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Old 11-08-2017, 09:40 AM   #1
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Cool Anthony's Week 10 NFL Pointspread Picks

Last week: 5-8. Season totals: 71-58-1, Pct. .550. Best Bets: 15-11-1, Pct. .574.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.


16, ARIZONA 6 (+6 1/2) - The players' union would probably give the owners their 18-game schedule in exchange for dropping both the Thursday night games and the Sunday night games - and that's fine by me because I can't buy a cover in either! And these are not your father's Seattle Seahawks, 1-3 against the spread at home and 2-2 on the road this year - and have allowed exactly six points in each of their last three trips to the desert: A 6-6 tie last year, and 36-6 and 35-6 wins in 2015 and '14, respectively - and the Cardinals had Carson Palmer in two of those games.


N.Y. Jets
20, TAMPA BAY 7 (+1) - Wonder if Woody Johnson is going to put a bounty out on Ryan Fitzpatrick, who left after a bitter contract dispute? The Bucs will also be without (in addition to Jameis Winston) the suspended Mike Evans for doing his best impression of Doctor Torpedo from Spy Hunter on Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore last week. The Jets, who are 10-1 both ways lifetime against Tampa Bay, should take this.

BUFFALO 28 (+2 1/2), New Orleans 21 - New York State's Only Team is 4-0 straight up and 3-0-1 against the line at home this year, while New Orleans is 10-14 straight up and 9-14-1 against the line since 1997 as a visitor in cold weather. The Saints' recent mastery of Buffalo - wins and covers in the last four meetings by a combined 105-37 - comes to an end here.

WASHINGTON 27 (+2), Minnesota 13 - Kirk Cousins vs. Case Keenum is "slaughter sides" as they say on the playground, the home team has won and covered the last four in the series, and since vacating fabled Metropolitan Stadium at the end of the 1981 season MInnesota is 11-37-1 straight up and 17-29-3 against the spread in Triple Witching Hour games. Best bet.

L.A. Chargers 21 (+4), JACKSONVILLE 10 - I still refuse to believe that a team quarterbacked by Blake Bortles will ever so much as sniff the playoffs - and one team doesn't get much dominant over another than the six-game winning streak the Chargers have over the Jaguars by a combined 202-86.

DETROIT 23, Cleveland 20 (+12) - This is an absolute, total trap game for the Lions - coming off playing on Monday night, having played a division rival on that Monday night, and not one but two more division games coming up. Don't even think of laying this number despite Cleveland's 16-game road losing streak, during which the Browns have been outscored 456-247 and are 4-12 against the spread.

Pittsburgh 26, INDIANAPOLIS 17 (+10) - The Steelers have done a lot of winning but not covering coming off a bye week - they're 16-11 straight up but just 11-16 against the spread doing so, along with a fair share of it indoors - 7-3 outright but only 5-5 pointwise since 2009. And the Colts, for their part, are 13-7 against the spread in fatigue games, plus the Steelers have already scored exactly 26 points twice this year, and more than that (29) only once. Take it.

TENNESSEE 28, Cincinnati 14 (+4) - The AFC South title is Tennessee's to lose. Cincinnati's fans, who have suffered for so long under Marvin Lewis, should finally get to see him get duck-dinnered at the end of this season, when his contract runs out.

CHICAGO 16, Green Bay 3 (+5) - Two starts for Brett Hundley - and two multi-possession losses, both at home, to domed-stadium teams - and the Washington Post, which generally doesn't weigh in on such matters, is advocating that the Packers tank the rest of the season in an editorial they ran on Tuesday. A team that many thought would go to the Super Bowl may very well end up with a top-five pick in the 2018 draft instead.

L.A. RAMS 30, Houston 13 (+10) - Yup, the Texans are that bad without Deshaun Watson - bad enough to lay this kind of wood against them.

ATLANTA 24, Dallas 17 (+3) - Now, players are questionable due to possible suspensions as well as injuries - and no way would the Falcons, who are essentially out of playoff contention with a loss here, have opened as three-point favorites if the books expected Ezekiel Elliott to play. Plus Dez Bryant (knee, ankle) is also banged up.

N.Y. Giants 13 (+1), SAN FRANCISCO 7 - The notoriously crabby scribes of Gotham laid into the Giants big time for quitting against the Rams. But even quitting is better than tanking, which the 49ers are clearly doing by adamantly refusing to play Jimmy Garoppolo after trading for him. A draft lottery in the NFL is more overdue than a pregnant woman in her 48th week.

New England 31, DENVER 16 (+7) - Paxton Lynch can't get healthy enough soon enough, and the Patriots have been more than good enough on natural grass in 2016-17 - 7-0 straight up, 6-1 against the spread.


CAROLINA 24, Miami 20 (+9) - Another big underdog that should cover for no better reason than the fact that the number itself is too high - and Carolina's, for lack of a better word, unorthodox offense is rarely a good bet to cover a big spread.


Last edited by Anthony; 11-08-2017 at 10:11 AM.
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Old 11-09-2017, 02:05 AM   #2
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Last week: 2-1
Season: 5-7

Best Bets:
BUF +2.5 over NO
WAS +2 over MIN
DEN +7 over NE
Originally Posted by buckeye
Sounds to me like they're still waiting for a good old-fashion ass kicking.
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