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Old 11-09-2004, 04:24 AM   #1
Anthony
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Cool NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 10

Here are the opening lines for Week 10:

Sunday, November 14:

Baltimore Pick'em N.Y. JETS (1:00 PM EST)
ATLANTA 3 1/2 over Tampa Bay
JACKSONVILLE 4 over Detroit
Pittsburgh 5 over CLEVELAND
INDIANAPOLIS 9 1/2 over Houston
TENNESSEE 5 1/2 over Chicago
Kansas City 3 1/2 over NEW ORLEANS
ST. LOUIS 1 over Seattle
WASHINGTON 3 over Cincinnati (4:05 PM EST)
GREEN BAY 4 1/2 over Minnesota (4:15 PM EST)
N.Y. Giants 3 over ARIZONA
SAN FRANCISCO 1 over Carolina
NEW ENGLAND 9 over Buffalo (8:30 PM EST)

Monday, November 15:

Philadelphia 5 1/2 over DALLAS (9:00 PM EST)

BYES: Denver, Miami, Oakland, San Diego

Home team in CAPS; national TV games in red; other designated tie-breaker games in blue. NOTE: There is one more tie-breaker game than usual this week because the Seattle-St. Louis and Minnesota-Green Bay games are exactly tied under the criteria used to determine the tie-breaker games (see the Week 6 thread for details).

REMINDER: Our NASCAR sprint shifts into a higher gear this week, as a total of 200 (instead of 100) points will be awarded starting this week, and through Week 13 (with 300 points being awarded in Weeks 14 through 17).

IMPORTANT: Don't forget to designate three picks as Best Bets. These are used to break ties between pickers with the same overall record; if no Best Bets are included the picker is placed behind all others with the same overall record.

Deadline for posting picks is kickoff of earliest game listed.

Any unpicked game counts as an automatic loss, even if game ends in push vs. spread. If a poster has left a game unpicked in an original post, the selection on the unpicked game may be added at any time before the kickoff of the earliest game played that week, but the addition must be made in a separate post and not by editing the original post (if I notice that someone has left a game unpicked in an original post, I will attempt to contact the poster by sending a private message; however there is no guarantee that I will catch every single one, especially in the case of picks posted very late in the week). Under no circumstances can any pick be changed (from one team to the opposing team, or changing a Best Bet from one game to another) once it has been posted.

Pushes count as ties (half a win and half a loss) in determining both overall record and record in applicable tie-breakers.


[SIZE=large]Standings After 9 Weeks[/SIZE]

1. KevinBeane: 203
2. Marc: 112.5
3. Doug Graham: 99
4. Nate: 97
5. bama4256: 72.5
gconnhokiebird: 72
6. Jeff Boswell: 68
7. MountaineerDave: 42.5
8. abogdan: 41
9. Alex: 35
10. Anthony: 23
11. Hero: 18.5
ESP0704: 13.5
12. MaddEnemy: 2.5
#99: 0
DublinMike: 0
digital7: 0
franky: 0

Yellow = Inactive for last 3 weeks or more

Last edited by Anthony; 11-16-2004 at 03:21 AM.
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Old 11-11-2004, 02:26 PM   #2
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N.Y. JETS
ATLANTA BB
JACKSONVILLE
CLEVELAND
Houston
Chicago BB
NEW ORLEANS
Seattle
WASHINGTON
GREEN BAY
N.Y. Giants
Carolina
NEW ENGLAND
Philadelphia BB
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Old 11-12-2004, 12:27 AM   #3
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Baltimore
ATLANTA
Detroit
Pittsburgh (BB)
INDIANAPOLIS
TENNESSEE
Kansas City (BB)
Seattle
WASHINGTON
GREEN BAY (BB)
N.Y. Giants
SAN FRANCISCO
NEW ENGLAND
Philadelphia
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Old 11-12-2004, 06:04 AM   #4
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Last week: 5-9. Season totals: 54-72-4, Pct. .431. Best Bets: 11-15-1, Pct. .426.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team.


SUNDAY

Baltimore 16, N.Y. JETS 10 (P) - Most teams are forced to make do with much worse that Quincy Carter - who led Dallas to a Cinderella playoff berth last year after the Cowboys had gone 5-11 in each of the three seasons before - as their backup quarterback, but Billick's defense has shattered objects that are a lot less fragile than glass slippers and Art Modell's team has covered the last four times they've played the Jets, so we lean towards the Ravens in this one.

ARIZONA 31 (+3), N.Y. Giants 24 - So I see that the 1986 Broadway show Little Shop of Horrors has made a comeback - and after their big shop of horrors against Craig Krenzel at home Chris Berman needs to start using the term "New York Football Frauds." And what kind of bread does Josh McCown like on his sandwich - whole wheat, rye or pumpernickel? Well he better make up his mind by Sunday, when he will have so much time to throw with both starting Giant defensive ends (Michael Strahan and Keith Washington) out for this game (and the rest of the season) that he'll be able to make the sandwich of his choice in the pocket; and as if the Cards weren't enough of a lock already because they're home underdogs!

