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Old 11-02-2009, 08:29 PM   #1
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Cool NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 9

Sunday, November 8:

NEW ENGLAND 10 1/2 over Miami (1:00 PM ET)
ATLANTA 10 over Washington
JACKSONVILLE 6 1/2 over Kansas City
Green Bay 9 1/2 over TAMPA BAY
Baltimore 3 over CINCINNATI
INDIANAPOLIS 9 1/2 over Houston

CHICAGO 3 over Arizona
NEW ORLEANS 14 1/2 over Carolina (4:05 PM ET)
SEATTLE 10 over Detroit
N.Y. GIANTS 3 1/2 over San Diego (4:15 PM ET)
SAN FRANCISCO 5 1/2 over Tennessee
PHILADELPHIA 3 over Dallas (8:20 PM ET)

Monday, November 9:

Pittsburgh 3 over DENVER (8:30 PM ET)

BYES: Buffalo, Cleveland, Minnesota, N.Y. Jets, Oakland, St. Louis

Home team in CAPS; tie-breaker games in red.

For complete contest rules, click here.

Last edited by Anthony; 11-03-2009 at 11:48 PM.
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Old 11-04-2009, 05:23 PM   #2
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Green Bay (BB)
San Diego
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Last edited by Anthony; 11-06-2009 at 04:14 AM.
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Old 11-06-2009, 04:12 AM   #3
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Cool Anthony's Week 9 Picks

Last week: 5-8. Season totals: 53-62-1, Pct. .461. Best Bets: 8-16, Pct. .333.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.


24, San Diego 17 (+3 1/2) - Who else noticed that all three warm-weather or indoor teams who played at cold-weather sites last week won and covered? Well that won't happen again this week - and not just because there are four such games this time around instead of only three.

NEW ENGLAND 31, Miami 10 (+10 1/2) - Chad Henne accounted for all of 52 net yards passing in his first start on the road - and this is the second of the four weather-intensive matchups, plus the Patriots have won six in a row coming off the bye, covering in five.

ATLANTA 27, Washington 13 (+10) - It took the high-flying, unbeaten Saints to saddle Mike Smith with his first-ever two-game losing streak as an NFL head coach. It will take a lot more than the bewilderingly-disarrayed Redskins to make it a three-game slide.

JACKSONVILLE 17, Kansas City 14 (+6 1/2) - By putting in a waiver claim for wide receiver Chris Chambers after the Chargers released him, the Chiefs at least showed that they still care. Meanwhile, Jack Del Rio is seriously considering benching David Garrard, the building will be half-empty on Sunday, and it may require more than one week for the Jags to surmount the embarrassment of losing decisively to the previously-winless Titans.

TAMPA BAY 21 (+9 1/2), Green Bay 20 - Maybe if Raheem Morris had given the starting quarterback job to first-round 2009 pick Josh Freeman instead of 2008 fifth-rounder Josh Johnson when he benched Byron Leftwich, the Bucs wouldn't be the last winless team standing. Well Freeman has had two weeks (Tampa Bay had a bye last week) to work with the first-team offense, and if they can keep it close early Aaron Rodgers and his 0-7 career record in games decided by four points or less becomes a serious issue. So let's go for the upset special - and it's big balloons!

CINCINNATI 23 (+3), Baltimore 14 - Who cares what happened last year when Carson Palmer missed essentially the entire season? No way should the Bengals be home underdogs in this spot with Palmer back fully healthy and his supporting cast on offense clearly more talented than Joe Flacco's. And here's a devastating fact: From 1997 to the present, teams losing the first meeting to a division rival at home (as the Ravens did to Cincy in Week 5) are a whopping 101 games under .500 - 92-193 - in the second meeting on the road. Only their noxious post-bye history (4-15-1, the tie coming last year against the Eagles) keeps the Bengals out of the mortal-lock category.

