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Old 10-26-2004, 03:17 AM   #1
Anthony
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Cool NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 8

Here are the opening lines for Week 8:

Sunday, October 31:

PHILADELPHIA 8 1/2 over Baltimore (1:00 PM EST)
BUFFALO 3 over Arizona
Green Bay 2 1/2 over WASHINGTON
TENNESSEE 4 over Cincinnati
MINNESOTA 7 over N.Y. Giants
HOUSTON 2 over Jacksonville
DALLAS 3 over Detroit
Indianapolis 2 1/2 over KANSAS CITY
DENVER 6 over Atlanta (4:05 PM EST)
SEATTLE 7 1/2 over Carolina
New England 3 over PITTSBURGH (4:15 PM EST)
SAN DIEGO 4 1/2 over Oakland
CHICAGO 3 over San Francisco (8:30 PM EST)

Monday, November 1:

N.Y. JETS 7 over Miami (9:00 PM EST)

BYES: Cleveland, New Orleans, St. Louis, Tampa Bay

Home team in CAPS; national TV games in red; other designated tie-breaker games in blue.

IMPORTANT: Don't forget to designate three picks as Best Bets. These are used to break ties between pickers with the same overall record; if no Best Bets are included the picker is placed behind all others wth the same overall record.

Deadline for posting picks is kickoff of earliest game listed.

Any game left unpicked counts as an automatic loss, even if game ends in push vs. spread. If a poster has left a game unpicked in the original post, the selection on the unpicked game may be added at any time before the kickoff of the earliest game played that week, but the addition must be made in a separate post and not by editing the original post (if I notice that someone has left a game unpicked in an original post, I will attempt to contact the poster by sending a private message; however there is no guarantee that I will catch every single one, especially in the case of picks posted very late in the week). Under no circumstances can any pick be changed (from one team to the opposing team, or changing a Best Bet from one game to another) once it has been posted.

Pushes count as ties (half a win and half a loss) in determining both overall and Best Bet records.


Standings After 7 Weeks

1. KevinBeane: 143
2. Marc: 100.5
3. Doug Graham: 93
4. gconnhokiebird: 72
5. Jeff Boswell: 66
6. bama4256: 54.5
7. Nate: 40
8. abogdan: 37
9. Alex: 31
10. MountaineerDave: 23.5
11. ESP0704: 13.5
12. Anthony: 13
13. Hero: 10.5
14. MaddEnemy: 2.5
15T. #99: 0
15T. DublinMike: 0
15T. digital7: 0
15T. franky: 0

Last edited by Anthony; 11-02-2004 at 03:41 AM.
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Old 10-27-2004, 04:58 AM   #2
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Last week: 6-7-1. Season totals: 40-58-4, Pct. .412. Best Bets: 9-11-1, Pct. .452.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team.


SUNDAY

MINNESOTA 28, N.Y. Giants 23 (+7) - Randy Moss won't be anywhere near full speed by this Sunday, although he is expected to play, and the Giants won at Triple H in both of the last two years, a span over which they're 4-1 both ways in domes. The idea of the more physical team getting a touchdown is also appealing, and if the Giant offense can do a better job finishing off drives they can even pull this thing off outright.

PHILADELPHIA 14, Baltimore 10 (+8 1/2) - 79-year-old Art Modell, who now holds the title of "owner emeritus" of the Ravens, was 42 years old the last time his team lost at Philly - in 1967; true, Jamal Lewis is still suspended for one more week and All-Pro offensive tackle Jonathan Ogden figures to be joining him on the sidelines (pulled hamstring, doubtful), but that makes this a "stat booster" game for Jim Johnson's defense - and since when is that ethos conducive to covering a touchdown-plus spread? Take the points as the unbeaten Eagles (who for their part are likely to be without Brian Westbrook for at least one week due to a chest contusion) play not to lose (as at Chicago in Week 4), and won't.

BUFFALO 16, Arizona 7 (+3) - If this game was one day later the Bills would have been a best bet as that would have made it a "cold weather" game for the Cardinals, who have lost 13 straight such outings by a combined 289 points; even as is, Arizona, with a current 16-game road losing streak, is impossible to avoid going against in this spot despite the rumors of Drew Bledsoe's imminent benching.

