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Old 09-11-2019, 11:17 AM   #1
Anthony
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Cool Anthony's Week 2 NFL Pointspread Picks

Last week: 8-7-1. Season totals: 8-7-1, Pct. .531. Best Bets: 1-1-1, Pct. .500.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.



THURSDAY NIGHT

CAROLINA
34, Tampa Bay 20 (+6 1/2) - Jameis "El Interception" Winston served up three of them in the opener hosting a 49ers team that went 0-8 on the road last year, and now has 61 picks in 55 lifetime starts. A must-win situation for the Panthers (this early in the season?), in that only one team in NFL history (the 2003 Eagles) who lost their first two games, both at home, has ever made the playoffs in a non-strike year - but Carolina is 9-3 straight up and 8-4 against the spread in the series since 2013.


SUNDAY

Buffalo
20, N.Y. GIANTS 13 (+2 1/2) - With a home opener against the very beatable Bengals awaiting, a 3-0 start is within reach of the Bills if they win here - and you're said to be "onside" from a betting standpoint when you're giving two and a half.

New England 52, MIAMI 3 (+15) - The Saints opened the 1973 season with a 62-7 loss followed by a 40-3 loss, for a point differential of minus 92. Having lost 59-10 to supposedly offensively-challenged Baltimore in Week 1, the Dolphins will need to lose this game by 44 or more to exceed that - and don't bet against it.

PITTSBURGH 27, Seattle 13 (+3 1/2) - Going "offside" laying the three and a half, I know - but the Seahawks were shut out in both of their last two forays to The Big Ketchup Bottle, and going all the way back to 1998 Seattle is 46-74-1 straight up and 50-66-5 against the line as a visitor on the grass. The home team in this series has also won and covered four in a row by a combined 107-46. Best bet.

WASHINGTON 23 (+4 1/2), Dallas 21 - Last year, the Cowboys went into Washington wearing their blue jerseys, and lost - this after having lost their opener at Carolina wearing the blue. Deja vu all over again. Upset special.

CINCINNATI 24 (+2), San Francisco 23 - Bengals-Bills the Game of the Week next week? Surprising. What's not surprising? The 49ers losing on artificial turf: They're 27-54 straight up on it since Steve Young retired.

L.A. Chargers 35, DETROIT 31 (+3) - The Chargers are 7-3 straight up and 6-3-1 against the spread on artificial turf since 2016, but the home team in this series has won and covered the last three by a combined 122-52. Tough read.

BALTIMORE 17, Arizona 14 (+13) - Not sold one bit on the Ravens offense, and the Cards are 3-0 against the spread lifetime in Baltimore. Don't even think about doing anything but taking the points.

TENNESSEE 28, Indianapolis 7 (+3) - From 2013 through 2018, the Colts were 9-0 straight up against Tennessee with Andrew Luck, and 1-2 without him - and have to believe that the The Team That Should Be Known As The Nashville Oilers deserve to be favored by a lot more than a field goal at home facing Jacoby Brissett.

HOUSTON 31, Jacksonville 6 (+8) - Game, spread-covering effort in defeat by the Texans Monday night - and with Nick Foles out, likely for the season, the way things figure to turn out, if you have Leonard Fournette on your fantasy team, unload him any way you can - because from now on everybody will shove eight in the box to stop Fournette and make Gardner Minshew beat them (would they be doing this if Colin Kaepernick or even Brock Osweiler was in there?).

GREEN BAY 27, Minnesota 20 (+2 1/2) - Like the Bills, the Packers are "onside" at minus two and a half - and at that number the Vikings pretty much have to win the game outright to cover, and dating all the way back to 2001 Minnesota is 29-61-2 straight up as a visitor on the grass and 30-78-2 straight up as a visitor outdoors. The three days of extra preparation time that the Packers will have will also come in handy for the Lambeau Leapers.

Kansas City 45, OAKLAND 28 (+8) - Can't see the Raiders having that big a home advantage with the Vegas thing hanging over their heads and Fat Boy is 26-10 straight up and 22-14 against the spread within the AFC West since becoming the Chiefs head coach in 2013, including 10-2 and 9-3, respectively, versus Oakland.

Chicago 26, DENVER 19 (+2) - With really nothing else to go on, we'll go with the Bears on the extra-preparation-time theory. Those balls should be flying between those goal posts in the mile-high milieu.

New Orleans 37 (+3), L.A. RAMS 31 - For five months the Saints have had this date circled on their calendar. I'm rooting for this game to be tied at regulation, then for the Saints to win the toss and go marching into the end zone - because the more games like that there are this year (there has already been one so far), the more likely the owners will fix this huge problem.

Philadelphia 38, ATLANTA 28 (+1) - With DeSean Jackson back, the Eagles can win a shootout if they get in one - and the way the Falcons looked against Kirk Cousins, who never beats over-.500 teams, it is a fair bet that they won't finish over .500 this year, and the Eagles are too good to lose to too many teams who will not finish over .500.


MONDAY

N.Y. JETS
22 (+2 1/2), Cleveland 20 - But with the Jets' kicking game woes, they're just the team that might lose but cover a two-and-half point spread. Then again, they might simply win the game outright, given Cleveland's woes in September (13-41-1 straight up since 2003!) and on rugs (5-24 outright and 9-19-1 pointwise since 2012, including 1-8 and 2-7 respectively since 2016).


BEST BETS: PITTSBURGH, TENNESSEE, HOUSTON

Last edited by Anthony; 09-11-2019 at 11:37 AM.
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