INDIANAPOLIS 21, Houston 13 (+9 1/2) - Not only did all of the warm-weather teams playing in cold weather win and cover last week, but Ryan Moats outgained Brandon Jacobs by 40 yards and scored three more TDs than Jacobs (these two running backs belonging in the same discussion because in the 2005 draft the Eagles selected the former when they could have had the latter instead). Don't look for a repeat of that either; but the Texans may have finally had their long-awaited breakthrough (with a winning record at the halfway mark for the first time ever and coming off back-to-back victories on a surface upon which they had lost 17 straight prior), and the Colts looked tentative against the 49ers. Willing to take the points here despite Houston's 1-13 all-time record vs. the Colts, including 0-7 at Indianapolis.

CHICAGO 24, Arizona 7 (+3) - The over-under totals on this and the other cold-weather games are circled due to "possible inclement weather." Sounds like they're playing my song - especially in this one with the Cardinals being 7-30 straight up in cold-weather games since leaving St. Louis 21 years ago, and not having won in Chicago since 1982.

NEW ORLEANS 28, Carolina 17 (+14 1/2) - One night before the Democrats got their dire warning, the Saints got theirs. New Orleans has a long history of peaking too early and last Sunday the Panthers showed just how dangerous they can be when they keep the ball to themselves - and not for nothing, but Carolina has won seven in a row in the state of Louisiana (and it needs to be put precisely that way because Hurricane Katrina forced the 2005 game to be moved to Baton Rouge). And they're getting two touchdowns?

SEATTLE 34, Detroit 20 (+10) - Normally when neither team is playing well you take this many points. But the Lions haven't stopped anybody all year on the road (119 points allowed in three games), where they have also lost their last 15 by an average margin of just over 16 per outing.

SAN FRANCISCO 21, Tennessee 17 (+5 1/2) - The injuries continue to pile up in San Fran, most notably along the offensive line and in the secondary. And maybe Bud Adams should have ordered Jeff Fisher to bench Kerry Collins sooner?

PHILADELPHIA 33, Dallas 23 (+3) - Interestingly, the Eagles gave up 141 yards rushing in their rout of the Giants - an outcome that was profoundly popular on "The Strip" because the line went from an opening number of Eagles minus 3 to Giants minus 2 1/2 by kickoff. But Dallas isn't built to grind it out like that on offense and is 8-25 straight up and 10-21-2 against the line since 1995 as a visitor in cold weather - and this one's under the lights, making matters worse. Finally, given Philadelphia's demonstrated inability to win close games (1-7-1 in 2008-09 in games decided by seven points or less), unless the Cowboys win outright, the Eagles will surely cover.


17, DENVER 10 (+3) - My guess is that Denver's bubble burst last week in Baltimore. Wins here and in next Sunday's rematch with Cincinnati at home will put the Steelers on a solid trajectory to both win the AFC North and secure at least a second seed in the playoffs - the same position from which they reached, and won, Super Bowl XLIII.

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Old 11-07-2009, 11:43 AM   #4
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Baltimore (BB)

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Last edited by Anthony; 11-08-2009 at 07:37 AM.
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Old 11-07-2009, 07:20 PM   #5
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Default Pointspread Contest

New England
Kansas City
Green Bay (BB)
Seattle (BB)
NY Giants
San Francisco (BB)

Last edited by Anthony; 11-08-2009 at 07:38 AM.
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Old 11-08-2009, 12:07 PM   #6
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Miami +10 1/2
Green Bay -9 1/2 (BB)
Arizona +3
N.Y. GIANTS -3 1/2

Monday, November 9:

Pittsburgh -3

Last edited by Anthony; 11-08-2009 at 01:47 PM.
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Old 11-10-2009, 03:13 AM   #7
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Default Week 9 Picks

1st 2 Anthony: 9-4 - 600 points
2nd 4 Jeff Boswell: 6-7 (1-2) [3-2] - 200 points
3rd 5 xxMURPHxx: 6-7 (1-2) [2-3] - 100 points
4th 3 Nate: 3-10 (1-2) [1-4] - 60 points
5th 1 Marc: 3-10 (1-2) [0-5] - 40 points

(Best Bet Record)
[Record in Tie-Breaker Games]

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