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Old 10-12-2016, 10:43 AM   #1
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Cool Anthony's Week 6 NFL Pointspread Picks

Last week: 4-9-1. Season totals: 26-35-1, Pct. .427. Best Bets: 5-7, Pct. .417.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.


23, SAN DIEGO 10 (+2 1/2) - Raw talent aside, the Broncos offense seems to be more comfortable with Trevor Siemian under center than Paxton Lynch and they have won 21 of their last 22 on the road on natural grass, and also five in a row and nine of their last ten in San Diego.


27 (+3), N.Y. GIANTS 20 - Late turnovers are killing the Giants and the Ravens have beaten them four out of five since moving from Cleveland. No one ever promised them a rose garden when Tom Coughlin decided to hang his clipboard up - and following a promising start, it looks like they are not going to get one.

NEW ENGLAND 41, Cincinnati 24 (+8) - Tom Brady didn't "need a game" as they say at the racetrack, not even on grass where the Patriots have struggled mightily of late - and the Bengals have struggled mightily in Foxboro, and not just of late, not having won there since 1986. They might be better off going something like 6-10 this year because that will give them the excuse to do what they have needed to do for years: Fire Marvin Lewis.

WASHINGTON 35, Philadelphia 13 (+1 1/2) - You may think that Jeffrey Lurie owns the Eagles, but actually Kirk Cousins does: In three games against them, Cousins has gone 92 for 140 for 1,082 yards, eight touchdowns and one interception. That's 105.1 on your FM dial - and the radio brought more bad news for the Eagles on Tuesday in the form of offensive tackle Lane Johnson's appeal of his PED suspension being turned down. He will now be forced to miss ten games.

BUFFALO 20, San Francisco 7 (+7 1/2) - If you can't be interesting for the right reasons, you might as well be interesting for the wrong reasons - a premise with which Chip Kelly apparently agrees, leap-frogging Christian Ponder on the depth chart and going to Colin Kaepernick at quarterback to replace the benched (and justifiably so) Blaine Gabbert. But the 49ers always seem to take a three-hour "knee" on artificial turf, at least recently anyway: San Fran has lost six straight on the stuff, with just one cover.

Pittsburgh 23, MIAMI 13 (+7 1/2) - Miami's form has steadily deteriorated since an easy cover at Seattle in the opener, followed by a near miss in New England, and the Steelers have won three in a row and six of their last eight in South Florida. But Pittsburgh could very well be looking ahead to next week's home game against the Patriots, which would be a "five-point game" if it was in the NHL instead of the NFL. So be very careful with this one.

DETROIT 27, Los Angeles 7 (+3) - The Lions appeared to have gotten away with one last week, as the defender who recovered Ryan Mathews' late fumble seems to have slid out of bounds beforehand, thus making him ineligible to recover. But they shouldn't need to get away with anything to beat a team that is 3-15 straight up and 5-11-2 against the line in this decade as a visitor on the carpet and has the NFL's statistically worst offense.

TENNESSEE 17, Cleveland 13 (+6) - Are the Titans good enough to be favored by this much against anybody?

CHICAGO 20, Jacksonville 10 (+ 1 1/2) - Betcha the Texans wish they still had Brian Hoyer! And the Jaguars are 0-3 against the spread lifetime at Soldier Field, getting outscored 56-23 in the last two.

NEW ORLEANS 34 (+3), Carolina 27 - Remember that, despite having won the NFC South the last three years, the Panthers still have never had back-to-back winning seasons in franchise history, having finished 7-8-1 in the second of those three years. And even in the 15-1 season of 2015, their only loss was indoors and on artificial turf - venues at which, since 2008, Carolina is 10-17 straight up and 10-16-1 against the line, and 12-24-1 and 11-26, in each case. Line's hard to come by due to the continued fallout from Cam Newton's concussion of two weeks ago.

Kansas City 31 (+1 1/2), OAKLAND 21 - Narrow wins over the likes of New Orleans, Tennessee and San Diego don't impress me - but Fat Boy coming off a bye does: He's 15-2 outright and 12-5 pointwise doing that lifetime (18-2 and 14-6 counting playoffs). Plus he's won five of six versus the Raiders in his current job. Best bet.

GREEN BAY 34, Dallas 17 (+4) - This week Dak Prescott faces his toughest challenge - against Green Bay, to whom Dallas has lost five in a row, and at Green Bay, where the Cowboys have lost nine out of ten in franchise history, with an average margin of defeat of nearly 20 points in the nine losses. Can't see him, or them, pulling it off.

SEATTLE 23, Atlanta 20 (+6 1/2) - Just like last year, so far, so good for the Falcons, even outdoors where they have played twice and won twice, and Seattle is 8-19 straight up and 6-19-2 against the spread coming off the bye, both league worsts, so take the points - at least.

HOUSTON 16, Indianapolis 10 (+3 1/2) - Brock Osweiler makes you wonder if President Obama's "Cash For Clunkers" program still exists. But at least the Texans didn't mortgage valuable draft choices for him the way the Rams did for Jared Goff, who may end up never getting to take a snap in the NFL.


ARIZONA 24, N.Y. Jets 20 (+7 1/2) - Another "take the points - at least" situation, in that the Jets have beaten the Cardinals six consecutive times and have not lost indoors since the 2009 AFC championship game (six straight wins in domes). And even with Carson Palmer presumably returning, there is no value on Arizona at this price.


Last edited by Anthony; 10-12-2016 at 11:12 AM.
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