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Old 11-23-2004, 01:45 AM   #1
Anthony
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Cool NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 12

Here are the opening lines for Week 12:

Thursday, November 25:

Indianapolis 7 1/2 over DETROIT (12:30 PM EST)
DALLAS 3 over Chicago (4:15 PM EST)

Sunday, November 28:

Philadelphia 7 over N.Y. GIANTS (1:00 PM EST)
PITTSBURGH 10 1/2 over Washington
Tampa Bay 1 1/2 over CAROLINA
CINCINNATI 4 1/2 over Cleveland
MINNESOTA 6 over Jacksonville
Tennessee 1 over HOUSTON
KANSAS CITY 2 1/2 over San Diego
ATLANTA 9 1/2 over New Orleans (4:05 PM EST)
NEW ENGLAND 7 1/2 over Baltimore (4:15 PM EST)
N.Y. Jets 3 over ARIZONA
SAN FRANCISCO 1 over Miami*
SEATTLE 5 over Buffalo
DENVER 11 over Oakland (8:30 PM EST)

Monday, November 29:

GREEN BAY 5 1/2 over St. Louis (9:00 PM EST)

*From Stations; all other lines courtesy of Scores and Odds.

Home team in CAPS; national TV games in red; other designated tie-breaker game in blue.

IMPORTANT: Don't forget to designate three picks as Best Bets. These are used to break ties between pickers with the same overall record; if no Best Bets are included the picker is placed behind all others who have the same overall record.

Deadline for posting picks is kickoff of earliest game listed.

Any unpicked game counts as an automatic loss, even if game ends in push vs. spread. If a poster has left a game unpicked in an original post, the selection on the unpicked game may be added at any time before the kickoff of the earliest game played that week (if I notice that someone has left a game unpicked in an original post, I will attempt to contact the poster by sending a private message; however there is no guarantee that I will catch every single one). Under no circumstances can any pick be changed (from one team to the opposing team, or changing a Best Bet from one game to another) once it has been posted.

Pushes count as ties (half a win and half a loss) in determining both overall record and record in applicable tie-breakers.


Standings After 11 Weeks

1. Nate: 325
2. KevinBeane: 239
3. Marc: 130.5
4. bama4256: 112.5
5. Jeff Boswell: 84
6. abogdan: 71
7. Alex: 49
8. MountaineerDave: 48.5
9. Anthony: 29
10. Hero: 20.5
11. MaddEnemy: 6.5

Non-Qualifiers (inactive for last 3 weeks or more):
Doug Graham: 99
gconnhokiebird: 72
ESP0704: 13.5
#99: 0
DublinMike: 0
digital7: 0
franky: 0

Last edited by Anthony; 11-23-2004 at 12:01 PM.
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Old 11-23-2004, 12:05 PM   #2
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Indianapolis
DALLAS

Sunday, November 28:

Philadelphia BB
Washington BB
Tampa Bay
Cleveland
MINNESOTA
HOUSTON
KANSAS CITY
New Orleans BB
NEW ENGLAND
N.Y. Jets
Miami*
Buffalo
Oakland

Monday, November 29:

GREEN BAY

Last edited by MaddEnemy; 11-23-2004 at 03:37 PM.
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Old 11-23-2004, 02:50 PM   #3
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Indianapolis
Chicago
Philadelphia
PITTSBURGH
Tampa Bay
CINCINNATI BB
MINNESOTA
HOUSTON
San Diego BB
ATLANTA
NEW ENGLAND
ARIZONA
SAN FRANCISCO
SEATTLE
DENVER
GREEN BAY BB
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Old 11-23-2004, 06:25 PM   #4
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Indianapolis
Chicago
New England (BB)
Philadelphia
Washington
Cleveland
Jacksonville
Tampa Bay (BB)
San Diego
Tennessee
New Orleans
New York Jets
Buffalo
Miami
Denver
Green Bay (BB)
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SLANT PATTERN
2004 SCMB FANTASY GOLF, NFL POINTSPREAD CHAMPION

"I believe in [a] God who reveals himself in the orderly harmony of what exists, not in a God who concerns himself with fates and actions of human beings." -Albert Einstein
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Old 11-24-2004, 02:43 AM   #5
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Last week: 8-7-1. Season totals: 68-87-5, Pct. .441. Best Bets: 15-17-1, Pct. .470.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team.


THURSDAY

Indianapolis 31, DETROIT 14 (+7 1/2) - One of the oldest and most reliable trends in this game has been to bet on the road team whenever two domed-stadium teams play each other - and this year has been no exception as the visitors have covered in five of the six dome-on-dome games played thus far; and don't be surprised if this time next year Joey Harrington is in the same position Tim Couch is in now - out of a job and sitting by a phone that isn't ringing.

