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Old 12-17-2002, 10:05 PM   #1
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Default SCMB NFL Pick'em Contest: Week 16

Week 16

Sunday, December 15:
Miami at Minnesota, 1:30 pm
Buffalo at Green Bay, 1:00 pm
San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 pm
Denver at Oakland, 4:15 pm
N.Y. Giants at Indianapolis, 1:00 pm
Tennessee at Jacksonville, 1:00 pm
Cleveland at Baltimore, 4:15 pm
N.Y. Jets at New England, 8:30 pm
Detroit at Atlanta, 1:00 pm

Monday, December 16:
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay, 9:00 pm (include total pts. scored)

For first time pickers: EVERYONE is welcome to enter their picks. Simply select the team from the ten featured games above whom you think will win and list them in your post. For the Monday game, you must post the total score of the game in addition to the winning team. Good luck!

Standings: http://www.nspencer.com/PickEm2002.html
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Old 12-17-2002, 10:46 PM   #2
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Default Re: SCMB NFL Pick'em Contest: Week 16

Miami
Green Bay
Kansas City
Oakland
Indianapolis
Tennessee
Cleveland (Art won't be smilin after this one)
N.Y. Jets
Atlanta
Tampa Bay (42)
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Old 12-18-2002, 02:31 PM   #3
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Minnesota (upset special)
Buffalo
San Diego
Denver
Indianapolis
Tennessee
Cleveland
New England
Atlanta

Monday, December 16:
Pittsburgh
(35)
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Old 12-19-2002, 01:39 AM   #4
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Miami
Green Bay
San Diego
Oakland
Indianapolis
Tennessee
Cleveland
New England
Atlanta
Tampa Bay (41)
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Old 12-20-2002, 01:04 AM   #5
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Miami
Green Bay
San Diego
Denver
NY Giants
Tennessee
Cleveland
New England
Atlanta

Tampa Bay 38
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Old 12-20-2002, 01:07 AM   #6
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Why are some names in yellow on the standings page?
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Old 12-20-2002, 01:51 AM   #7
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As I explained in last week's thread, any name in yellow is currently ineligible for our playoffs. To be eligible, you have to have selected in at least 79 games before the end of the season. Some people currently in yellow can become eligible before the end, but currently are not.
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Old 12-20-2002, 03:11 AM   #8
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Minnesota-Miami
San Francisco-Arizona
Dallas-Philadelphia
Buffalo-Green Bay
Carolina-Chicago
Atlanta-Detroit
Washington-Houston
New Orleans-Cincinnati
Indianapolis-N.Y. Giants
San Diego-Kansas City
Jacksonville-Tennessee
Seattle-St. Louis
Cleveland-Baltimore
Oakland-Denver
N.Y. Jets-New England
Tampa Bay-Pittsburgh (35)

Last edited by Hero; 12-22-2002 at 01:33 PM.
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Old 12-20-2002, 04:29 AM   #9
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Last week: 8-8. Season totals: 112-102-10, Pct. .522. Best Bets: 25-18-2, Pct. .578.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.


SATURDAY

MINNESOTA 31 (+3 1/2), Miami 24 - Earlier this year the Dolphins got upset in a strikingly similar situation, losing at Kansas City the week after one key game and the week before another (next Sunday Miami is at New England with the AFC East title almost certain to be on the line), plus the home team has won four in a row in this series and is 3-0-1 versus the points.

San Francisco 27, ARIZONA 21 (+4 1/2*) - This will be San Fran's last real chance to get things right before the playoffs, since even though the 49ers are now mathematically eliminated from earning a bye the conventional way, they'll end up getting one of sorts anyhow because Steve Mariucci won't risk injury to his starters next Monday night in St. Louis - and they usually do get things right when they play the Cardinals, against whom they have won and covered four straight times.

Philadelphia 20, DALLAS 10 (+6 1/2) - Expected by many to fall off the table after Donovan McNabb went down, the Eagles might end up running the table instead. Moreover, the injuries to first McNabb and then Koy Detmer are actually helping them cover by holding the spreads down - not that they really need such assistance on prime time (when they're 8-0 both ways under Andy Reid), in a road game on artificial turf (where they're half a point away from being 8-0 against the spread since 2000) and taking on a team they've beaten five in a row, including by 86 points in the last three - the most one-sided cumulative result for the three latest meetings in any of the NFL's 496 head-to-head matchups.

SUNDAY

N.Y. Giants 23 (+5 1/2), Indianapolis 20 - Last week's effort in Cleveland might have taken something out of the Colts; the Giants are hardly in the same boat after stampeding the Cowboys. The Colts are also 17-35-2 against the spread as home favorites dating all the way back to 1990, and haven't beaten the Giants at home since the 1959 NFL championship game!

WASHINGTON 21, Houston 17 (+7) - Hard to trust the Redskins at this price against anybody, even if they're not looking ahead to next week's NFC East third-place showdown with Dallas.

