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Old 10-09-2019, 12:47 PM   #1
Anthony
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Cool Anthony's Week 6 NFL Pointspread Picks

Last week: 4-11. Season totals: 22-38-3, Pct. .353. Best Bets: 6-8-1, Pct. .433.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.



THURSDAY NIGHT

NEW ENGLAND 26, N.Y. Giants 23 (+16 1/2) - No wonder everyone is getting plastered this year: Home teams are 26-49-3 against the spread, and even 34-43-1 straight up - and don't expect of a reversal of certainly the spread trend here with the Giants having covered five in a row against the Patriots, including outright upsets in two Super Bowls.


SUNDAY

Tampa Bay
30, Carolina 24 (+1) - This game, in London, starts at 9:30 AM Eastern time - which means 6:30 AM on the West Coast, and 3:30 AM in Hawaii, which does not observe Daylight Saving Time. And maybe Bruce Arians has found Jameis Winston's on-off switch and turned it on, when neither Dirk Koetter nor even Lovie Smith could?

Dallas 27, N.Y. JETS 10 (+8 1/2) - Sam Darnold - or, as Will McDonough would call him if he were still alive, "Sam Dah-nold" - makes his long-awaited return here. But it will take a lot more than that to make the Jets competitive against a team that has dominated them in their building, going 5-1 both ways lifetime against them. Dallas is also a sterling 20-8 straight up and 21-7 against the spread outdoors since 2014.

New Orleans 17 (+2 1/2), JACKSONVILLE 13 - Doesn't Gardner Minshew look just like Doug from those Liberty Mutual commercials? But the Jaguars play like emus against the Saints, losing their last three to New Orleans by a combined 41 points.

Washington 27, MIAMI 17 (+4 1/2) - Doubt if even the Redskins can screw up enough to lose to the Dolphins.

CLEVELAND 23 (+1), Seattle 20 - It turns out that "Handshakegate" was a hoax - Baker Mayfield did in fact shake Richard Sherman's hand before the game (and even if he didn't Sherman is the rankest sort of hypocrite when it comes to defending "sportsmanship" and the "integrity of the game" - just ask Michael Crabtree about that) and there's a video to prove it. And the home team is 4-1 straight up and 4-0-1 against the spread in the lifetime series.

BALTIMORE 45, Cincinnati 3 (+10 1/2) - The Bengals are 0-5, going on 0-16 - while Arizona State, at which Marvin Lewis now holds a front office job, is 4-1 and ranked 18th in the AP college poll. Look for the Bungles and their new, supremely unqualified head coach of to drop their eighth consecutive game on grass this week.

MINNESOTA 28, Philadelphia 17 (+3) - The 31 points Philadelphia scored last week against the winless Jets is misleading because 14 of the 31 points were unearned - and Kirk Cousins has been quite impressive against the Eagles, with a 5-3 outright and 6-2 pointwise record, and also a 101.2 passer rating against them (You give 'em fever, Kirk!). Doug Pederson is 4-10 both ways lifetime as a visitor on the carpet, and since 2012 Philly is 5-11 straight up and 5-10-1 against the line inside NFL domes.

KANSAS CITY 24, Houston 20 (+7) - Not only did KC's bubble burst Sunday night, but Patrick Mahomes' ankle burst too. While he is expected to play, he won't be anywhere near 100 per cent. Take the points - and the under if that's this thing of yours: The total opened at 55 1/2.

ARIZONA 23 (+3), Atlanta 17 - The Cards have been killing me all year. But the home team in this series has won an imposing 10 in a row, and by a combined 296-154 too, and has covered in six of the last seven. And the Falcons have not won in the desert since 2001. Kingsbury by split decision - the NFL equivalent of which would be winning the toss to start overtime, taking the ball first (unlike Mike Tomlin last week!) and scoring a touchdown.

San Francisco 34 (+3), L.A. RAMS 27 - Back in the early '70s, the 49er offensive line acquired the nickname "The Protectors" based on how few times John Brodie got sacked (and Brodie acquired a far less flattering nickname based on how he performed in the playoffs - the last part of it rhymed with his last name). Well the San Francisco offensive line is at it again: Its four sacks allowed is the least in the NFL through five weeks. Something's wrong with the Rams. Must be the Super Bowl Runner-Up Jinx.

DENVER 34, Tennessee 17 (+2 1/2) - Sometimes when a team gets their first win, the light just goes on - and it has been nothing but darkness for the Adams Family in mile-high country for the longest time, not having won there since 1987, going 0-5 straight up and 0-4-1 against the spread. "Captain Hook" won't even be an issue because the Broncos win this easily.

L.A. CHARGERS 16, Pittsburgh 0 (+6) - And the 20th Overall Pick Jinx is working the same black magic on the Steelers that the Super Bowl Runner-Up Jinx is working on the Rams - and if the Steelers get any more quarterbacks injured, Terry Bradshaw might have to come out of retirement.


MONDAY NIGHT

Detroit
30 (+6), GREEN BAY 27 - The Lions have beaten the Packers four in a row by a combined 127-51, and have also covered in their last four at Lambeau. And it isn't snowing yet in Green Bay - is it?


BEST BETS: BALTIMORE, MINNESOTA, DENVER
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