WASHINGTON 17 (+2 1/2), Green Bay 14 - Not convinced that the Packers can be consistent enough to go on a major tear and road favorites took an 0-for-4 collar against the spread last week, with only undefeated Philadelphia evading an outright upset. Green Bay also hasn't won in the nation's capital since the year between Vince Lombardi's tenure with the Packers and his one-year comeback with the Redskins - that was 1968, in case you've forgotten.

Cincinnati 13 (+4), TENNESSEE 6 - Wasn't it right around this time last year that the Bengals began to make their big move? And Jeff Fisher is toying with the idea of letting Steve McNair's bruised sternum (which he aggravated last week in Minnesota on what Fisher claims was a cheap shot) fully heal by sitting him out here as the Titans have a bye next week; plus Chris Brown is still banged up too, and he will be facing virtually constant eight-man Cincy fronts if McNair doesn't play. Little if anything to like about this favorite.

DALLAS 20, Detroit 14 (+3) - At 2-4, it's time for the Cowboys to stand and deliver or face playoff irrelevance - and maybe the fact that they won't be wearing their white jerseys this week will make the Lions forget they're playing on the road here. Leaning toward Dallas in spite of the obvious bad value.

HOUSTON 21, Jacksonville 17 (+2) - Everybody keeps calling the Jaguars this year's Carolina - but didn't the Texans beat the original version at home one year minus two days ago come Sunday? That they did, and Domanick Davis could return in time to help Houston make it a three-way scramble in a division most thought the Colts would run away and hide from this year.

KANSAS CITY 38 (+2 1/2), Indianapolis 35 - Not only did the Colts boot away a pivotal division game last week with a litany of mistakes including twelve penalties, but Peyton Manning and wide receiver Reggie Wayne even got into a highly-publicized pushing-and-shoving match; and the Chiefs are not your father's home underdog: They're 33-10-1 against the line when taking points at Arrowhead dating all the way back to 1983! Like Dallas, KC needs to win (again) this week or forget about returning to the playoffs, and like Dallas, they will.

DENVER 33, Atlanta 17 (+6) - What happened to the Falcons last Sunday? They merely remained winless against AFC teams on the road since November 8, 1998, falling to 0-10-1 (they had a 34-34 tie at Pittsburgh in 2002) and outscored 357-175 therein (and 2-8-1 against the spread). Atlanta has also dropped six in a row to the Broncos, and Michael Vick is what Donovan McNabb was a year ago - the starting quarterback on the NFL's All-Overrated Team.

SEATTLE 23, Carolina 20 (+7 1/2) - This is not a good time to be either a Seahawk (definitely) or a Chickenhawk (maybe), and perhaps their 2004 debut on artificial turf will wake up the Panthers, who have covered nine of their last twelve on the stuff, especially if Stephen Davis can make it back after missing the San Diego game when fluid had to be drained from his knee during the week.

New England 21, PITTSBURGH 10 (+3) - Does this sound familiar - a team that had colossal momentum halted by a bye week, and happens to have a history of burning money the week after a bye? It should: Both the Seahawks and Giants fit that rubric, and so do the Steelers, whose 5-10 post-bye spread record is better than only the aforementioned duo plus Tampa Bay. And who has Pittsburgh beaten this year? Five teams with a combined record of 10-23, and all of them sporting losing records. Could the Patriots, Red Sox and John Kerry prove to be the ultimate parlay?

SAN DIEGO 24, Oakland 16 (+4 1/2) - Until the Raiders win a game on the road you have to assume they can't, and until Kerry Collins wins a game anywhere you have to assume he can't. At least the Napoleonic Chargers will head off to their fateful encounter with Generals November and December armed with a winning record.

San Francisco 13 (+3), CHICAGO 3 - Not sold on Tim Rattay as the long-term starter in Frisco even with his B-plus quarterback rating, but the Bears are a most emphatic F-minus at the position, so look for the Niners to make the grade on the road for only the second time under their current professor, Dennis Erickson.

MONDAY NIGHT

N.Y. JETS 27, Miami 6 (+7) - Monday is November 1, which marks the "official" start of the cold-weather season - bad news for Miami, which is 5-18 against the line (and also straight up) since 1995 as a visitor in cold weather.

