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Old 12-28-2004, 04:48 AM   #1
Anthony
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Cool NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 17

Sponsored By:
Game Day Ritual
The Next Generation of Fantasy Baseball

Here are the opening lines for Week 17:

Sunday, January 2:

NEW ENGLAND* 14 over San Francisco (1:00 PM EST)
Cincinnati 3 over PHILADELPHIA*
BUFFALO 7 over Pittsburgh*
Minnesota 6 over WASHINGTON
CAROLINA 7 over New Orleans
BALTIMORE 9 over Miami
Detroit 2 over TENNESSEE
CHICAGO 2 1/2 over Green Bay*
ST. LOUIS 2 1/2 over N.Y. Jets
HOUSTON 11 over Cleveland
Tampa Bay Pick'em ARIZONA (4:05 PM EST)
SEATTLE 5 1/2 over Atlanta*
DENVER 6 over Indianapolis* (4:15 PM EST)
Kansas City 2 over SAN DIEGO*
N.Y. GIANTS 1 over Dallas (8:30 PM EST)

Home team in CAPS; national TV game in red; other designated tie-breaker games in blue.

*Denotes team that may rest players.

NOTE: There are only 15 games in this week's contest because the Jacksonville at Oakland game is void due to no opening line being quoted on it as of 12:00 Noon EST on Thursday.

IMPORTANT: Don't forget to designate three games as Best Bets. These are used to break ties between pickers with the same overall record; if no Best Bets are included the picker is placed behind all others who have the same overall record.

Deadline for posting picks is kickoff of earliest game listed.

Any unpicked game counts as an automatic loss, even if game ends in push vs. spread. If a poster has left a game unpicked, the selection on that game may be added at any time before the kickoff of the earliest game played that week (if I notice that someone has left a game unpicked, I will attempt to contact the poster by sending a private message; however there is no guarantee that I will catch every single one, especially in the case of picks posted very late in the week). Under no circumstances can any pick be changed (from one team to the opposing team, or changing a Best Bet from one game to another) once it has been posted.

Pushes count as ties (half a win and half a loss) in determining both overall record and record in applicable tie-breakers.


PLAYOFF POINTSPREAD CONTEST

There will be a Playoff Pointspread Contest, which will be separate from the regular-season contest. Here's how it's going to work:

Each week within the playoffs is cumulative, and the winner will be decided after the Super Bowl.

In the wild card round, each cover is worth 4 points and each push (if any) 2 points; in addition, pickers will designate one of the four wild card games as a Best Bet, and if the Best Bet covers it is worth an additional 2 points, or 1 point if the Best Bet pushes.

In the divisional playoffs, each cover is worth 8 points and each push (if any) 4 points; in addition, pickers will designate one of the four divisional playoff games as a Best Bet, and if the Best Bet covers it is worth an additonal 2 points, or 1 point if the Best Bet pushes.

In the conference championship games, a cover is worth 14 points and a push 7 points, and in the Super Bowl a cover is worth 20 points and a push 10 points.

Thus if someone goes 11-0 in the playoffs they would earn 100 points.

While failure to participate in the contest in a given week does not disqualify a picker from winning or placing in the contest's final standings, any entire week skipped results in no points being earned for that week.

A new thread will be opened each week for the posting of picks; however, for the Super Bowl, the picks will be sent to me via Private Message and will not be posted on the thread until after the game (this way nobody knows which side anyone else picked and therefore cannot intentionally agree or disagree with someone else). After the Super Bowl is over, the envelopes will be opened, so to speak, and the final results announced.

If there is a tie in points at the conclusion of the contest, priority will go to the picker with the best overall record in all 11 games; if this is tied the results of the two Best Bets will be used. If these too are tied, if one tied picker had the Super Bowl picked correctly (against the spread) and the other didn't, the correct picker wins; if the tied pickers had agreed on the Super Bowl pick (or the Super Bowl ended in a push against the spread), the pickers' records in the conference championship games will be used, followed, in order, by the records in the divisional playoff games, the Best Bet in the divisional playoffs, and the records in the wild card games.


Standings After 16 Weeks

1. Jeff Boswell: 354
2. MaddEnemy: 346.5
3. KevinBeane: 338
4. Nate: 337
5. Doug Graham: 213
6. abogdan: 191
7. Orange Man: 183
8. Marc: 146.5
9. bama4256: 130.5
10. Anthony: 125
11. gconnhokiebird: 72
12. Hero: 52.5
13. Alex: 49
14. MountaineerDave: 48.5
15. ESP0704: 13.5
16T. #99: 0
16T. DublinMike: 0
16T. Digital7: 0
16T. franky: 0

Last edited by Anthony; 01-03-2005 at 05:23 AM.
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Old 12-30-2004, 03:58 PM   #2
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I guess I will start this of again.

