Reflections on Wimbledon 2010

Wimbledon concluded with dominating performances in the finals by Serena Williams and Rafael Nadal, both seemingly a level above everyone else in their respective fields. As impressive as they were at the end of the two weeks, Wimbledon 2010 will be remembered as one of the most remarkable Slam tournaments ever in its entirety. I don't remember the last time I was entertained this much by a Slam tournament for its total duration.

Enough has already been written about the record-shattering match between John Isner and Nicolas Mahut, but what was not written so much is the fact that prior to playing the longest match (by a leg and an arm) in the history of the game, Mahut had to qualify just to play against Isner. Mahut accomplished that by winning a second-round qualifying match that went 24-22 in the third and final set, followed by a last round qualifying match in which he had to come back from two sets down to win in five sets.

Considering that he was fresher than Isner despite ending up on the losing end of the first round main draw marathon match that finished 70-68 in the fifth set, can we logically conclude that Mahut is most fit player on the tour? At least we can comfortably say that Isner distinguished himself by being the headline on every news agency in the world, by being on David Letterman, and by becoming an important name in the history of the game — not bad for a second-round loser.

That match overshadowed another "far out there" five-set fact during the first week: there were a total of 27 matches that went to the fifth set; moreover, eight of them were comebacks by players who won in five sets, coming back from two sets down. The top three seeds were all involved in five-set matches. Anyone with plenty of time on their hands should look back and see that many of the matches that went to fifth set just in the first week of the tournament were two-sets-down comebacks. I am willing to bet that those numbers, especially the amount of comebacks, are pushing the limits of records, if not second to none in the Open era.

On the other hand, after having three years in a row of spectacular matches going to the fifth set in the men's finals, we had a straight-set final and two straight-sets semifinals. However, can anyone who has witnessed Nadal's two performances in the semifinal against Andy Murray and in the final against Tomas Berdych think anything other than "spectacular?" Okay, maybe "inhuman" or "machine-like?"

I wonder if Justine Henin regrets her comeback decision. Never mind that she has had results that were surely below her expectations, but an injury that forces her to withdraw from a lucrative exhibition match and from the last Slam tournament of the year must be downright annoying for her camp. She should get ready to face the repetitive question, "Are you where you aimed to be when you began your comeback?" Usually when journalists ask that question it is because the player in question is not yet there.

Interestingly, not too many people asked what happened to the two women's finalists from two weeks ago at Roland Garros. Perhaps it was because the two ladies did what most expected: go out in the first week. They took it a step further and left the tournament after the first round.

For the sake of absurdity, let's throw in the two side notes that Novak Djokovic appeared in warm-up suit to meet the Queen of England and that there were zero rain delays during the whole tournament. In fact, the roof has not seen much use since it was added to the Centre Court, but it's nice to know that the option is there and to speculate tongue-in-cheek that had it not been there, the tournament would have seen plenty of rain delays. Anyone remember Robin Soderling vs. Nadal in 2007?

I wish some of the top figures in tennis would throw out there the idea of extending the women's semifinals and finals matches to best-of-five sets. Men's finals have been overshadowing women's finals for several years now, and this year was no exception. Although Serena would have probably won another set against Vera Zvonareva and still triumph in straight sets, the difference in the value of the ticket between the men's finals match that went three straight sets and the ladies' match that went two straight sets is quite wide. While the crowd that watched Williams beat Zvonareva on Saturday may have left the court after little over an hour feeling hungry for more tennis, Sunday's crowd may feel satisfied despite witnessing a straight-set finals match.

But since Nadal was the one to close the curtain at the end of the two weeks, let us finish with a reflection on the number one men's player in the world. I maintain that Soderling, Murray, and Berdych could not have played better against Nadal in the last three matches. Let's keep in mind that these are three players who have given trouble to Nadal in the past. They serve big, they can hit big flat shots, and have shown in the past that they can keep Nadal off-balance when their games are ticking. Yet they managed to win a total of one set.

Outside of the first set against Soderling, Nadal was extremely dominant, although he served fewer aces than all three of his opponents and hit fewer winners than two of them (only two more than Berdych in the finals). Somehow he managed make it look like he was hitting more winners by a large margin. But one statistic stood above all, and perhaps tells the tale of Nadal's successful career so far: he converted 63 percent of his break-point chances, while his three opponents remained at 28 percent on their break chances. Simply put, Nadal is consistently the better player on the tennis court when the big points arrive.

The last Slam of the year will play a major role in 2010's verdicts. For the first time ever, Rafael Nadal should be the overwhelming favorite going into the U.S. Open, despite never having won the title. Last year's winner, Juan Martin Del Potro, will not be there, but the forms of Nadal, Berdych, Soderling, and Murray, coupled with question marks surrounding Roger Federer, Andy Roddick, and Djokovic are enough to make a tennis fan wish that U.S. Open was not two months away.

Comments and Conversation

July 6, 2010

Luke Broadbent:

“I wish some of the top figures in tennis would throw out there the idea of extending the women’s semifinals and finals matches to best-of-five sets.”

