this early in the week - especially considering that both of Carolina's top 2 QBs (David Carr and Vinny Testaverde, in no particular order) are questionable, as are both of Miami's top 2 RBs (Ricky Williams and Jesse Chatman), Minnesota's top RB (Adrian Peterson) and also three other starting QBs (Donovan McNabb, Marc Bulger and Jeff Garcia)?

True, since there's a Thursday game again this week there are time constraints involved, but even so ...

Silver Dragon 11-27-2007 06:06 PM

Making early picks can be costly in light of injuries and questionable returns, but I've always given these possibilities consideration when making my picks. The whole purpose of posting so early in the week (usually Tuesday night, I'm usually never post on Monday Night. This week was an exception) is to allow time for argument and debate(something I've enjoyed elsewhere since no one really responds to my posts here).

Sometimes I think my numbers suffer because of my early picks, but all-in-all, I think I do pretty good considering I DO pick this early in the week.

Marc 11-27-2007 07:56 PM

How is a 10-1 team beating a 10-1 team really an upset? The Cowboys might be favored, but it's kind of a slap in the face to GB to act like their David vs. Dallas' Goliath. I guess it won't matter, let's find out come Thursday, but this annoys me.

Silver Dragon 11-27-2007 10:27 PM

Yeah, I can understand why calling a Green Bay win an upset can be annoying. No one seems willing to give Green Bay the credit they deserve. Both teams are entering this game 10-1, and yet it seems everyone has the Cowboys winning and Dallas is the 7 point favorite. I'm not as quick to give this game to the Cowboys just because they are at home. I think that Favre would like another shot at a Super Bowl ring before retiring.

philabramoff 11-28-2007 05:49 PM

Have you taken into consideration that Charles Woodson
is injured?

Silver Dragon 11-28-2007 09:27 PM


I have taken into consideration that Charles Woodson is injured. Here's the latest I've heard:

Originally Posted by
Packers DB Charles Woodson (toe) went through limited practice reps Tuesday as the team prepares for Week 13 at Dallas. Woodson has been on the practice/injury report all season with various injuries but has yet to miss a game.
(Updated 11/27/2007).

Also have this:

Originally Posted by
The Packers don't seem too concerned at this time about his most recent injury. Consider him a No. 2 Fantasy DB for Week 13, and simply keep an eye on whether or not he plays.

Only time will tell for sure, but I still like the Packers going into this match up.

philabramoff 11-28-2007 10:38 PM

Hey Silverdragon,

Thanks for the vote of confidence on the Pack.

Based on the psychology, I don't like the Packers chances,
although I am hopeful for getting the pleasant surprise.

On the issue of calling it an "upset", I wouldn't dispute that
term in the least. As the Packerfan on this site, I understand
well that Green Bay is definitely the psychological underdog,
even though both teams are 10-1. I don't take it that the
term "upset" is tantamount to "not giving Green Bay their due".
Rather, I think it takes into account that Green Bay
has not won in Dallas since 1989, that Brett Favre has
still yet to win there, and that the lines show Dallas as a
7-point favorite.

Dallas fans sure would be upset if they lost this one.:lol:

Silver Dragon 11-29-2007 01:57 AM


Originally Posted by philabramoff (Post 263210)
I think it takes into account that Green Bay
has not won in Dallas since 1989, that Brett Favre has
still yet to win there

I think a lot of people has said the Favre was done, he should retire, he's past his prime, he's hurting the team,...I'll admit, last year I was one of them. But he sure seems to be doing one hell of a job proving us all wrong this year. I think that saying Favre has still yet to win in Dallas gives him one more good reason to do just that.

I could be wrong. Not all tales have a happy ending, but I think Favre is trying to write it that way.

Silver Dragon 11-29-2007 07:45 PM

The start of the Thursday night game can really sneak up on a person’s scheduling habits. With the kickoff less than two hours off, I really think that I need to get my spread pick on the board. So here it goes. The rest of the week will follow later.

Green Bay Packers +7
Dallas Cowboys

All the angles have been discussed. How will the Packers fair if Charles Woodson isn’t ready to play? Brett Favre is winless in Dallas. Can the Packers continue to improve their run game? Can their defense hold the Marion Barber? Contain Tony Romo? Cover Terrell Owens? Do the Cowboys have an answer for Favre? Can they keep him below 300+ passing yards? Questions, Questions, Questions. The answers will be given tonight during the game, but until then, I’m predicting a close game, one that comes within 7 points. For that, I’ll take the Packers and the points, but I’m also predicting a straight out Green Bay win. It’s gonna be cold in Lambeau Field during the playoffs!!

Marc 11-30-2007 07:13 PM


Originally Posted by philabramoff (Post 263210)
As the Packerfan on this site

Ahem, do you realize that I, the owner, am as big a Cheesehead as they come, right? But I'll award you Packer fan No. 2 status. :D

philabramoff 11-30-2007 07:40 PM


Originally Posted by Marc (Post 263625)
Ahem, do you realize that I, the owner, am as big a Cheesehead as they come, right?

Are you from Wisconsin?

If so, that qualifies you as "Cheesehead".

Although I live in SoCal now, I am originally from Wisconsin.
Brookfield in particular (Browns OT Joe Thomas went to my High School).
That makes me a biological Packerfan.

Are you "biological" in this respect?

Silver Dragon 12-02-2007 01:07 AM

Well, my, my how time does fly. Here it is late on a Saturday evening and I have yet to get my picks against the spread up in print. Shame on me! Alright, we’re gonna do this rapid fire style. Set ‘em up, let’s knock ‘em down.
Sunday, December 2, 2007
Atlanta Falcons +3.5
St. Louis Rams
Buffalo Bills
Washington Redskins -6.5
Detroit Lions +4
Minnesota Vikings
Houston Texans +4
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars +7
Indianapolis Colts
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins -1
San Diego Chargers -6.5
Kansas City Chiefs
Seattle Seahawks
Philadelphia Eagles -3
San Francisco 49ers +3
Carolina Panthers
Cleveland Browns -1
Arizona Cardinals
Denver Broncos -4
Oakland Raiders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints -3.5
New York Giants -1.5
Chicago Bears
Sunday, December 2, 2007 Sunday Night Football
Cincinnati Bengals +7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, December 3, 2007 Monday Night Football
New England Patriots -21
Baltimore Ravens
Slam, bam, and thank you ma’am. There they are and here we go, let’s get ready for some football!!!

Anthony 12-02-2007 04:18 AM

Wonder how the ice storm expected to blanket the entire East Coast late Saturday night and into Sunday figures to affect the outcome of the games being played there (Seahawks at Eagles, Bills at Redskins, and possibly Bengals at Steelers if it hasn't cleared out by the evening).

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