San Francisco BB
Cincinnati
BUFFALO
WASHINGTON
New Orleans
Miami
TENNESSEE
CHICAGO
N.Y. Jets
Cleveland
Tampa Bay
SEATTLE BB
DENVER
Kansas City BB
Dallas
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Old 12-30-2004, 06:06 PM   #3
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NEW ENGLAND (BB)
PHILADELPHIA
Pittsburgh
Minnesota
CAROLINA
BALTIMORE (BB)
Detroit
Green Bay
ST. LOUIS
HOUSTON
Tampa Bay
Atlanta
Indianapolis (BB)
SAN DIEGO
Dallas
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Old 12-30-2004, 08:07 PM   #4
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NEW ENGLAND*-Best bet
PHILADELPHIA*
Pittsburgh-Best bet*
Minnesota
CAROLINA
BALTIMORE
TENNESSEE
Green Bay*
N.Y. Jets
Cleveland
Tampa Bay
Atlanta*
Indianapolis-bEST BET
SAN DIEGO*
Dallas (8:30 PM EST)
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Old 12-31-2004, 03:15 AM   #5
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NEW ENGLAND (BB)
PHILADELPHIA (BB)
Pittsburgh (BB)
Minnesota
CAROLINA
BALTIMORE
Detroit
CHICAGO
N.Y. Jets
HOUSTON
Tampa Bay
Atlanta
DENVER
SAN DIEGO
Dallas
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Old 12-31-2004, 05:39 AM   #6
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Last week: 8-6-2. Season totals: 108-124-8, Pct. .467. Best Bets: 20-27-1, Pct. .427.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team.


SUNDAY

NEW ENGLAND 31, San Francisco 7 (+14) - I don't care how many starters Belichick rests. I can't see the 49ers doing anything besides mailing this one in.

Cincinnati 24, PHILADELPHIA 10 (+3) - But the Eagles (and Falcons and Chargers) better think twice about what they do this week: Only one team has ever won the Super Bowl after losing their last two regular-season games, and it was a long time ago - Green Bay in 1967! But then again even if they're aware of this the Eagles may not be able to act on it given their 0-9 lifetime spread record against Cincinnati and 3-8 log against the line versus AFC teams since 2002, including 0-3 this year.

Minnesota 21, WASHINGTON 17 (+6) - Proof that history is constantly repeating itself: On the last week of the 1993 season the Vikings played an out-of-it Redskins team in Washington (on New Year's Eve, on a Friday afternoon) needing a win to wrap up the NFC's last wild-card spot. Minnesota won that day, but didn't cover - an outcome that could very well be duplicated on both counts here with several Redskin starters (most notably Clinton Portis) expected to miss the game with injuries and the Vikings having lost their last eleven cold-weather games.

CAROLINA 38, New Orleans 14 (+7) - In 1979, the Rams got to the Super Bowl (where they lost to Pittsburgh) despite a 9-7 record, the worst ever for a Super Bowl team. The Panthers will have very real chances of breaking that record if they make the playoffs; at any rate, they should have absolutely no trouble holding up their end of the bargain, as they have covered eight of their last nine against teams with losing records dating back to last year's regular-season finale, and they already own an 11-point win at New Orleans this year that was far more one-sided than the final score would suggest.

BALTIMORE 20, Miami 0 (+9) - Here's some "sage" advice: Don't bet on the Dolphins this week, with Sage Rosenfels making his first NFL start because A.J. Feeley has mysteriously suffered a "left rib contusion," whatever that means. Well I'll tell you what it means: Miami must want a top four pick in the draft real badly!

CHICAGO 16, Green Bay 10 (+2 1/2) - If the Packers want to extend their ten-game road win streak over the Bears they will apparently have to do it with Craig Nall at quarterback and heaven knows who at other positions. With Detroit now seemingly headed in the right direction and if Rex Grossman can make it back from a devastating knee injury, it could be a wild four-way scramble in the NFC North in 2005.

HOUSTON 17, Cleveland 13 (+11) - The Texans get their first three-game winning streak in franchise history - and second place in the AFC South if Jacksonville loses - but like the Dolphins last Sunday night, they are vulnerable to a letdown after a big division upset and the Browns, or at least those who bet on them, will take advantage.

Detroit 19, TENNESSEE 0 (+2) - Doug Johnson starts at quarterback for the Titans, who are the only NFL team not to have covered at least twice at home this year - and with another round of salary-cap-driven shedding of talent on the agenda for this spring, their home game against San Francisco next season coulld very well decide the number one draft pick in 2006.

BUFFALO 20, Pittsburgh 3 (+7) - For public consumption Bill Cowher is insisting that he's trying to win this game, but don't expect to see either Ben Roethlisberger (ribs) or Jerome Bettis (ankle) on the field. Bills need help to become only the second 0-4 starter in NFL history to make the playoffs - but will they get it?

