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Old 09-22-2004, 02:44 AM   #1
Anthony
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Cool NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 3

Here are the opening lines for Week 3:

Sunday, September 26:

N.Y. GIANTS 3 over Cleveland (1:00 PM EDT)
ATLANTA 9 1/2 over Arizona
Baltimore 2 1/2 over CINCINNATI
Philadelphia 4 over DETROIT
TENNESSEE 6 1/2 over Jacksonville
MINNESOTA 9 over Chicago
ST. LOUIS 7 1/2 over New Orleans
KANSAS CITY 9 1/2 over Houston
DENVER 10 1/2 over San Diego (4:05 PM EDT)
INDIANAPOLIS 5 1/2 over Green Bay (4:15 PM EDT)
SEATTLE 10 1/2 over San Francisco
MIAMI Pick'em Pittsburgh (8:30 PM EDT)
OAKLAND 3 1/2 over Tampa Bay

Monday, September 27:

WASHINGTON 1 1/2 over Dallas (9:00 PM EDT)

BYES: Buffalo, Carolina, New England, N.Y. Jets

Home team in CAPS

NOTE: Don't forget to designate three picks as Best Bets (these are used to break ties between pickers with the same overall record; if no Best Bets are included the picker is placed behind all others who have the same overall record).

Deadline for posting picks is kickoff of earliest game listed.

Any unpicked game counts as an automatic loss, even if game ends in push vs. spread. If a poster leaves a game unpicked in the original post, the pick on that game may be added before the kickoff of the earliest game played that week, but the addition must be made in a separate post and not by editing the original post (if I notice that someone has left a game unpicked, I will attempt to contact the poster by sending a private message; however there is no guarantee that I will catch every single one, especially in the case of picks being posted very late in the week). Under no circumstances can any pick be changed (from one team to the opposing team) once it has been posted.

Pushes count as ties in determining both overall and Best Bet records.

Last edited by Anthony; 09-26-2004 at 03:37 AM.
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Old 09-22-2004, 03:00 AM   #2
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Last week: 7-9. Season totals: 12-19-1, Pct. .391. Best Bets: 2-4, Pct. .333.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team.


SUNDAY

N.Y. GIANTS 16, Cleveland 6 (+3) - Don't expect to see Jeff Garcia in any commercials for Love My Carpet anytime soon: He's 6-15 straight up and 7-13-1 against the spread lifetime on artificial turf after pulling a zero passer rating on it last week at the Hole-in-the-Roof - and he won't have Kellen Winslow Jr. to throw to here, or for at least the next two months for that matter, as the self-styled bleepin' soldier is now a wounded soldier, getting swept up in what appears to be the NFL's latest injury craze - the fractured fibula - in the Dallas debacle, which also claimed five other Cleveland starters, including 2000 top overall draftee DE Courtney Brown for the season. So long as the Giants show up at least five minutes before kickoff time, they should win this.

MIAMI 17, Pittsburgh 10 (P) - Why is it that every time the name Roethlisberger is mentioned the first thing that pops into my head is former Olympic gymnast John Roethlisberger? If the Dolphins can't beat a rookie quarterback from a small-time program making his first NFL start on the road, then an 0-16 finish cannot be ruled out.

Philadelphia 23, DETROIT 14 (+4) - The Lions were outplayed in both of their first two games but are 2-0 thanks to their opponents' blunders and oversights; but the Eagles don't do blunders or oversights in road games on artificial turf, in which they're 11-2 both ways in the new millennium - and it would be 12-1 if Andy Reid hadn't tried that stupid onside kick in Dallas last year (OK - so they have committed one blunder on the carpet recently). Philadelphia has also covered in nine of the last ten games against Detroit, and Jim Johnson's sophisticated defensive package figures to leave Joey Harrington dazed and confused.

ATLANTA 21, Arizona 20 (+9 1/2) - When Detroit won in Chicago on opening day, Arizona inherited the NFL's longest current road losing streak (now at 14) but when the Falcons beat the Rams last week they placed themselves on the wrong end of the Unlucky Seven Theory: The last five times a team snapped a losing streak of seven or more games against a particular opponent, that team then lost and non-covered in its next game; indeed, four of the five didn't even cover a ten-point teaser. Take the points as the Falcons struggle to evade an outright upset, which they will succeed in doing only because the Cardinals are, well, the Cardinals.

Baltimore 23, CINCINNATI 10 (+2 1/2) - The Bengals are also doomed by the Unlucky Seven Theory, having ended their nine-game losing streak to Miami Sunday night, holding the Dolphins to a comical 25 yards rushing on 20 carries; but this week their run defense moves way up in company taking on Jamal Lewis.

TENNESSEE 27, Jacksonville 14 (+6 1/2) - No unlucky sevens in this one, although there are a pair of fives: The Jaguars have lost five straight to the Titans all told, and also five in a row at Tennessee, covering only once in each instance. And refuse to believe that Jacksonville is for real.

