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HibachiDG 12-03-2008 01:28 PM

If Florida beats Bama, BUT...

Fact 3 is Something We've All Been Slowly Realizing: If Florida beats Alabama, it's possible that the Gators will not pass Texas in the BCS. I posted about it last week, a few people have brought it up in the comments and 54b wrote a FanPost about it. Florida is way behind in the computers. A win over Alabama will certainly help, but who knows how much. If Florida and OU split the #1 human vote (so that each is effectively ranked 1.5, while Texas is ranked a solid number 3 (or a little bit higher by some who still have Texas above OU on their ballots)), then it's possible that Texas will retain enough of a computer advantage to lead Florida in the BCS. It's unlikely because I think Florida will make up enough ground in the computers to take the BCS lead, but it's not a given that Florida will be above Texas even if it beats Alabama.

This does come from a Texas blog, so, it might mean nothing. Still, given where Florida is at in the BCS and computers right now, it's something worth a look. Highly unlikely, but would be one of the more hilarious BCS scenario's thus far, especially because it involves the SEC.

I don't think I would mind seeing Texas v. Oklahoma v. 2. Compare this to Michigan/OSU from a couple of years ago, that game was the last one of the season for both teams, so it would be hard to make the argument that the loser of the contest would be a different team in a Bowl game. With Oklahoma passing Texas to play the Title game, it creates a much different situation.

themush 12-03-2008 01:37 PM

Beating a #1 team on a neutral field will vault UF way past UT in the computer polls.

KevinBeane 12-03-2008 01:58 PM


Originally Posted by themush (Post 291900)
Beating a #1 team on a neutral field will vault UF way past UT in the computer polls.

Not so sure. UT beat Oklahoma on a neutral field.

EDIT: Then again, Oklahoma wasn't #1. As a few writers have pointed out, the BCS formula gives much more weight to who you lost to than who you beat. This will work against Florida.

themush 12-03-2008 02:10 PM

Texas Tech went from 7th in the BCS to #2 after beating Texas.

HibachiDG 12-03-2008 02:56 PM

The difference is that Texas Tech climbed in the human polls. If Florida/Oklahoma both win, then they likely won't move a ton in the human polls.

Admittedly, It's a huge longshot.

buckeyefan78 12-03-2008 07:36 PM

I've been complaining about this for weeks now. The human voters decided weeks ago to give UF a shot by moving them up when they clearly didn't deserve it. I also love how Bama is #3 in the computers while one-loss Texas and one-loss OU are ahead of them. UF is behind Utah.

Tells ya something about the SEC this year...:rolleyes:

Digesting the entire body of work, it will be close on who deserves it: UF or Texas. Current SOS has UF at #28 with Texas at #12.

If UF gets in with a weaker SOS according to Sagarin and most of the other outlets, it will mark only the 2nd time in the 11-year history of the BCS that a team who didn't have the best SOS in a host of 1-loss or 2-loss (LSU last year) hopefulls got in the title game.

Last time it happened: 2006 with Florida over Michigan.


Big F'n shocker.

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