BEST BETS: DENVER, NEW ENGLAND, N.Y. JETS

N.Y. Giants at Minnesota is in a circle because Vikings wide receiver Randy Moss is questionable, and Cincinnati at Tennessee is in a circle because Titans quarterback Steve McNair is questionable.

Last edited by Anthony; 10-27-2004 at 10:03 AM.
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Old 10-27-2004, 02:59 PM   #3
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Baltimore +8.5
BUFFALO -3
Green Bay -2.5
Cincinnati +4
MINNESOTA -7 (Best Bet)
Jacksonville +2 (Best Bet)
DALLAS -3
Indianapolis -2.5
DENVER -6
Carolina +7.5
PITTSBURGH +3 (Best Bet)
Oakland +4.5
San Francisco +3
Miami +7
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Old 10-27-2004, 07:08 PM   #4
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Baltimore
Buffalo
Green Bay (BB)
Tennessee
Minnesota
Houston
Detroit
Kansas City
Denver
Carolina (BB)
New England
San Diego (BB)
Chicago
New York Jets
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Old 10-27-2004, 09:49 PM   #5
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Baltimore
BUFFALO
Green Bay (BB)
Cincinnati
MINNESOTA
Jacksonville
Detroit
Indianapolis
DENVER
SEATTLE (BB)
New England
SAN DIEGO
CHICAGO
N.Y. JETS (BB)
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Old 10-28-2004, 01:17 PM   #6
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Default Pointspread contest

Phil
Arizona
GB
Tenn
Minn(BB)
Jax
Det
Indy
Denver
Seattle
NE(BB)
SD(BB)
SF
NYJ
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Old 10-28-2004, 02:56 PM   #7
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PHILADELPHIA
Arizona
Green Bay
TENNESSEE
N.Y. Giants
Jacksonville BB
Detroit BB
Indianapolis
DENVER
Carolina
New England
SAN DIEGO BB
CHICAGO
N.Y. JETS
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Old 10-29-2004, 08:37 PM   #8
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Eagles
Cardinals BB
Packers
Bengals
Vikings
Jaguars
Lions
Colts BB
Falcons
Seahawks
Steelers
Chargers
49ers
Jets BB

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Old 10-30-2004, 03:13 PM   #9
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Baltimore -Best Bet
BUFFALO
Green Bay
Cincinnati
MINNESOTA
HOUSTON-Best Bet
Detroit
Indianapolis
Atlanta
SEATTLE
PITTSBURGH
SAN DIEGO
CHICAGO

Monday, November 1:

N.Y. JETS 7-Best Bet
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Old 10-31-2004, 01:57 AM   #10
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Baltimore (1:00 PM EST)
BUFFALO 3
WASHINGTON
TENNESSEE 4
MINNESOTA 7
Jacksonville BB
Detroit BB
Indianapolis 2 1/2
Atlanta (4:05 PM EST)
Carolina
New England 3 BB
SAN DIEGO 4 1/2
CHICAGO 3

Monday, November 1:

N.Y. JETS 7
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Old 11-01-2004, 01:58 AM   #11
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For only the second time this year, the weekly winner is already decided going into the Monday night game - and that winner is KevinBeane, who clinched it when Craig Krenzel bested Ken Dorsey again as per his thread (and of course covered too).

Not only that, but second and third places have been determined as well: bama4256 has wrapped up second, and who is assured of third? Hint: He was the first one to post picks this week!

Fourth place will go to the last one to post picks - that'd be Doug Graham - if either the Jets cover or there is a push, while if the Dolphins can manage to cover in the cold weather it will be Hero who completes the Week 8 superfecta.

Find out where everyone finished this week right here after it's all over at Club Med.

Last edited by Anthony; 11-01-2004 at 02:25 AM.
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Old 11-02-2004, 02:47 AM   #12
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Here are the results for Week 8:

1. KevinBeane: 10-4 ... 57 points
2. bama4256: 9-5 (3-0) ... 18 points
3. Anthony: 9-5 (1-2) ... 9 points
4. Doug Graham: 8-6 ... 6 points
5. abogdan: 7-7 ... 4 points
6. Marc: 6-8 (2-1) ... 3 points
7. Hero: 6-8 (1-2) ... 2 points
8. MountaineerDave: 5-9 ... 1 point

9. Jeff Boswell: 4-10

For current standings see the Week 9 contest thread.
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