Tampa Bay 34 (+3 1/2), ATLANTA 20 - Atlanta leads the Bucs by three full games and is at home, so what gives with the small number? Maybe it has something to do with Tampa Bay having won four in a row at the Georgia Dome by a combined 109-40, or perhaps the Bucs being 5-0-1 against the line in their last six on the carpet contributes to it, along with the fact that their wide receivers haven't been this healthy all year. The Falcons have also dropped their last six straight up following a bye (tied with Seattle for the league's longest current streak) and have non-covered seven consecutive times in that situation (sole possession of the longest streak).

Detroit 16 (+4), JACKSONVILLE 0 - With Byron Leftwich definitely out here (and almost certainly next week as well) Mooch's strategy is patently obvious: Stick eight in the box to stop Fred Taylor, make David Garrard beat you, and Bob's your uncle.

Pittsburgh 23, CLEVELAND 20 (+5) - Playing two previously unbeaten teams in back-to-back games was nothing compared to the challenge the Steelers face this week - namely, covering the spread as a road favorite! And with the home team a perfect 8-0 versus the points this year in games involving the Browns, who also come off holding Jamal Lewis to just 81 yards on 22 carries last Sunday night, it's a challenge they may not be able to meet - but they should manage to win straight up in a squeaker.

Houston 31 (+9 1/2), INDIANAPOLIS 30 - Big balloons! Super Upset Special! Not impressed with Indy's struggling to get by the Moss-less Vikings Monday night, and while the Colts have never lost to the Texans, neither had the Titans before they lost to Houston at home in Week 6; and even if the outright upset doesn't happen, Indianapolis is 24-43-2 against the line as a home favorite dating all the way back to 1990, so conceding this large a spot when only one game separates the two teams in the standings makes no sense whatsoever.

TENNESSEE 9, Chicago 6 (+5 1/2) - It turns out that neither team figures to have either its first-string quarterback or its number-one running back available for this game, which is why the line took so long to open. Liked enough of what I saw of Anthony Thomas last week to take the points in what has now come down to a matchup of Thomas against Titans backup runner Antowain Smith.

NEW ORLEANS 30 (+3 1/2), Kansas City 24 - Both teams are 3-5 and the game's at the Superdome, so why are the Chiefs favored by more than a field goal - especially since both of their top two running backs (Priest Holmes and Derrick Blaylock) may miss the game and given KC's 1-5 record both ways since 1998 inside NFL domes?

ST. LOUIS 45, Seattle 31 (+1) - At the sight of a blue and gold jersey the Seahawks will cringe. Teams losing the first meeting at home to a division rival are 14-34 straight up since 2002 and 53-125 going back to 1997 - and if Seattle's defense couldn't stop Tim Rattay then how are they going to stop The Greatest Show On Turf in their building?

WASHINGTON 20, Cincinnati 13 (+3) - The Bengals inherited the NFL's longest active road losing streak - six games - when the Cardinals and Raiders both won on the road last week; not only that, but Cincinnati also did not cover in any of those six games, and has never covered (or won straight up) in Washington.

GREEN BAY 41, Minnesota 17 (+4 1/2) - Going against warm-climate and indoor teams when they play in cold weather is off to a profitbale start indeed in 2004, as such teams have been outscored 98-30 en route to 0-3 records both ways; and the Vikings, for their part, haven't won a cold-weather game since December 26, 1999, losing nine such outings in a row - and with Randy Moss expected to miss still another game, that trend is simply impossible to buck in this spot.

SAN FRANCISCO 30, Carolina 23 (+1) - Hang with the division-leading Seahawks for three and a half quarters before giving way? Nothing to be ashamed of. Let the Raiders break their 13-game road losing streak, and Kerry Collins his ten-game slide, at your expense? Plenty to be ashamed of.

NEW ENGLAND 24, Buffalo 14 (+9) - Like a racehorse who "knows where the wire is," the Patriots "know where the money is" - particularly at home, where their 11-1-2 spread record in 2003-04 includes three half-point covers; and don't worry about the injuries in their secondary because their defensive line is so vastly superior to Buffalo's offensive line that Drew Bledsoe won't get enough time to take advantage.

MONDAY NIGHT

Philadelphia 6, DALLAS 3 (+5 1/2) - Not quite a repeat of the "Goose Egg Bowl" of September 14, 2003 when the Patriots and Eagles played each other after both had been shut out the week before, but this "Rotten Egg Bowl" is the first game since then that matches up two teams coming off losses in which neither scored a touchdown. And the total on this game opened at 41? The "under" is an even safer investment than the home underdog - and that's really saying something these days.

BEST BETS: TAMPA BAY, ST. LOUIS, GREEN BAY

Pittsburgh at Cleveland is in a circle because Steelers running back Duce Staley is questionable, Chicago at Tennessee is in a circle because Bears running back Thomas Jones and Titans quarterback Steve McNair and running back Chris Brown are all questionable, and Kansas City at New Orleans is in a circle because Chiefs running backs Priest Holmes and Derrick Blaylock are doubtful and questionable respectively.

