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Old 10-19-2004, 03:52 AM   #1
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Cool NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 7

Here are the opening lines for Week 7:

Sunday, October 24:

N.Y. GIANTS 6 1/2 over Detroit (1:00 PM EDT)
St. Louis 6 1/2 over MIAMI
TAMPA BAY 6 1/2 over Chicago
CAROLINA 3 over San Diego
Philadelphia 7 over CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE 6 1/2 over Buffalo
INDIANAPOLIS 10 over Jacksonville
MINNESOTA 7 over Tennessee
KANSAS CITY 4 over Atlanta
NEW ENGLAND 6 over N.Y. Jets (4:05 PM EDT)
GREEN BAY 3 over Dallas (4:15 PM EDT)
Seattle 7 over ARIZONA
OAKLAND 3 over New Orleans

Monday, October 25:

Denver 5 1/2 over CINCINNATI (9:00 PM EDT)

BYES: Houston, Pittsburgh, San Francisco, Washington

Home team in CAPS; national TV game in red (no Sunday night game this week); other designated tie-breaker games in blue.

IMPORTANT: Don't forget to designate three picks as Best Bets. These are used to break ties between pickers who have the same overall record; if no Best Bets are included the picker is placed behind all others with the same overall record.

Deadline for posting picks is kickoff of earliest game listed.

Any game left unpicked counts as an automatic loss, even if game ends in push vs. spread. If a poster has left a game unpicked in the original post, the unpicked game may be added at any time before the kickoff of the earliest game played that week, but the addition must be made in a separate post and not by editing the original post (if I notice that someone has left a game unpicked in an original post, I will attempt to contact the poster by sending a private message; however there is no guarantee that I will catch every single one, especially in the case of picks posted very late in the week). Under no circumstances can any pick be changed (from one team to the opposing team, or changing a Best Bet from one game to another) once it has been posted.

Pushes count as ties in determining both overall and Best Bet record.


Standings After 6 Weeks

1. Marc: 100.5
2. KevinBeane: 86
3. Doug Graham: 75
4. gconnhokiebird: 72
5. Jeff Boswell: 57
6. bama4256: 48.5
7. Nate: 39
8. abogdan: 37
9. Alex: 27
10. MountaineerDave: 21.5
11. ESP0704: 13.5
12. Hero: 10.5
13. Anthony: 10
14. MaddEnemy: 2.5
15T. #99: 0
15T. Dublin Mike: 0
15T. digital7: 0
15T. franky: 0

Last edited by Anthony; 10-20-2004 at 05:05 AM.
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Old 10-20-2004, 01:23 PM   #2
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Default Re: NFL Pointspread Contest: Week 7

Detroit
Miami
Chicago
San Diego
Philadelphia
Buffalo
Jacksonville(BB)
Tennessee
Atlanta
N.Y. Jets
Green Bay
Seattle
New Orleans (BB)
Cincinnati (BB)
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2004 SCMB FANTASY GOLF, NFL POINTSPREAD CHAMPION

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Old 10-20-2004, 04:15 PM   #3
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N.Y. GIANTS -6.5 (Best Bet)
St. Louis -6.5
TAMPA BAY -6.5
CAROLINA -3
Philadelphia -7 (Best Bet)
BALTIMORE -6.5
INDIANAPOLIS -10
MINNESOTA -7
Atlanta +4
NEW ENGLAND -6 (Best Bet)
Dallas +3
Seattle -7
OAKLAND -3
Denver -5.5
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Old 10-21-2004, 03:55 AM   #4
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Last week: 6-7-1. Season totals: 34-51-3, Pct. .403. Best Bets, 7-10-1, Pct. .417.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team.


SUNDAY

Detroit 24 (+6 1/2), N.Y. GIANTS 17 - Isn't it strange to see the Lions 1-2 at home and 2-0 on the road? Not half as strange as envisioning the Giants winning and/or covering after they've had a bye: Their 3-12 straight-up record doing so is the NFL's second worst (ahead of only Seattle) and their 4-10-1 spread mark in that capacity is third from the bottom (leading only Tampa Bay and Seattle). The home team has also lost four in a row both ways in the series, and if Roy Williams plays here, it's an outright upset; even if he doesn't Detroit is still a solid take with the points.

NEW ENGLAND 23, N.Y. Jets 14 (+6) - Even if the Red Sox don't go on to win the World Series the Curse of the Bambino doesn't extend to football - and if I didn't know better I'd think that Bill Belichick is a latter-day Pete Rose: Back-to-back goal-line stands to cover the spread when the outcome straight up wasn't at issue?

