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Old 11-26-2003, 06:07 AM   #1
Anthony
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Default NFL Pick'em Contest: Week 13

Week 13

Sunday, November 30:

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 1:00 pm
Philadelphia at Carolina, 1:00 pm
New England at Indianapolis, 1:00 pm
San Francisco at Baltimore, 1:00 pm
Minnesota at St. Louis, 1:00 pm
New Orleans at Washington, 4:05 pm
Denver at Oakland, 4:15 pm
Cleveland at Seattle, 4:15 pm
Tampa Bay at Jacksonville, 8:30 pm

Monday, December 1:

Tennessee at N.Y. Jets, 9:00 pm (include combined tiebreaker score)

NOTE: Due to time constraints, the two Thanksgiving Day games (Green Bay at Detroit and Miami at Dallas) are not included in this week's contest.

Current Standings

http://scmb.nspencer.com/PickEm/NFL2003.html

First-Time Pickers

Welcome to year two of our pick'em game. Everyone is welcome to give their picks. Simply select the team from the 10 featured games above whom you think will win and list them in your post. For the Monday night game (the tiebreaker) you must post the total combined score of the game in addition to the winning team.

Final Notes

The deadline for posting your picks is before the kickoff of the earliest game listed. You may not post picks after any game in the pick'em has started as your selections will be disregarded. Furthermore, do not complain about the games selected - there is nothing scientific or exact about it. The goal is to pick the 10 best, most competitive games, period. With that said, good luck!

Last edited by Anthony; 11-26-2003 at 09:36 AM.
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Old 11-26-2003, 06:30 AM   #2
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Cool Anthony's Week 13 Picks

Last week: 6-8-2. Season totals: 77-94-5, Pct. .452. Best Bets: 14-21-1, Pct. .403.

Home team in capital letters; point spreads (opening line) in parentheses after underdog team; selections with point spreads in bold.



THURSDAY

Green Bay 27, DETROIT 23 (+7) - Things looked pretty bleak for the Packers after they prevent-defensed themselves out of a victory three Monday nights ago against the Eagles, but now they trail Seattle by less than a game (they beat the Seahawks head-to-head in Week 5) for the last wild card in the NFC and are also just one game behind shaky-looking Minnesota in the NFC North. What's more, their next four opponents have a combined record of 12-32 - but the home team has covered an astounding 13 consecutive games in this series so you must take the points.

DALLAS 20, Miami 13 (+3) - Among current starting quarterbacks only Tom Brady (29-12, .707) has a better lifetime winning percentage than Jay Fiedler's .688 (33-15), and Fiedler makes his first start in more than a month here after coming off the bench to direct two fourth-quarter touchdown drives to edge the Redskins; but even with Fiedler back at the controls the Dolphins still need big production from Ricky Williams, and the Dallas run defense signalled its solid form by holding Stephen Davis to just 59 yards in the win over Carolina. Would tend to side with the Cowboys in this one.


SUNDAY

N.Y. GIANTS 12, Buffalo 6 (+3) - The Giants can move the ball but they can't score - but that's better than the Bills, who can't do either. And I wonder who George Pataki is rooting for?

CAROLINA 27, Philadelphia 20 (+2) - Donovan McNabb couldn't have picked a better time to finally turn things around (107.5 passer rating in the last 17 quarters compared with 52.5 in the first 27) because the size-starved Eagle defense is showing serious signs of physically wearing down, allowing progressively more yardage in each of the last four weeks, culminating in the 466 yards given up to New Orleans, a five-year high - and they have been particularly porous against the run, surrendering 170 yards per game on the ground in the four outings. That's bad news when you're facing Stephen Davis - and while this game is of huge importance in determining the NFC playoff seeding, next Sunday's home game against Dallas will likely decide who wins the NFC East title, adding looking ahead to the list of obstacles the Eagles must overcome.

PITTSBURGH 24, Cincinnati 14 (+3) - Steeler ground game finally woke up last week - just in time to take advantage of Cincy's suspect run defense. Plus Pittsburgh won the first meeting at Paul Brown Stadium - and teams that won the first meeting over a division rival on the road are now an imposing 28-8 straight up in the rematches at home this year and last put together, and 119-47 dating back to 1997. It's a must win for the Steel Gang if they are to retain any playoff hopes, and even Bill Cowher's job is rumored to be in jeopardy - and they'll stay alive with what will be their seventh win in eight games against the Bengals, sending the latter to their fifth straight carpet defeat in the process.

New England 30 (+3 1/2), INDIANAPOLIS 23 - The Colts will be stone-cold looking ahead to next week's long-awaited return engagement with the Titans in Music City, and they're batting .344 against the spread (20-39-2) since 1990 as home favorites, with a great deal of the damage having been inflicted by the Patriots, who are 13-1 versus the points in their last 14 at the Hoosier Dome; no reason to doubt.

BALTIMORE 21, San Francisco 7 (+3) - Can't see Anthony Wright having another 319-yard game, but I'm having a much harder time envisioning the 49ers even being competitive in the cold weather. And it's also a considerable strain on the imagination to picture the road team winning a game between Team DeBartolo/York and Team Modell, as the home team has emerged victorious the last four times they've gotten it on.