MINNESOTA 34, Chicago 13 (+9) - Still another Unlucky Seven play, as the Bears finally knocked off the Packers last week after seven consecutive losses to Green Bay; and in addition to the seven, there's also a "six" in this game (the Bears have lost six straight outdoors) and an "eight" as well (Chicago has dropped eight in a row as a visitor on the carpet).

ST. LOUIS 17, New Orleans 14 (+7 1/2) - At the racetrack, when horses bearing the same number win three races in a row they call it a "Holy Ghost;" well the underachieving Rams have a shot at their own "Holy Ghost" this week: If they score 17 points in this game it will have been the third straight time they have done so. And while that might actually be enough to get by a Saints team that will be without Deuce McAllister for this game and at least three more (the dreaded high ankle sprain), the points are well worth taking in a matchup that has seen the home team cover in only one of the last six.

KANSAS CITY 21, Houston 13 (+9 1/2) - The Texans are 0-2 courtesy of a great deal of carelessness on their part, but how do the Chiefs cover this with their already thin wide receiver ranks further depleted by Eddie Kennison's pulled hamstring and Priest Holmes also questionable with both ankle and knee problems?

INDIANAPOLIS 30, Green Bay 23 (+5 1/2) - The Packers haven't beaten the Colts on the road since 1974, starting with a 1982 tie at Baltimore which was the only game the 0-8-1 Colts didn't lose in that strike-abbreviated season; then came a loss at 5-11 Indy in 1985 and a 1997 upset there to a team that entered the game 0-10. So how can you expect them to go into the RCA Dome and beat this talent-laden edition - or even cover given their 11-30 spread record on the carpet since 1994 and their 4-14 pointwise mark inside NFL domes since 1997? But even with all of the foregoing, the combination of letdown (after the big win at Tennessee) plus looking ahead (another AFC South road game - at Jacksonville, where they were upset last year - is next up) means that Indianapolis is no lockola in this spot after all.

DENVER 34, San Diego 10 (+10 1/2) - Haven't been able to find out how teams do after getting fined and forfeiting a draft choice for salary-cap cheating, but I do know that the Chargers are 1-8 straight up and 3-6 against the line in their last nine at Denver, and the lone win and one of the covers came in the 1999 season finale, which Shanahan no doubt tanked to get a soft schedule for 2000. Yom Kippur falls during this week, and the Broncos will be anxious to atone for the sins they committed last Sunday in Jacksonville.

SEATTLE 28, San Francisco 21 (+10 1/2) - From 1982 to the present, 14 teams have opened a season with two road victories, and nine of them made the playoffs, and three of those won the Super Bowl. But what I saw of Ken Dorsey in his first pro start last week impressed me enough to take a chance on the 49ers completing a "Holy Ghost" of sorts by starting the season with three spread-covering straight-up losses, and in the process handing the home team in this series what would be its fifth consecutive failure to cover.

OAKLAND 16, Tampa Bay 13 (+3 1/2) - There are three Unlucky Sevens this week, so why not three Holy Ghosts too? In this case, three straight games involving the Raiders where the home team has been favored by three and a half and won by three.

MONDAY NIGHT

Dallas 17 (+1 1/2), WASHINGTON 7 - Mark Brunell or Patrick Ramsey? Who cares! The Cowboys are 10-0-2 versus the points in their last dozen games against the Redskins (and 12-1 straight up in the last 13) and Bill Parcells also has a personal six-game win streak over Joe Gibbs. Amazingly, the Dallas defense has inflicted a zero passer rating on two of its last five regular-season opponents, including doing it to Washington's Tim Hasselbeck (who is still on the roster as the third-stringer) last December.

BEST BETS: ARIZONA, BALTIMORE, MINNESOTA

Houston at Kansas City is in a circle because Chiefs RB Priest Holmes is questionable, Green Bay at Indianapolis is in a circle because Colts RB Edgerrin James is doubtful, and Dallas at Washington is in a circle because Redskins quarterback Mark Brunell is questionable.