DALLAS 20, Chicago 0 (+3) - Craig Krenzel doesn't belong on the same field with even Drew Henson, who may end up starting here with Vinny Testaverde's shoulder injury giving Parcells a pretext for making the switch; and if one past-his-prime running back (Edgerrin James) could feel young again taking on the Bears without Brian Urlacher on the road, then why can't another past-his-prime running back (Eddie George) follow suit at home?

SUNDAY

Philadelphia 27, N.Y. GIANTS 12 (+7) - Seven points on the road is asking a lot, but the head-to-head matchups don't work for the Giants on either side of the ball and remember that Andy Reid promised to wear spandex if T.O. caught 15 touchdown passes, a total he needs two more to reach; at least if he gets those two in this game everybody will be focusing on the "NFC East Champions" cap on Fat Boy's head, which would serve to mitigate the indignity.

N.Y. Jets 16, ARIZONA 6 (+3) - Dennis Green really blew it by benching Josh McCown in favor of Shaun King after McCown had led the Cards to three victories in four games, including a win at Miami that snapped a 17-game road losing streak; worse yet, Green is sticking with King for the time being and someone named Nick Goings ran for 122 yards against Arizona's defense last week so you don't even have to worry about whether Curtis Martin (bruised knee, questionable) will play or not.

PITTSBURGH 24, Washington 7 (+10 1/2) - Even if it wasn't realistic to expect to the Redskins to win in Philadelphia their offensive linemen didn't have to do so much traveling that they qualified for lifetime frequent-flyer status and top draft pick Sean Taylor didn't have to gift-wrap an Eagle scoring drive by Ben Wallacing T.O. away from the play. You need to play smart football to have any chance of even being competitive against this caliber, and right now Washington is not playing smart football - a big surprise for a Joe Gibbs-coached team.

CAROLINA 16 (+1 1/2), Tampa Bay 13 - Nicolette Sheridan may be good at towel-tossing but John Fox is not, as evidenced by his team's performance the last two weeks. Tampa Bay's recent revival has come almost exclusively at home, and wasn't that Brian Griese I saw standing on the sidelines with a sling on his shoulder at the end of last Sunday's rout of the pathetic 49ers?

MINNESOTA 27, Jacksonville 20 (+6) - Randy Moss is probable while Byron Leftwich is questionable, so the Vikings cover by a nose.

CINCINNATI 21, Cleveland 6 (+4 1/2) - Word out of Cleveland is that Browns owner Randy Lerner had to be talked out of not even waiting until the end of the season to can Butch Davis and they haven't won or covered on the road all year; remember also that Paul Brown Stadium has been switched to artificial turf since they denied the Bengals their first winning season since 1990 with an upset win there in last year's finale - a key issue because Cleveland is 4-9 both ways in its present incarnation as a visitor on the carpet.

HOUSTON 20 (+1), Tennessee 17 - Can't see the Titans avenging home losses to division rivals on the road in back-to-back weeks, and third place in the AFC South - which is really all that's at stake now for these two teams - would mean a lot more to the Texans than it would to Tennessee.

San Diego 27 (+2 1/2), KANSAS CITY 14 - San Diego has lost ten in a row as a visitor in cold weather, but the streak has to end sometime and KC figures to go quietly the rest of the way - and if the Chargers might be looking ahead to next week's first-place showdown with Denver aren't the Chiefs just as likely to be looking ahead to their third-place battle at Oakland?

ATLANTA 20, New Orleans 13 (+9 1/2) - Another dome-on-dome affair and Atlanta's limited offense is a bad risk at this price.

NEW ENGLAND 24, Baltimore 3 (+7 1/2) - Just when Kyle Boller was actually starting to show something he's now going to be facing constant nickel and dime packages thanks to Jamal Lewis' sprained ankle, which could sideline Lewis for two weeks or even longer; Patriot defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel's obvious strategy will be to take away the pass and make Chester Taylor beat him - and Taylor won't.

SEATTLE 23, Buffalo 10 (+5) - Matt Hasselbeck should make it back this week and just like the ads for Ocean's Twelve proclaim that twelve is the new eleven, Buffalo is the new Cleveland, with covers by the home team in the last six consecutive Bills games. If things remain on their present course, Mike Holmgren's last game as head coach of the Seahawks could be an embarrassing loss at Philadelphia in the NFC divisional playoffs.