Philadelphia 20, CLEVELAND 10 (+7) - Just how important is it that the Browns are 3-0 at home and 0-3 on the road? Well the three teams they played (and beat) at home (Baltimore, Washington and Cincinnati) are a combined 6-10, with two of the six wins coming when the three teams played each other (the Ravens have defeated both the Redskins and Bengals); meanwhile, the three teams they played (and lost to) on the road (Dallas, the Giants and Pittsburgh) are 11-5 among them, with two of the five losses coming in head-to-head games therein (the Cowboys having lost to both the Giants and Steelers). Add covering as a road favorite to the list of things Andy Reid does uncannily well: He's covered 11 of 15 in that role lifetime, with only two outright losses.

TAMPA BAY 24, Chicago 0 (+6 1/2) - I can't even see Jonathan Quinn scoring on the road against the still-formidable Tampa Bay defense. The only potential problem is motivation: Only one team in NFL history has ever made the playoffs after a 1-5 start (the 1970 Bengals, who started 1-6 in fact, then ran the table to finish 8-6, which was good enough to win their division).

San Diego 14 (+3), CAROLINA 10 - In their present state the Panthers will have to be able to run the ball to have any real chance of winning, and with San Diego's defense ranking second in the league at stopping the run with 85.7 yards rushing allowed per game, that doesn't seem likely. And the fans in Charlotte can be forgiven if they've taken to believing in conspiracy theories: Keenan McCardell getting traded to the Chargers five days before Carolina plays them?

St. Louis 27, MIAMI 13 (+6 1/2) - Dolphins are showing signs of giving up, as they've allowed 20 or more points in both of their last two games after not having done this in any of their first four, and the 341 yards Buffalo gained against them last week was also a season high. If Mike Martz displays the same flexibility in play selection he exhibited the last time the Rams played a natural-grass game (at San Francisco three Sunday nights ago), the Rams should control the clock and remain atop the NFC West.

Buffalo 10 (+6 1/2), BALTIMORE 3 - Give six and a half on the Ravens? They'll be lucky if they score six and a half without Jamal Lewis! The Bills have also won three in a row over The Modell Franchise, and all three of the games were on the road (one at Baltimore and the other two in Cleveland).

INDIANAPOLIS 28, Jacksonville 21 (+10) - Byron Leftwich is expected to practice this week, so one has to assume he will play Sunday; and Tony Dungy-coached teams are 6-3 straight up coming off a bye week but 1-8 against the spread! Interesting.

MINNESOTA 27, Tennessee 23 (+7) - Both Chris Brown and Randy Moss are questionable for public consumption, but Jeff Fisher has already stated that he expects Brown to suit up while Mike Tice has made Moss' status one of those dreaded game-time decisions. Titans are 3-8-1 against the line in their last dozen tries on rugs but have covered five straight as a road underdog.

Atlanta 28 (+4), KANSAS CITY 14 - "And one door leads to the point of return" - so went the last line from the poem used in the "dream curse" sequences from the '60s TV cult classic Dark Shadows. Back in 1982, fans in Philadelphia wore paper bags on their heads as a skywriter spelled out "Dump Vermeil" over Veterans Stadium during an Eagles game. Twenty-two years later, the Chiefs seem to have found that door and opened it up. And not for nothing, but how can a 5-1 team be a four-point underdog to a 1-4 team?

GREEN BAY 42, Dallas 7 (+3) - The main thing we learned about the Packers last week is that quittin' just ain't their stick, as the late Barry White sang - but the Cowboys always seem to quit at Lambeau, where they've never won, being outscored 138-54 in four lifetime visits. And overall, the home domination of this series has been absolutely brutal: Nine consecutive victories, all by double-digit margins, and by an aggregate 147 points (305 to 158). Furthermore, America's Team is 2-9 straight up and 2-7-2 against the line in their last eleven games on grass, with both wins (and covers) coming at Washington, a team they've beaten 13 out of the last 14. This could be the rout of the year.

Seattle 31, ARIZONA 6 (+7) - If the Seahawks aren't Arizona's daddy, then no one in the NFL is anybody's daddy: Seattle has won the last three meetings by a total of 77 points - the most lopsided result for the three most recent games in any of the league's 496 head-to-head matchups.

New Orleans 21 (+3), OAKLAND 17 - Not since Ringo Starr played the kazoo on his 1974 hit single You're Sixteen has someone embarrassed himself so thoroughly as Kerry Collins has over the past 11 months or so - and that song ended with the spoken line "What shall we do with a drunken sailor?" Well what should Norv Turner do with a drunken bigot?

