By Mike
Chen
Saturday, December 6th, 2003
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Being several games above .500 isn't a major achievement for a lot of teams
in the NHL. If you're the Nashville Predators, it's cause for celebration
(albeit a muted one considering it is only December). Perhaps a greater reason
for Nashville fans to have holiday cheer is the way the team has garnered
its success: through gradual improvement leading to a six-game winning streak,
along with 10 wins out of the last 1 games (including victories over Detroit,
Boston, and Colorado).
The Predators don't have a superstar top line to carry their offense. Nor
do they have an overly stingy defense that shuts out the opposition. Looking
at the standings, Nashville is a decidedly middle of the pack team when it
comes to goal scoring and defensive play. Special teams, however, have proved
to be a big difference between this year's squad and last season's.
The Predators of 2002-2003 were a sound defensive team that could not put
the puck in the net. A reasonable 83% penalty kill and 2.51 goals against
average were murdered by a miserable 2.23 goals per game and a limp power
play (13.9%, 26th in the NHL). This year's version of special teams have
killed penalties at roughly the same ratio as before, but the power play
has jumped to the upper half of the league, hovering around the 18% mark.
Instead of giving up more goals than they are scoring, the Predators are
keeping the goals for/goals against differential close enough that bounces
could win games. Lately, Tomas Vokoun has decided to remove even that from
the equation with a sparkling .950 save percentage and 1.50 GAA during the
last week of November. The question remains, though, who is driving the Predators
offense? Would you believe a 26-year-old Czech rookie?
Nashville's resurgent power play and offense can be traced back to its leading
scorer and most unlikely threat: Marek Zidlicky. With approximately 70% of
Zidlicky's points coming on the power play, he is paired with veteran Kimmo
Timmonen to give the Predators the first lethal power play in franchise history.
Zidlicky is not afraid to shoot, registering in the top-20 for shots on goal
by a defenseman, nor is he afraid to make a play, as shown by his team lead
in assists.
Zidlicky's offensive instincts have helped jumpstart the team, but the goals
have not been scored by one threat. A look at the Nashville roster brings
the phrase "who are these guys?" to mind. With the departure of veteran players
such as Cliff Ronning and former captain Tom Fitzgerald, the Predators have
looked to their (very) young core to mature and lead the team on the ice
and off the ice. So far, the results have been steady, if not spectacular.
Many NHL observers predicted a breakout season for former No. 2 draft pick
David Legwand. While having a respectable season so far, Legwand has been
far from dominant, even to the point where his motivation and commitment
have been questioned. Legwand's name has even been mentioned in trade rumors
for Edmonton holdout Mike Comrie.
Following in Legwand's wake are Martin Erat, Scott Hartnell, and Vladimir
Orzagh. Orzagh, the veteran of the group at a ripe old age of 26, has finally
proven himself to be a top two line player. Erat and Hartnell are still
developing, and the Nashville brass hopes that eventually Erat, Hartnell,
or Legwand will become the franchise player that the Predators so desperately
need.
With a December 3rd victory over the Carolina Hurricanes, the Nashville Predators
achieved two milestones. They won five-straight games for the first time
in franchise history and went three games above .500 further than any other
prior point in previous years. With the cornerstones of solid, if not
spectacular, forwards and defense, and a hidden gem in goal, this may be
the year the Predators make good on their ownership's playoff promise.
Having a winning record in December does not guarantee entry into the Stanley
Cup playoffs. But having that sort of success is a true indicator that the
potential is there and that anything can happen. It's up to the young Predators
to prove to the NHL world that they are up to the challenge.
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