Very interesting suggestion, Mert. In theory it sounds fine, but isn’t there a possibilty that some of the women couldn’t manage five sets and thus the qulity of tennis would drop if it got to a fifth set. Having said that, who would’ve thought two men could go on for as long as Isner and Mahut did?

It was one of the best Slams in a long time and I wouldn’t have been surprised to see one final twist on Sunday with Berdych winning, but it wasn’t to be. The future is looking very good for him right now.

However, its not looking so good for Federer. I think it’s pretty much certain now that he will never get the world No. 1 back, so he won’t break that record. Perhaps, he wins one or two more majors, but there are plenty of talented and hungrier guys out there and his reign has clearly come to an end.

July 6, 2010

Mert Ertunga:

Hi Luke,

Good point about Federer. I am not 100% counting it out that he can’t get back to being number one, but you are more likely to be correct obviously. Perhaps, he will put a little more importance into tournaments other than Slams to get back his rankings. I feel like for 2-3 years, he has relied too much on the Slams to keep his raking anyway and not “bust his butt” in some Masters Series tournaments.

I disagree though that women can’t play five sets, especially if it’s only in the semis and finals. I feel like 3 out of 5 could provide more memorable matches than one hour drumming of one-sided affairs. How many times you see a player in the men’s draw win a set or make a match out of the third after losing the first two? I think quite a few.

Mert

July 6, 2010

Umit Oraloglu:

Mert,

Definitely agree with you, the womens semi’s & final has to be best of 5 sets.

If it ends up being best of 5 sets, then the prizemoney should be the same as the men, however if its going to be 3 sets, then something has to be done about the prizemoney because the women dont deserve being paid the same prizmoney as the men.

For example, while Williams pocketed a cheque for pound stg. 1,000,000 for eight hours, 11 minutes work at the All England Club, men’s first-round loser Nicolas Mahut departed with a cheque for pound stg. 11,250. This was despite playing more games and spending longer time on court in one match than the women’s world No 1 did in the entire tournament.

Mert, do you think the prizemoney should be equal pay for both women and men??

July 7, 2010

Mert Ertunga:

Hi Umit,

That is one of the reasons why I think the semis and finals should be 3 out of five (although not the only reason, nor one of the major ones by any means, see my article). I have talked to many previous spectators of women’s finals and they all say that if they could they would attend the men’s finals next time if they could specifically because they feel shortchanged.

On the other hand, in all other tournaments prize money should be equal and it is not. If anything at all, the fight for equal prize money should be fought in tournaments other than the Slams. But because so much effort has been put into doing it in the Slams that other other tournaments (where it would make much more sense to do so) have been forgotten.

I think it would be only fair to play in the Slams three out of five for women too, not only because of the “time difference” necessarily but also because there are more possible turns and twists, therefore a better spectacle to watch in a best-of-five match, as the latest Wimbledon has shown time and time again in the excitement that men’s matches created vs. women’s matches. Nobody will stand up to say anything like this, but it does not change what is there for everyone to see.

Mert

July 11, 2010

Nnamdi Ngwe:

Great stuff again Mert!

In my mind there is no doubt that Mahhut has been the hardest working player of late. The marathon match caught the attention of the casual fan which is great for the sport.

Serena and Nadal showed their superiority this time around and I expect both to continue for a while

July 14, 2010

Selim:

Mert, another great article.

This was a memorable Wimbledon indeed. As I read about your comments on five-set matches with comebacks from two sets down, I thought about something which I haven’t seen too much discussion around and may start an interesting discussion:

What was the most impressive comeback from being two sets down in tennis history?

The most amazing comeback I have seen to date was in a Wimbledon fourth round match in 1987 - Jimmy Connors vs Mikael Pernfors. Connors, 34 years old at the time, came back and won the match after being down 6-1/6-1/4-1! I’m sure there are other impressive comebacks in history but I don’t remember seeing another comeback from being so close to losing the match. I still have a full copy of this match somewhere in a Betamax video tape!

Another memorable comeback from 2 sets down would be the famous Chang vs. Lendl match in French Open 1989 where Chang was getting the cramps and even served underhanded at some point!

July 14, 2010

Mert Ertunga:

Selim,

It’s funny that you mentioned the Pernfors-Connors match because when you asked the question, before reading the next paragraph, I immediately thought about that match too.

But I think Lendl’s comeback against McEnroe in the 1984 Frenc Open final was the most remarkable that I have seen in a big scene. Nobody in that stadium or watching on TV thought after the first two sets that Lendl was going to come back and win the match. McEnroe toyed with Lendl for two sets, serving and volleying on red clay.

Then, out of nowhere, Lendl wins the third, McEnroe chokes a volley in the second set to lose the lead, then by the time 5-5 in the final set came around, hardly anyone, including McEnroe himself could believe that the match has turned to this! Lendl left his “choker” career behind and launched his “champion” career on that day.

Mert

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