CHICAGO 31, Arizona 10 (+4 1/2) - The Bears should follow up their snapping of one twelve-game losing streak (their own, on the road, with their win in Denver) by extending another such streak - that being Arizona's dozen-game futility skein as a visitor in cold weather, during which the Cards have been outscored by a thoroughly reprehensible 388 to 124.

ST. LOUIS 37, Minnesota 20 (+6 1/2*) - Randy Moss is questionable (sprained ankle), but all that means is that he is health-wise where the rest of his team has been in their level of play - and that's being generous - over the past five weeks. Rams win this easily if Marc Bulger can give it a rest with the interceptions (he's thrown ten of them in his last four starts).

HOUSTON 24, Atlanta 17 (+3*) - The Falcons have been one scrappy bunch since their Week 8 bye, actually outscoring their four post-bye opponents by a field goal (94-91) and going 2-1-1 against the spread. But as Al Stewart sang 25 years ago, "Well I'm not the kind to live in the past - the years run too short, and the days too fast; the things you lean on are things that don't last." The people who are in charge of setting the lines must have missed that song, because the Texans should be favored here by a touchdown, not a field goal.

WASHINGTON 20, New Orleans 10 (+1 1/2*) - The Saints failed to capitalize on last weekend's Indian Summer conditions in the Northeast (it was 56 degrees at kickoff in Philadelphia), ruining a statistically brilliant effort on offense with three fumbles and a blocked field goal - and it's unlikely they will be anywhere near as fortunate weather-wise this time around, especially with the game being in the late time slot. True, that angle didn't get off to such a great start last week (Oakland did cover at Kansas City), but better days lie ahead.

OAKLAND 23 (+3*), Denver 17 - Oakland is 30th in the league at stopping the run but Denver might have a hard time exploiting that with Clinton Portis questionable (bruised heel) and Mike Anderson still sitting out a drug suspension - and letting a lousy team come into your building and stop a twelve-game road losing streak at your expense is definitely cause for concern. The Raiders have hung tough in every home game this year and even ran the 10-1 Chiefs to a field goal on the road in their latest; upset.

SEATTLE 16, Cleveland 9 (+5 1/2) - The Giants and Kerry Collins have been taking a lot of heat for not closing the deal and finishing off drives, but Cleveland has transcended the genre in that area this year. The Seahawks are a different team at home but this one could be tricky with two games bursting with playoff implications next up (at Minnesota and then at St. Louis).

SAN DIEGO 26 (+7), Kansas City 23 - CBS can already start billing KC's nationally-televised Saturday "twilight" game at Minnesota on December 20th as the Peaked-Too-Early Bowl; Oakland's offensive line, despite being short-staffed with injuries, literally pushed Vermeil's front seven up and down the field all day - and the Chiefs would have lost outright had Phillip Buchanon not been flagged for taking his helmet off following a fourth-quarter punt return. If the Chargers can stay in it early, LaDainian Tomlinson will have a huge day and the home team will register its eleventh victory in the twelve most recent renewals of this divisional rivalry in the week's upset special.

Tampa Bay 16, JACKSONVILLE 0 (+3 1/2) - The last two times the Bucs went on the road in prime time the result was zero points for the opposition on both occasions. After publicly sitting on the fence early in the week, Jack Del Rio decided not to bench Byron Leftwich, but after this game Del Rio may very well change his mind.


MONDAY NIGHT

N.Y. JETS 17 (+1*), Tennessee 0 - Like the Colts, the Titans can't help but be looking ahead to what is being hyped as the game of the year - and let's see what Billy Volek does now that he'll have eight days to think about it; Volek was 9-for-15 for 117 yards last Sunday after Steve McNair went down with a calf injury that has rendered him doubtful for this game. So it's eight in the box to stop Eddie George for the Jets on defense, and make Volek beat them in a cold-weather night game on the artificial rug.

BEST BETS: NEW ENGLAND, BALTIMORE, CHICAGO

*Minnesota at St. Louis is in a circle because Vikings wide receiver Randy Moss is questionable, Atlanta at Houston is in a circle because Texans quarterback David Carr is questionable, New Orleans at Washington is in a circle because Saints quarterback Aaron Brooks and Redskins quarterback Patrick Ramsey are both questionable, Denver at Oakland is in a circle because Broncos running back Clinton Portis is questionable, and Tennessee at the N.Y. Jets is in a circle because Titans quarterback Steve McNair is doubtful.

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Last edited by Anthony; 11-27-2003 at 05:26 AM.
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Old 11-26-2003, 10:41 AM   #3
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Old 11-26-2003, 11:01 AM   #4
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Old 11-26-2003, 01:07 PM   #5
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Old 11-26-2003, 04:54 PM   #6
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Old 11-26-2003, 07:23 PM   #7
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Old 11-26-2003, 07:40 PM   #8
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Old 11-26-2003, 07:41 PM   #9
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Old 11-26-2003, 09:04 PM   #10
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Old 11-26-2003, 10:27 PM   #11
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Old 11-27-2003, 03:17 AM   #12
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Old 11-27-2003, 10:42 AM   #14
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