MONDAY NIGHT

Denver 33, CINCINNATI 16 (+5 1/2) - Things are going to the devil in the City of Satan because of two off-season decisions made by Marvin Lewis: The first was to trade Corey Dillon, who has 522 yards and 4.9 per carry compared with Rudi Johnson's 412 and 3.8, and the second was to go with Carson Palmer at quarterback: Through five games Palmer is completing 54.7 per cent of his passes and is averaging a laughable 9.8 yards per completion; Jon Kitna completed 62.3 per cent and had 11.1 yards per completion in 2003. Now that the Broncos have gotten through proving they can score on the road, look for them to do it again here and easily cover.

BEST BETS: TAMPA BAY, ATLANTA, GREEN BAY

Jacksonville at Indianapolis is in a circle because Jaguars quarterback Byron Leftwich is questionable, and Tennessee at Minnesota is in a circle because Titans running back Chris Brown and Vikings wide receiver Randy Moss are both questionable.

Last edited by Anthony; 10-21-2004 at 06:17 AM.
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Old 10-21-2004, 02:56 PM   #5
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NYG
St. Louis
Tampa Bay(BB)
San Diego
Philly
Baltimore
Jacksonville
Minnesota(BB)
Atlanta
New England
GB
Seattle
New Orleans
Denver(BB)
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Old 10-21-2004, 08:28 PM   #6
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Detroit-Best Bet
St. Louis
TAMPA BAY
CAROLINA-Best Bet
CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE
INDIANAPOLIS
Tennessee
KANSAS CITY
N.Y. Jets
GREEN BAY
Seattle
New Orleans

Monday, October 25:

Denver 5 1/2 Best Bet
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Old 10-22-2004, 02:22 PM   #7
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Detroit
St. Louis
Chicago
San Diego BB
Philadelphia
BALTIMORE
Jacksonville
MINNESOTA
Atlanta BB
N.Y. Jets
Dallas BB
ARIZONA
OAKLAND
Denver
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Old 10-22-2004, 06:49 PM   #8
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NY Giants
St. Louis
Tampa Bay (BB)
San Diego (BB)
Philadelphia
Baltimore
Indianapolis
Minnesota
Atlanta (BB)
New England
Green Bay
Seattle
New Orleans
Denver
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Old 10-22-2004, 07:26 PM   #9
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Detroit (BB)
St. Louis 6 1/2
Chicago
San Diego
Philadelphia 7 (BB) PS, philly is sure to lose now
BALTIMORE 6 1/2
Jacksonville
MINNESOTA 7
KANSAS CITY 4 (BB)
N.Y. Jets (4:05 PM EDT)
GREEN BAY 3)
Seattle 7
OAKLAND 3
Monday, October 25:

Denver
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Old 10-23-2004, 01:52 AM   #10
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NYG
MIA BB
TB
SD
PHI BB
BUF
JAX
MIN BB
ATL
NYJ
DAL
ARI
OAK
DEN

Dave
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Old 10-23-2004, 05:25 PM   #11
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N.Y. GIANTS
St. Louis (BB)
TAMPA BAY
CAROLINA
Philadelphia (BB)
BALTIMORE
INDIANAPOLIS
MINNESOTA
Atlanta
NEW ENGLAND
GREEN BAY
Seattle (BB)
New Orleans
Denver
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Old 10-24-2004, 08:16 AM   #12
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Giants
St. Louis (BB)
Tampa Bay
San Diego
Philadelphia
Baltimore
Indianapolis
Minnesota
Kansas City
New England
Green Bay (BB)
Seattle (BB)
New Orleans
Denver
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Old 10-24-2004, 09:37 PM   #13
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Wow! This was our tightest race of the year, with nine pickers within one game of each other going into the Monday night game. But as in all but one week so far, it's down to two: Either Jeff Boswell will make it back-to-back weekly titles if the Broncos cover, while if the Bengals cover (and thus give home underdogs a 4-0 sweep against the spread for the week) the winner will be KevinBeane.

The complete results will be posted after the game.
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Old 10-26-2004, 02:51 AM   #14
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Here are the results for Week 7:

1. KevinBeane: 7-6-1 (3-0) 57 points
2. Doug Graham: 7-6-1 (2-1) [2-2-1] 18 points
3. Jeff Boswell: 7-6-1 (2-1) [1-3-1] 9 points
4. bama4256: 7-6-1 (1-2) [2-2-1] 6 points
5. Alex: 7-6-1 (1-2) [0-4-1] 4 points
6. Anthony: 6-7-1 (2-1) [2-2-1] 3 points
7. MountaineerDave: 6-7-1 (2-1) [1-3-1] 2 points
8. Nate: 6-7-1 (2-1) [0-4-1] 1 point

9. abogdan: 6-7-1 (1-2)
10. Marc: 5-8-1
11. Hero: 3-10-1

Best Bet record in (parentheses)
Record in tie-breaker games in [brackets]

For current standings see the Week 8 contest thread.
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