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Old 01-14-2011, 03:36 AM   #3
Anthony
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Green Bay 24 (+2), ATLANTA 14 - Surely there has to be a reason why the Falcons are sub-field-goal home favorites over a team they finished three games ahead of. Maybe the oddsmakers have some doubts about Matt Ryan in big games: He had a 72.8 passer rating in his lone playoff outing to date - a 30-24 loss as a three-point road favorite at Arizona in a 2008 wild-card game (and the roof was closed that day); then, three weeks ago with the chance to salt away the number-one playoff seed at home against a team Atlanta had already defeated on the road earlier in the year, Ryan managed only a 77.9 (the conceptual "mediocrity" standard being 79.2) in a 17-14 loss to New Orleans. In neither game did Ryan even average 10 yards per completion - and here he'll be facing a red-hot Green Bay defense fresh off taking half the Philadelphia offense out in body bags. And like Kansas City, the Falcons in general, and Ryan in particular, saw their veneer of invincibility at home ripped from them in a recent home game, making the task the Packers face in this one that much less arduous from a psychological standpoint; and this corner sees Green Bay exploiting that situation with a rather facile upset victory.

Last edited by Anthony; 01-14-2011 at 07:07 AM.
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