ST. LOUIS 31, N.Y. Jets 21 (+2 1/2) - And this result says Buffalo will get that help: The biggest "winners" of all from last week were the New York sportswriters, whose questioning of Chad Pennington's ability to win a big game was vindicated big time; and now the Jets must face a team that needs this game just as much as they do - and one they've lost to six consecutive times straight up and eight in a row against the spread, and haven't beaten on the road since 1970. But will Marc Bulger's 19th win in 22 lifetime starts at home be enough to send the Rams to the playoffs?

SEATTLE 20, Atlanta 17 (+5 1/2) - No! Jim Mora Jr. has already gone on record as saying that Michael Vick, T.J. Duckett and Alge Crumpler will play this week, but nowhere did he say for how long. Still, the Seasickhawks are a sickly 2-10 against the spread since their 3-0 start so take the points.

DENVER 24, Indianapolis 13 (+6) - Like Mora, Tony Dungy has stated that his first-stringers will play, but also conveniently neglected to say for how long. If the Broncos are fortunate, Peyton Manning will get his 50th touchdown pass on the first possession and then retreat to the bench.

ARIZONA 23 (P), Tampa Bay 17 - At least the Cardinals don't think they're on Desperate Housewives and feel no need to air their dirty linen in public the way the Bucs (see Simeon Rice) are doing. The home team wins this "Woolworth Bowl," so named because both teams are 5 and 10!

Kansas City 34, SAN DIEGO 27 (+2) - After all that talk about the Chiefs becoming the best offensive team in NFL history ever to finish below .500, they won't finish below .500 if they win - and 34 points would also give them an even 500 for the season.

N.Y. GIANTS 13, Dallas 7 (+1) - When Dale Earnhardt Sr. made his now-famous quip that second place is the first loser, was he clairvoyant and foresaw this year's NFC East race? The winner of this nationally-televised (why?) game will in fact finish second in the division, and this looks like the spot for Eli Manning to break his NFL maiden taking on a team that has lost 17 out of 20 straight up since 1995 as a visitor in cold weather.

BEST BETS: CINCINNATI, CAROLINA, BALTIMORE

New England, Philadelphia, Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Indianapolis and San Diego may rest players, leading to their games being circled; in addition, the Detroit at Tennessee game is in a circle because Titans QB Billy Volek is doubtful, and the Tampa Bay at Arizona game is in a circle because Buccaneers QB Brian Griese is questionable.

NOTE: At this time there is no line on the Jacksonville at Okland game due to the questionable status of Jaguars QB Byron Leftwich and RB Fred Taylor; therefore, no pick can be made on this game

Last edited by Anthony; 12-31-2004 at 05:59 AM.
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Old 12-31-2004, 10:18 AM   #7
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San Francisco
Cincinnati
BUFFALO
Minnesota
New Orleans (BB)
BALTIMORE
TENNESSEE
Green Bay
N.Y. Jets (BB)
Cleveland
ARIZONA (BB)
SEATTLE
DENVER
SAN DIEGO
N.Y. GIANTS
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Old 12-31-2004, 05:47 PM   #8
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Before I make the picks, I have to say thanks to Anthony for combining my Ross in Big D points with Orange Man.

NEW ENGLAND
Cincinnati
BUFFALO (BB)
Minnesota (BB)
New Orleans
BALTIMORE
Detroit
CHICAGO (BB)
N.Y. Jets
HOUSTON
ARIZONA
Atlanta
DENVER
Kansas City
Dallas
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Old 01-03-2005, 03:06 AM   #9
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Cool Week 17 Results

1. KevinBeane: 9-5-1 ... 174 points
2. Anthony: 8-6-1 ... 54 points
3. MaddEnemy: 7-7-1 ... 27 points
4. bama4256: 6-8-1 ... 18 points
5. Marc: 5-9-1 (0-2-1) ... 12 points
6. Orange Man: 5-9-1 (0-3) ... 9 points
7. Hero: 4-10-1 ... 6 points



FINAL REGULAR-SEASON STANDINGS

1. KevinBeane: 512
2. MaddEnemy: 373.5
3. Jeff Boswell: 354
4. Nate: 337
5. Doug Graham: 213
6. Orange Man: 192
7. abogdan: 191
8. Anthony: 179
9. Marc: 158.5
10. bama4256: 148.5
11. gconnhokiebird: 72
12. Hero: 58.5
13. Alex: 49
14. MountaineerDave: 48.5
15. ESP0704: 13.5
16T. #99: 0
16T. DublinMike: 0
16T. digital7: 0
16T. franky: 0

Congratulations, Kevin!:clap:

Last edited by Anthony; 01-03-2005 at 06:38 AM.
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Old 01-03-2005, 11:08 AM   #10
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Not bad if I do say so myself. What did I miss, like 2 months?

Good job Beane
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