By Steve Goldstein
Monday, April 29th, 2002
Does payroll really matter? The short answer is yes. The long answer is more
complicated. All six major league playoff teams from a year ago have to be
considered contenders again this season, despite the personnel changes in
Cleveland and slow starts in Atlanta, St. Louis, and
Houston. The key reason, quite simply, is the ability - or, rather,
the owner's willingness - to add expensive players to the payroll.
An incredible first half by the Minnesota Twins last season didn't
convince skinflint owner Carl Pohlad to give General Manager Terry
Ryan permission to acquire anyone more high-profile than setup man Todd
Jones. Todd Jones? How about a hitter? The Reds were offering switch-hitter
Dmitri Young for a top prospect or two. Young could have put Minnesota
over the top. Instead, the Twins faded, in part due to a too-young everyday
lineup.
One of this season's early surprises is the Pittsburgh Pirates. Improved
attitude, chemistry, and defense have contributed to the Bucs' hot start.
But what happens in August if the Pirates are within three games of either
the NL Central lead or the wildcard? Do they make a significant trade? Do
they try to pick up Denny Neagle and the rest of his four-year, $40
million dollar contract from Colorado?
They could, and, if they made the postseason, it would all be worth it. However,
a reality check is in order. If Neagle decides that PNC Park is a great place
to give up mammoth homeruns or, better yet, he feels some weakness behind
his shoulder in his second start for the Pirates, then Pittsburgh is in the
trash heap for the rest of Neagle's contract. They've already run into that
problem with the ridiculously unwise signings of outfielder Derek Bell
and infielder Pat Meares. When your team's payroll is $40 million
dollars, you cannot sign players like Bell and Meares to multi-million dollar
contracts.
There's often talk about how the Yankees buy their pennants. The truth
is, they do. But the Yankees typically don't do it by raiding other teams,
Mike Mussina and Jason Giambi to the contrary. The Boss'
free-spending ways have allowed the Yankees to re-sign their own free agents
and also absorb the signings that don't work out.
Case in point is David Cone in 2000. The Yankees paid him $10 million
dollars - a quarter of the Pirates' payroll - and he went 4-14. But it ultimately
didn't matter, because the Yankees could absorb that hit. The Pirates could
not. And that is why, even if Pittsburgh's in the playoff hunt in August,
they won't be making any player additions to PNC Park. And that is also why
we'll be seeing at least four of last year's playoff teams back in the postseason
this year.
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