Last edited by Anthony; 09-22-2004 at 08:49 AM.
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Old 09-22-2004, 10:11 AM   #3
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New York Giants (BB)
Atlanta
Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Detroit
Tennessee (BB)
Chicago (BB)
New Orleans
Houston
San Diego
Indianapolis
San Francisco
Oakland
Dallas
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Old 09-22-2004, 11:58 AM   #4
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N.Y. GIANTS
ATLANTA
MIAMI
Baltimore
Philadelphia
TENNESSEE
MINNESOTA
ST. LOUIS
KANSAS CITY
DENVER
INDIANAPOLIS
San Francisco
OAKLAND

Monday, September 27:

WASHINGTON
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Old 09-22-2004, 12:58 PM   #5
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Cleveland +3
Arizona +9.5
MIAMI
Baltimore -2.5
Philadelphia -4
TENNESSEE -6.5
MINNESOTA -9
New Orleans +7.5 (Best Bet)
Houston +9.5
San Diego +10.5
INDIANAPOLIS -5.5 (Best Bet)
San Francisco +10.5 (Best Bet)
OAKLAND -3.5
Dallas +1.5

Last edited by Hero; 09-23-2004 at 02:59 PM.
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Old 09-22-2004, 02:40 PM   #6
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N.Y. GIANTS
Arizona
MIAMI
Baltimore
DETROIT
TENNESSEE
MINNESOTA
New Orleans
KANSAS CITY
DENVER
INDIANAPOLIS
San Francisco
OAKLAND

Monday, September 27:

Dallas
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Old 09-22-2004, 02:49 PM   #7
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N.Y. Giants
Arizona
Miami
Cincinnati
Philadelphia (BB)
Tennessee
Chicago
St. Louis (BB)
Houston
Denver
Green Bay
Seattle (BB)
Oakland
Washington
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Old 09-22-2004, 05:40 PM   #8
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N.Y. Giants
Atlanta (BB)
Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Philadelphia (BB)
Tennessee
Minnesota
New Orleans
Kansas City
Denver (BB)
Indianapolis
Seattle
Oakland
Washington
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Old 09-22-2004, 06:19 PM   #9
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Default Re: NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 3

Quote:
Originally posted by Anthony
Here are the opening lines for Week 3:

Sunday, September 26:

N.Y. GIANTS 3 over Cleveland (1:00 PM EDT)
ATLANTA 9 1/2 over Arizona
MIAMI Pick'em Pittsburgh
Baltimore 2 1/2 over CINCINNATI
Philadelphia 4 over DETROIT
TENNESSEE 6 1/2 over Jacksonville
MINNESOTA 9 over Chicago
ST. LOUIS 7 1/2 over New Orleans
KANSAS CITY 9 1/2 over Houston
DENVER 10 1/2 over San Diego (4:05 PM EDT)
INDIANAPOLIS 5 1/2 over Green Bay (4:15 PM EDT)
SEATTLE 10 1/2 over San Francisco
OAKLAND 3 1/2 over Tampa Bay (8:30 PM EDT)

Monday, September 27:

WASHINGTON 1 1/2 over Dallas (9:00 PM EDT)

Cleveland
Arizona
Miami
Baltimore
Philly (BB)
Jacksonville
Chicago
New Orleans (BB)
KC
Denver
GB
SF
Tampa
Washington (BB)
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Old 09-23-2004, 11:32 PM   #10
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N.Y. GIANTS BB
Arizona
MIAMI BB
CINCINNATI
DETROIT
Jacksonville
Chicago
New Orleans BB
KANSAS CITY
DENVER 10 1/2
Green Bay
San Francisco
Tampa Bay
WASHINGTON
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Old 09-24-2004, 02:41 PM   #11
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Cleveland
Atlanta
Miami
Cincinnati
Detroit
Jacksonville (BB)
Chicago
New Orleans (BB)
Kansas City
Denver
Green Bay (BB)
San Francisco
Oakland
Washington

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Old 09-24-2004, 08:38 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally posted by digital7
N.Y. GIANTS
ATLANTA
MIAMI
Baltimore
Philadelphia
TENNESSEE
MINNESOTA
ST. LOUIS
KANSAS CITY
DENVER
INDIANAPOLIS
San Francisco
OAKLAND

Monday, September 27:

WASHINGTON

Best Bets

Philly
St. Louis
Miami
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Old 09-25-2004, 09:19 AM   #13
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Giants
Arizona
Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Philly(best bet)
Jacksonville
Chicago
New Orleans
Houston
San Deigo
Indy(best bet)
Seattle
Tampa Bay
Dallas (best bet)
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Old 09-25-2004, 03:54 PM   #14
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Cleveland (1:00 PM EDT)
Arizona (BB)
Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Philadelphia
Jacksonville (BB)
Chicago
ST. LOUIS 7 1/2
Houston
San Diego (4:05 PM EDT)
INDIANAPOLIS 5 1/2
San Francisco
Tampa Bay (8:30 PM EDT)

Monday, September 27:

WASHINGTON 1 1/2 (BB)
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Old 09-25-2004, 09:35 PM   #15
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N.Y. GIANTS
ATLANTA (BB)
MIAMI
Baltimore
Philadelphia (BB)
TENNESSEE
MINNESOTA (BB)
ST. LOUIS
KANSAS CITY
DENVER
Green Bay
SEATTLE
OAKLAND
WASHINGTON

Bama -- you didn't post your Best Bets, which is the purpose of this thread!
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