CAROLINA 23, Chicago 16 (+3 1/2) - Carolina is 7-2 against the spread outside the NFC South and you have to admire the Panthers for not quitting in the face of the eight-game losing streak that came after their 3-0 start, followed by the loss of their best defensive player due to a Mickey Mouse suspension.

ATLANTA 28, Detroit 27 (+11) - With Minnesota winning at New Orleans last week the Lions have inherited the league's longest current road losing streak at 15 games; and if they do break it, the most plausible setting would be in someone else's dome rather than outdoors and/or on grass. The Falcons may be unraveling after their blowout loss in Tampa two weeks ago; you just might see the reverse of what happened at the end of last Sunday's Vikings game: Detroit goes for two and doesn't make it!

New Orleans 24, CINCINNATI 20 (+7) - Certs may be two mints in one, but this game could produce three clinchings in one: The Saints clinching a playoff spot, the Bengals clinching Carson Palmer, and those who lay the number clinching a most unhappy holiday.

JACKSONVILLE 16 (+3), Tennessee 10 - You just know that at least one - and probably more than one - team in the playoff mix is going to falter against an opponent that is bereft of postseason aspirations, and two facts point to this being one of those games: The home side has won and covered the last five times these teams have met, and the Titans are 1-8-1 against the spread as road favorites in the new millennium; indeed, their only loss since starting 1-4 came in that role, at Baltimore four weeks ago.

GREEN BAY 34, Buffalo 17 (+7) - Packers need help for a first-round bye but should do their part with two games remaining against what have to be considered non-contenders unless one believes in absolute miracles. The trends are kind to Green Bay here too: The home team has won and covered three straight in this pairing, and Buffalo is 13-28 outright and 16-23-2 against the line since 1995 as a visitor on the grass.

KANSAS CITY 30, San Diego 20 (+2*) - And it doesn't even matter whether Priest Holmes (bruised hip) plays or not because the Chargers can't stop the pass and they can't win in cold weather, or on the road in the second half of the season generally.

BALTIMORE 23, Cleveland 14 (+2 1/2) - The angle favoring teams that won the first meeting over a division rival on the road when they host the rematch remains as live as ever, in that it is now 18-3 straight up and 15-5-1 against the spread on the year. And St. Louis may not be the only team staring at an off-season quarterback controversy; perhaps the Browns should take a long, hard look at the possibility of trading Tim Couch and entering next season with the promising Kelly Holcomb atop their QB depth chart.

St. Louis 34 (P), SEATTLE 27 - Victories here and in next Monday night's anticipated "walkover" at home against San Francisco would mean that the Rams will have won every game when Marc Bulger started at quarterback this year and lost every game when he didn't.

OAKLAND 28, Denver 14 (+4) - Can't go against a team hosting an opponent it has already beaten on the road without a compelling reason to do so - and no such reason appears to exist here.

NEW ENGLAND 24, N.Y. Jets 23 (+4) - But a reason does exist in this game. Two in fact: The visiting team has covered in seven consecutive Jets-Patriots games and New England is at grave risk for looking ahead to next week's "AFC East Championship Game" at home against Miami, especially if the Dolphins do lose Saturday.

MONDAY NIGHT

TAMPA BAY 17, Pittsburgh 10 (+4) - Yes, the Bucs are 1-5 lifetime against the Steelers, but they bucked (no pun intended!) a similar trend in a Week 16 prime-time game last year against the Ravens and this will set up another "division title game" for next week, with Pittsburgh hosting Baltimore for the AFC North.

BEST BETS: N.Y. GIANTS, BALTIMORE, OAKLAND

*San Francisco at Arizona is in a circle because 49ers wide receiver Terrell Owens is questionable, and San Diego at Kansas City is in a circle because Chiefs running back Priest Holmes is doubtful.


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Kansas City
Oakland
N.Y. Giants
Jacksonville
Baltimore
New England
Atlanta
Tampa Bay (27)
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Old 12-20-2002, 07:17 PM   #10
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Default Re: SCMB NFL Pick'em Contest: Week 16

Miami
Green Bay
Kansas City
Oakland
Indianapolis
Tennessee
Baltimore
New England
Atlanta
Tampa Bay - 31
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Old 12-20-2002, 10:00 PM   #11
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Thanks Nate--Sorry, I didn't realize you explained that earlier.
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Old 12-20-2002, 11:40 PM   #12
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Miami
Green Bay
San Diego
Oakland
Indianapolis
Tennesee
Baltimore
New England
Atlanta
Tampa Bay-34
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Old 12-20-2002, 11:53 PM   #13
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Miami
Green Bay
San Diego
Oakland
N.Y. Giants
Tennessee
Baltimore
New England
Atlanta
Pittsburgh---->37
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Old 12-21-2002, 01:09 AM   #14
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Miami
Buffalo
Kansas City
Denver
Indianapolis
Jacksonville
Cleveland
N.Y. Jets
Atlanta

Monday, December 16:
Tampa Bay, 53 points
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Old 12-21-2002, 03:13 PM   #15
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Miami
Green Bay
San Diego
Oakland
Indianapolis
Tennessee
Cleveland
New England
Atlanta


Tampa Bay (45)
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