SAN FRANCISCO 13, Miami 6 (+1) - Are you going to Scarborough Fair? You might be if you're headed to The Building Formerly Known As Candlestick Park this Sunday; and while you won't find any parsley, rosemary or thyme there, you could run into some sage - as in Sage Rosenfels, who may very well be starting at quarterback for the Dolphins with Jay Fiedler now out for the season and A.J. Feeley questionable at best. San Fran has won the last five in this series by a combined 106 points, the first of those five victories coming under very different circumstances from those that prevail in this game - it was in Super Bowl XIX.

DENVER 45, Oakland 14 (+11) - Mike Shanahan will never get tired of sticking it to Al Davis and he should have no trouble matching or even exceeding his four-touchdown win at Oakland in Week 6 in the cold weather, where the Raiders are 5-12-2 against the line since 1994 - and this one's under the lights, which will make it even colder.

MONDAY NIGHT

GREEN BAY 41, St. Louis 13 (+5 1/2) - Make that two cold-weather blowouts on prime time this week. Mike Martz will be lucky if he still has a job in two months.

BEST BETS: NEW ENGLAND, DENVER, GREEN BAY

Chicago at Dallas is in a circle because Cowboys quarterback Vinny Testaverde is questionable, Jacksonville at Minnesota is in a circle because Jaguars quarterback Byron Leftwich is questionable and Vikings wide receiver Randy Moss is probable, Cleveland at Cincinnati is in a circle because Browns quarterback Jeff Garcia is questionable, Buffalo at Seattle is in a circle because Seahawks quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is questionable, Miami at San Francisco is in a circle because Dolphins quarterback A.J. Feeley is questionable and Jay Fiedler is out for the season, and St. Louis at Green Bay is in a circle because Packers running back Ahman Green is questionable.

Last edited by Anthony; 11-24-2004 at 08:46 AM.
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Old 11-24-2004, 07:02 PM   #6
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Indianapolis
DALLAS
Philadelphia (BB)
PITTSBURGH (BB)
Tampa Bay
CINCINNATI
MINNESOTA
Tennessee
San Diego
ATLANTA
NEW ENGLAND
N.Y. Jets
SAN FRANCISCO
SEATTLE
DENVER
GREEN BAY (BB)
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Old 11-25-2004, 12:56 AM   #7
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Indianapolis -7.5 (Best Bet)
DALLAS -3 (Best Bet)
Philadelphia -7
Washington +10.5
Tampa Bay -1.5
Cleveland +4.5
MINNESOTA -6
HOUSTON +1
KANSAS CITY -2.5
New Orleans +9.5
NEW ENGLAND -7.5
ARIZONA +3
SAN FRANCISCO -1
SEATTLE -5
DENVER -11
GREEN BAY -5.5 (Best Bet)
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Old 11-25-2004, 09:06 AM   #8
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Default NFL Pointspread Contest

Indianapolis
Dallas
NY Giants
Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay
Cincinnati(BB)
Jacksonville
Houston
Kansas City
New Orleans
New England(BB)
NY Jets
Miami
Buffalo
Denver
Green Bay(BB)
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Old 11-25-2004, 10:24 AM   #9
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Indianapolis
Chicago
Philadelphia
PITTSBURGH
Tampa Bay (BB)
CINCINNATI
MINNESOTA
Tennessee
San Diego
ATLANTA
NEW ENGLAND
N.Y. Jets (BB)
SAN FRANCISCO
SEATTLE
DENVER
GREEN BAY (BB)
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Old 11-29-2004, 12:57 AM   #10
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Cool Week 12 Results

Since everybody picked the Packers in the Monday night game (and all but one as a Best Bet), the entire order of finish for Week 12 has already been determined! Here are the records going into the game:

1. MaddEnemy: 12-3 (3-0*) ... 114 points
2. Anthony: 11-4 (1-1) ... 36 points
3. Jeff Boswell: 9-6 (2-0) ... 18 points
4. KevinBeane: 9-6 (1-1) ... 12 points
5. Hero: 8-7 (2-0) ... 8 points
6. Marc: 8-7 (1-1) ... 6 points
7. abogdan: 7-8 (2-0) ... 4 points
8. Nate: 7-8 (1-1) ... 2 points


*Did not use Green Bay as Best Bet; all others did.

Why did everyone do so well on aggregate this week? Well, breaking the "Consensus Curse" helped: Twice previously this year one team was picked unanimously (Washington against Cleveland in Week 4 and Detroit against Washington in Week 9) and both times the unanimous pick didnt cover. This week, however, both the Colts and Patriots, who everyone picked, covered, and if Green Bay does likewise that would make it three out of three for the "people's choices."

For the up-to-the-minute standings, see the Week 13 contest thread.

Last edited by Anthony; 11-30-2004 at 11:46 AM.
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