Last edited by Anthony; 11-12-2004 at 06:31 AM.
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Old 11-12-2004, 01:37 PM   #5
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Default NFL Pointspread Contest

Baltimore
Atlanta
Jacksonville(BB)
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Tennessee
Kansas City
Seattle
Washington
Green Bay(BB)
Arizona
San Francisco
Buffalo
Philadelphia(BB)
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Old 11-12-2004, 05:43 PM   #6
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Dang, sorry for the delay of 9 weeks!

Ravens BB
Falcons
Det
Pitt
Houston
Bears
KC
Seattle
Wash
Minn
Giants
SF
Buffalo BB
philly BB
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Old 11-12-2004, 05:50 PM   #7
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SUNDAY

"Baltimore 16, N.Y. JETS 10 (P) - Most teams are forced to make do with much worse that Quincy Carter - who led Dallas to a Cinderella playoff berth last year after the Cowboys had gone 5-11 in each of the three seasons before - as their backup quarterback, but Billick's defense has shattered objects that are a lot less fragile than glass slippers and Art Modell's team has covered the last four times they've played the Jets, so we lean towards the Ravens in this one."

Don't forget the West Coast Offence for the Jets and that = problems for Carter. People talk about carter and his mobility but I see the Ravens with 8 in the box stopping the run and giving Carter hell, that will lead to turn overs and 3 and outs.

On the Jets note,

Carter may see this as his chance to prove he has what it takes to play the game and hope for a trade in the off-season if he does well. Will it be to much for Carter? Trying to hard and making mistakes.... probably and when you play the # 1 DE those mistakes will put points up against your team.

This is my Best Bet for also being under the point spread.

Ravens 13 VS. NY Jets 6

16 to 10 is a good bet as well.
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Old 11-12-2004, 10:45 PM   #8
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N.Y. JETS (Best Bet)
ATLANTA -3.5
Detroit +4
CLEVELAND +5
INDIANAPOLIS -9.5
TENNESSEE -5.5
NEW ORLEANS +3.5
ST. LOUIS -1
WASHINGTON -3
GREEN BAY -4.5
N.Y. Giants -3
SAN FRANCISCO -1
NEW ENGLAND -9 (Best Bet)
Philadelphia -5.5 (Best Bet)
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Old 11-13-2004, 12:02 PM   #9
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Baltimore
Tampa Bay (BB)
JACKSONVILLE
Pittsburgh
INDIANAPOLIS (BB)
Chicago
Kansas City (BB)
ST. LOUIS
WASHINGTON
Minnesota
ARIZONA
SAN FRANCISCO
NEW ENGLAND
Philadelphia
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Old 11-13-2004, 02:57 PM   #10
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Baltimore
ATLANTA
Detroit
Pittsburgh
INDIANAPOLIS-Best bet
TENNESSEE
Kansas City -Best bet
Seattle
Cincinnati
Minnesota-Best bet
N.Y. Giants
SAN FRANCISCO
NEW ENGLAND

Monday, November 15:

Philadelphia
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Old 11-13-2004, 03:15 PM   #11
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Baltimore
Tampa
Jacksonville
Pittsburgh BB
Indianapolis
Tennessee
Kansas City BB
Seattle
Cincinnati
Green Bay
Arizona
San Francisco
Buffalo BB
Philadelphia

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Old 11-14-2004, 07:51 AM   #12
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Baltimore
Atlanta
Jacksonville
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Tennessee
Kansas City
Seattle
Washington
Green Bay BB
Giants
San Francisco
New England BB
Philly (BB)
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Old 11-15-2004, 02:52 AM   #13
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Well at least there's a little more suspense going into the Monday night game this week, as only the first two places have already been clinched instead of the top three as has been the case the past two weeks.

But one thing does remain unchanged from last week, and that's the fact that Nate is assured of being the winner this week as well. It's bama4256 who has wrapped up second, while third place will go either to abogdan if the Eagles fly high enough to cover, or to The Dude (guess who that is?) should Dallas cover.

Complete results after the game.

Last edited by Anthony; 11-15-2004 at 02:58 AM.
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Old 11-15-2004, 09:59 AM   #14
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Quote:
Originally posted by Anthony
...Nate is assured of being the winner this week as well.
Completely amazing! I guess randomly selectiong Best Bets is working for now...
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Old 11-16-2004, 02:52 AM   #15
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Cool Week 10 Results

1. Nate: 10-4 ... 114 points
2. bama4256: 8-6 ... 36 points
3. abogdan: 7-7 (3-0) ... 18 points
4. Alex: 7-7 (2-1) [4-2] ... 12 points
5. Jeff Boswell: 7-7 (2-1) [3-3] ... 8 points
6. MountaineerDave: 7-7 (1-2) ... 6 points
7. MaddEnemy: 6-8 (2-1) [4-2] ... 4 points
8. Hero: 6-8 (2-1) [3-3] ... 2 points

9. Marc: 6-8 (1-2) [4-2]
10. Anthony: 6-8 (1-2) [3-3]

(Best Bet Record)
[Tie-Breaker Game Record]

For updated standings see the Week 11 contest thread.

Last edited by Anthony; 11-16-2004 at 03:38 AM.
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